基于任务分析的飞行机组失误预测研究

在过去的20年内有多起严重事故由机组失误引起,采取措施防止或减少飞行机组失误成为降低航空事故率的关键.通过使用人误预测技术预测机组在执行飞行任务时的失误,寻找失误原因,进一步改进驾驶舱设计或增加培训来降低航空事故率是可行的方法.本研究以民航领域飞行安全需求为背景,在原有人误预测技术基础上,开发了基于任务分析的飞行机组失误预测模型,以某型飞机起飞任务为例,对飞行机组在操纵飞机起飞过程中可能发生的人误进行分析,实现了飞行机组失误的定性和定量预测.     

模拟失重条件下航天员旋转运动方法实验验证

航天员太空飞行中,需要改变自身位置与朝向以完成不同的作业任务,当其无法触碰到手脚限制器等借助物时,会涉及通过自身动作的转换产生人体旋转的问题。为此,首先基于Roberson-Wittenburg方法建立了人体动力学方程,据此提出能够使得人体转动的肢体操作方法,然后采用悬吊法模拟太空失重环境,对比不同控制方法产生的旋转作用效果,发现肢体旋转时与身体的夹角和肢体旋转速度是影响人体旋转完成时间和关节力矩的主要因素,最后结合推荐动作与实验结果提出空间姿态变换运动的操作建议。结果表明本文推荐动作有一定的优越性,对航天员处于太空中的自旋转运动具有实用意义。     

张力腿漂浮式风力机的运动响应计算

漂浮式风力机与近海桩基式风力机、陆上风力机差异很大,特别是漂浮平台设计复杂,对仿真工具要求更高。海上风力机除受气动载荷之外,还需进一步考虑海洋环境所施加的各种其他载荷。采用自由涡尾迹方法计算风力机气动性能,分别采用线性波和PM频谱模拟波浪运动并应用Morison方程计算波浪载荷。构建张力腿漂浮平台结构动力学方程,以气动载荷和波浪载荷为激励,得到平台响应,并反馈至气动计算,从而完成气动、结构和水动的耦合计算。最后以大型风力机NH1500为例,对张力腿式海上风力机进行仿真模拟,对比分析来流风速、浪高和波浪入流角对漂浮平台运动和风力机气动性能的影响,采用PM频谱模拟真实海况并计算漂浮式风力机动态响应,为漂浮式风力机设计提供了依据。     

IDS contribution to ITRF2008

For the first time, the International DORIS Service (IDS) has produced a technique level combination based on the contributions of seven analysis centers (ACs), including the European Space Operations Center (ESOC), Geodetic Observatory Pecny (GOP), Geoscience Australia (GAU), the NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC), the Institut Géographique National (IGN), the Institute of Astronomy, Russian Academy of Sciences (INASAN, named as INA), and CNES/CLS (named as LCA). The ACs used five different software packages to process the DORIS data from 1992 to 2008, including NAPEOS (ESA), Bernese (GOP), GEODYN (GAU, GSC), GIPSY/OASIS (INA), and GINS (LCA). The data from seven DORIS satellites, TOPEX/Poseidon, SPOT-2, SPOT-3, SPOT-4, SPOT-5, Envisat and Jason-1 were processed and all the analysis centers produced weekly SINEX files in either variance–covariance or normal equation format. The processing by the analysis centers used the latest GRACE-derived gravity models, forward modelling of atmospheric gravity, updates to the radiation pressure modelling to improve the DORIS geocenter solutions, denser parameterization of empirically determined drag coefficients to improve station and EOP solutions, especially near the solar maximum in 2001–2002, updated troposphere mapping functions, and an ITRF2005-derived station set for orbit determination, DPOD2005. The CATREF software was used to process the weekly AC solutions, and produce three iterations of an IDS global weekly combination. Between the development of the initial solution IDS-1, and the final solution, IDS-3, the ACs improved their analysis strategies and submitted updated solutions to eliminate troposphere-derived biases in the solution scale, to reduce drag-related degradations in station positioning, and to refine the estimation strategy to improve the combination geocenter solution. An analysis of the frequency content of the individual AC geocenter and scale solutions was used as the basis to define the scale and geocenter of the IDS-3 combination. The final IDS-3 combination has an internal position consistency (WRMS) that is 15 to 20 mm before 2002 and 8 to 10 mm after 2002, when 4 or 5 satellites contribute to the weekly solutions. The final IDS-3 combination includes solutions for 130 DORIS stations on 67 different sites of which 35 have occupations over 16 years (1993.0–2009.0). The EOPs from the IDS-3 combination were compared with the IERS 05 C04 time series and the RMS agreement was 0.24 mas and 0.35 mas for the X and Y components of polar motion. The comparison to ITRF2005 in station position shows an agreement of 6 to 8 mm RMS in horizontal and 10.3 mm in height. The RMS comparison to ITRF2005 in station velocity is at 1.8 mm/year on the East component, to 1.2 mm/year in North component and 1.6 mm/year in height.     

