基于双滤波器的高精度目标跟踪估计方法

针对连续推力的合作航天器，采用双重无迹卡尔曼滤波(DUKF)算法估计其状态和加速度。通过状态滤波器和参数滤波器的配合，提升滤波精度，完成运动状态和参数的估计，从而实现合作目标的运动轨迹跟踪。与合作航天器相比，非合作航天器存在大小未知、发生时刻未知的机动，无法获得加速度，且信息获取和运动状态的估计难度大。针对非合作航天器，基于简化的相对运动方程，结合天基平台获得目标的观测信息，采用两个扩展卡尔曼滤波(EKF)及基于半正焦弦的机动检测策略实现多未知脉冲机动的运动状态的估计。仿真结果表明：相比于无迹卡尔曼滤波（UKF），DUKF在对合作航天器的状态和加速度估计方面具有更快的收敛速度和更高的滤波精度；对于存在未知机动的非合作航天器，通过对比验证机动检测策略与滤波器切换策略相结合的方法的有效性，该方法能够检测到多次机动并且减少误判。     

基于自适应容积粒子滤波的车辆状态估计

针对车辆状态估计中由模型的强非线性、噪声的非高斯分布等相关因素导致估计精度下降甚至发散的问题,本文提出了基于自适应容积粒子滤波(Adaptive cubature particle filter,ACPF)的车辆状态估计器。首先基于非稳态动态轮胎模型,构建高维度非线性八自由度车辆模型。其次利用自适应容积卡尔曼滤波(Adaptive cubature Kalman filter,ACKF)算法更新基本粒子滤波(Particle filter,PF)算法的重要性密度函数,以完成自适应容积粒子滤波算法设计。利用车载传感器信息,运用ACPF算法实现对车辆的侧倾角、质心侧偏角等关键状态变量高精度在线观测。搭建Simulink-Carsim联合仿真平台进行了算法的验证,结果表明该算法状态估计精度高于传统无迹粒子滤波(Unscented particle filter,UPF)算法,且算法运算效率高于UPF算法,而传统PF估计值发散。研究结果为实现车辆动力学精准控制提供了理论支持。     

一种小天体旋转参数估计方法

小天体旋转参数是科学数据，也是小天体测绘，着陆导航的基础数据.研究一种在小天体探测接近段过程中使用的基于图像上特征点跟踪和扩展卡尔曼滤波器的小天体旋转参数估计方法.该方法首先建立小天体旋转关系模型，表示小天体在相机坐标系中的姿态变化；然后定义小天体旋转的状态方程，推到了扩展卡尔曼滤波器的计算过程.通过对观测图像序列上的特征点跟踪，利用扩展卡尔曼滤波器方法得到小天体旋转轴指向和自转角速度估计.实验中，在仿真相机与小天体相机100 km距离上，分析了相机坐标系小天体坐标系之间的四元数初值，图像上特征点跟踪精度，相机的观测指向等因素对小天体旋转参数估计精度的影响.实验结果表明，提出的基于图像特征点跟踪和扩展卡尔曼滤波器的小天体旋转参数估计方法能够得到具有较高精度的估计结果.     

先进战斗机过失速机动大气数据融合估计方法

可控的过失速机动是先进战斗机超机动性能的重要标志，飞机飞行包线的扩大已超出传统的大气数据系统测量范围，可靠的迎角、侧滑角、总压、静压等飞行大气数据是制约先进战斗机过失速机动中飞行控制的关键因素。以中国推力矢量验证机为对象，基于过失速机动飞行试验的数据，开展大气参数估计与验证研究。结合过失速机动的时间与空间特性，研究了基于风速、地速、空速矢量和惯性姿态、导航参数的大气参数融合计算方法；针对过失速大迎角状态下飞机周围气流非定常、模型非线性导致的融合大气参数误差的复杂特性，进一步构建深度神经网络，对机动状态融合迎角、侧滑角的强非线性误差进行拟合。仿真和飞行试验表明：该方法可在大迎角飞行状态下实现主要大气参数的融合估计，过失速机动过程中融合迎角误差优于2.3°，融合得到的大气参数可为过失速大迎角机动飞行控制提供可靠的大气参数状态反馈。     

InfraRed Astronomy Satellite Swarm Interferometry (IRASSI): Overview and study results

