基于灰色模型的故障预测方法研究

随着人们对系统发生故障所带来财产损失、人员伤亡以及危害性的无法承受,故障预测与健康管理（PHM）技术应用越来越广泛。介绍了灰色模型,并利用某型号发控设备压控振荡器电路检测积分器输入信号检测的历史数据作为研究依据,验证了灰色模型在故障预测中的应用是可行的,准确度能够达到要求。     

湿热环境下复合材料孔板压缩性能的研究

采用压缩试验的方法,对含孔机织碳纤维环氧复合材料层板进行了湿热环境下的压缩试验,研究了湿热环境对其压缩性能的影响。分析了复合材料孔板的吸湿特性、压缩强度、破坏模式及动态力学性能。结果表明:机织碳纤维环氧复合材料吸湿率较低,其饱和吸湿率仅为0.88%左右。湿热环境会降低由基体性能主导的压缩强度,130℃下湿态试样的开孔压缩强度保持率约为70%。含孔复合材料层合板的破坏模式均为过孔破坏,破坏均发生在应力集中的区域,并且断裂都是沿着应力集中最大的方向扩展。侧面断口主要为剪切失效,有分层和屈曲的特征。吸湿后复合材料的DMA Tg为125℃,比干态时下降了16℃。     

挤压油膜阻尼器失效问题的实验研究

描述了对挤压油膜阻尼器的减振特性实验，双稳态区域实验和减振失效边界实验。结果证明：《挤压油膜阻尼器失效边界探索》一文中作出的双稳态区域图和减振失效边界图是正确的，具有满意的工程实用精确度。     

MSC．Dytran在坠撞仿真中的应用

介绍了MSC．Dytran在坠撞仿真中的应用。从国外和国内的案例可以看出，用MSC．Dytran能较快较好地解决飞机坠撞问题。     

Using PoF models to predict system reliability considering failure collaboration

Existing Physics-of-Failure-based (PoF-based) system reliability prediction methods are grounded on the independence assumption, which overlooks the dependency among the compo-nents. In this paper, a new type of dependency, referred to as failure collaboration, is introduced and considered in reliability predictions. A PoF-based model is developed to describe the failure behavior of systems subject to failure collaboration. Based on the developed model, the Bisection-based Reliability Analysis Method (BRAM) is exploited to calculate the system reliabil-ity. The developed methods are applied to predicting the reliability of a Hydraulic Servo Actuator (HSA). The results demonstrate that the developed methods outperform the traditional PoF-based reliability prediction methods when applied to systems subject to failure collaboration.     

Y─12（Ⅱ）型飞机单发处置程序的试飞探讨

对Ｙ－１２（Ⅱ）型飞机的单发机理和对飞机操纵及性能影响因素进行了理论分析和试飞探讨，在此基础上提出了“平、加、调、转”四步的单发故障处理程序，并对“Ｙ－１２（Ⅱ）型飞机飞行手册”上的相应程序提出修改建议，最后讨论了起飞、着陆飞行中的单发处置特点。     

航天故障诊断系统中的汉字处理技术

航天故障诊断系统中内存紧张情况下的汉字处理技术，包括读取汉字字形点阵信息，建立小字库和点阵汉字显示技术、以及显示原理作了介绍并给出了完整的模块程序代码。     

LHD部件的失效机理与数值计算

通过检测数据的分析,探讨了LID部件潮解失效机制的物理、化学过程。根据质量作用定律,分子运动论和碰撞理论,给出了扩散系数的假定,从而建立了数学模型。利用建立的模型,对半径为P_o的实球体进行了数值计算。计算结果表明:描绘的曲线和拟合公式与试测曲线和回归公式相对比,形式上基本一致。由于部件实际形状并非实球,假设的参数很难与贮存条件一致,因此数值上有差别,这是很自然的。     

A new stress-based multi-scale failure criterion of composites and its validation in open hole tension tests

A new stress-based multi-scale failure criterion is proposed based on a series of off-axis tension tests, and their corresponding fiber failure modes and matrix failure modes are determined at the microscopic level. It is a physical mechanism based, three-dimensional damage analysis criterion which takes into consideration the constituent properties on the macroscopic failure behavior of the composite laminates. A complete set of stress transformation, damage determination and evolution methods are established to realize the application of the multi-scale method in failure analysis. Open-hole tension（OHT） specimens of three material systems（CCF300/5228, CCF300/5428 and T700/5428） are tested according to ASTM standard D5766, and good agreements are found between the experimental results and the numerical predictions. It is found that fiber strength is a key factor influencing the ultimate strength of the laminates, while matrix failure alleviates the stress concentration around the hole. Different matchings of fiber and matrix result in different failure modes as well as ultimate strengths.     

半导体器件铝腐蚀的判别方法研究

半导体器件内部铝腐蚀是卫星用半导体器件主要的失效模式之一,快速准确地判断铝腐蚀具有重要意义。文章给出了判别方法和程序,并对方法中的关键技术进行研讨。