The far-infrared (FIR) regime is one of the few wavelength ranges where no astronomical data with sub-arcsecond spatial resolution exist yet. Neither of the medium-term satellite projects like SPICA, Millimetron or OST will resolve this malady. For many research areas, however, information at high spatial and spectral resolution in the FIR, taken from atomic fine-structure lines, from highly excited carbon monoxide (CO) and especially from water lines would open the door for transformative science. These demands call for interferometric concepts. We present here first results of our feasibility study IRASSI (Infrared Astronomy Satellite Swarm Interferometry) for an FIR space interferometer. Extending on the principal concept of the previous study ESPRIT, it features heterodyne interferometry within a swarm of five satellite elements. The satellites can drift in and out within a range of several hundred meters, thereby achieving spatial resolutions of <0.1 arcsec over the whole wavelength range of 1–6 THz. Precise knowledge on the baselines will be ensured by metrology methods employing laser-based optical frequency combs, for which preliminary ground-based tests have been designed by members of our study team. We first give a motivation on how the science requirements translate into operational and design parameters for IRASSI. Our consortium has put much emphasis on the navigational aspects of such a free-flying swarm of satellites operating in relatively close vicinity. We hence present work on the formation geometry, the relative dynamics of the swarm, and aspects of our investigation towards attitude estimation. Furthermore, we discuss issues regarding the real-time capability of the autonomous relative positioning system, which is an important aspect for IRASSI where, due to the large raw data rates expected, the interferometric correlation has to be done onboard, in quasi-real-time. We also address questions regarding the spacecraft architecture and how a first thermomechanical model is used to study the effect of thermal perturbations on the spacecraft. This will have implications for the necessary internal calibration of the local tie between the laser metrology and the phase centres of the science signals and will ultimately affect the accuracy of the baseline estimations.     

谱估计理论在弹道数据参数化建模中的应用

针对高超声速飞行器防御作战中目标运动规律的描述问题，提出一种基于经典和现代谱估计理论的弹道数据参数化分析和建模方法。该方法将弹道数据视作非平稳随机信号，研究其变化规律：首先，通过线性消势法消除信号的线性趋势，将其转变为平稳信号，以便于进行谱估计；然后，采用Welch算法给出大致的谱图，结合该谱图和改进的协方差法确定自回归参数模型的阶数，以避免模型阶数选择准则引起的不确定性问题；最终，给出弹道数据的参数化模型。仿真结果表明，使用本文算法建立的弹道数据参数化模型与动力学模型具有较高的一 致性。     

An improved approach for rainfall estimation over Indian summer monsoon region using Kalpana-1 data

In this paper, an improved Kalpana-1 infrared (IR) based rainfall estimation algorithm, specific to Indian summer monsoon region is presented. This algorithm comprises of two parts: (i) development of Kalpana-1 IR based rainfall estimation algorithm with improvement for orographic warm rain underestimation generally suffered by IR based rainfall estimation methods and (ii) cooling index to take care of the growth and decay of clouds and thereby improving the precipitation estimation.     

基于最小约束系统的分布式协作定位研究

5G移动通信系统中,设备到设备的通信方式产生了节点间的信号测量,可用于提升无线定位的覆盖范围和定位精度。提出了一种基于最小约束系统的分布式协作定位方法,该方法首先利用已有算法估计节点参考位置,并据此构建最小约束确定网络的位置及朝向,然后在该约束下极大化由节点间测量引出的似然函数,获得位置估计。理论研究表明,该方法将由节点间测量确定的相对位置拟合到参考位置处,在参考位置等于真实位置时达到最优效果。仿真结果表明,该方法可有效提高定位精度,并具有分布式和可扩展等优点。     

A new modeling scheme for powered parafoil unmanned aerial vehicle platforms: Theory and experiments

A novel framework is established for accurate modeling of Powered Parafoil Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (PPUAV). The model is developed in the following three steps: obtaining a linear dynamic model, simplifying the model structure, and estimating the model mismatch due to model variance and external disturbance factors. First, a six degree-of-freedom linear model, or the structured model, is obtained through dynamic establishment and linearization. Second, the data correlation analysis is adopted to determine the criterion for proper model complexity and to simplify the structured model. Next, an active model is established, combining the simplified model with the model mismatch estimator. An adapted Kalman filter is utilized for the real-time estimation of states and model mismatch. We finally derive a linear system model while taking into account of model variance and external disturbance. Actual flight tests verify the effectiveness of our active model in different flight scenarios.     

小卫星侦察星座性能评估研究

针对小卫星侦察星座性能评估问题，从覆盖、成本和弹性三方面对小卫星侦察星座的性能指标进行研究，分别构建了考虑存储容量约束的覆盖能力评估模型、成本估计模型以及弹性能力评估模型。在覆盖能力评估模型中，将卫星存储容量作为约束条件，结合卫星覆盖几何模型分析了卫星对地侦察的工作条件，提出考虑存储容量的覆盖指标计算方法；通过小卫星成本模型(small satellite cost model,SSCM)对星座各分系统的成本进行估计；在弹性评估模型中，提出了星座性能损失率指标，并根据星座失效状态概率函数确定了不同失效状态下星座性能损失率的权重。将上述模型应用于SkySat和吉林一号星座的性能评估过程中，结果表明SkySat比吉林一号覆盖能力强、成本低，弹性差。提出的三个模型可用于评价星座优劣，为小卫星侦察星座的建设和性能评估工作提供参考。