有磁场时电子在航天器光电子鞘层中的漂移运动

采用二级漂移近似理论，研究了在航天器光电子鞘层中与电流收集有关的电子在磁场中的运动轨道和收集电子有关的磁瓶结构，结果表明当磁场越强，航天器表面电势越弱，磁瓶在无穷远处横截面积就越小。在光电子鞘层中，势垒对电流收集影响较大，磁瓶的横截面积在略远于垫垒处有极大值，磁瓶在无穷远处的横截面积并非随着势垒距航天器距离的远近而单调变化。     

Periodic relative orbits of two spacecraft subject to differential gravity and electrostatic forcing

Coulomb forces between charged close-flying satellites can be used for formation control, and constant electric potentials enable static equilibria solutions. In this work, open-loop time-varying potential functions, which produce periodic, two-craft, Coulomb formation motions are demonstrated for the first time. This is done in the rotating Hill-Frame, with linearized gravity, and craft position components assumed in the form of simple harmonic oscillators. Substitution of the oscillatory functions into the dynamics, further constrains these functions, and yields necessary potential histories, to produce the periodic flow. The assumed position functions, however, are not arbitrary, since the dynamical model restricts what oscillatory trajectories are allowed. Specifically, a Hill-Frame integral of motion is derived, and this is used to show certain candidate periodic functions to be inadmissible. The system dynamics are then linearized to expose stability properties of the solutions, and it is established that asymptotic stability is impossible for all orbit families. Finally, the degree of instability in the assumed motions, over free parameter ranges, is determined numerically via the Floquet multipliers of the associated full-cycle state-transition matrices.     

长期雇佣关系对人力资本形成的激励效应

企业作为物质资本和人力资本的契约联结，长期雇佣关系是人力资本形成与优化的重要激励方式。这种激励来自于促进人力资本的形成、干中学与制度的外溢效应三个方面。发挥内部劳动力市场的激励功能应着眼于雇佣关系、合作机制选择以及制度与文化建设等方面。     

人体热调节的有限元分析

本文根据人体的热调节机制建立了二维人体热调节的有限元模型，并设计了相应的实验对该模型进行了验证，实验结果与计算结果吻合较好，本模型对于以人体－环境热交换为内容的工程实践和理论研究有较高的应用价值。     

Hybrid optimization for multiple-impulse reconfiguration trajectories of satellite formation flying

A hybrid optimization method is developed for fuel-optimal reconfigurations of a group of satellites flying in formation. The genetic algorithm performs a global search to find two-impulse trajectories, and primer vector analysis finds multiple-impulsive local optimal trajectories with the two-impulse trajectories as initial guesses. Hybrid optimization finds globally optimal trajectories for formation reconfigurations, including formation resizing, reassignment and reorientation maneuvers. Multiple-impulse trajectories reduce the fuel consumption from the two-impulse trajectories by up to 4.4% for those maneuvers. In real missions, satellites can follow two-impulse trajectories to gain the advantage of a smaller number of impulses, with the cost of slightly more propellant. The qualitative characteristics of the optimal trajectories are analyzed from the number of optimal trajectories found by hybrid optimization.     

具有轴向流的可压缩非定常旋涡流

本文研究埋定常轴对称自由旋涡流动结构的可压缩效应，探索旋涡的密度变化，粘性扩散和热传导的耦合作用机制。在回顾了前人某些典型结果之后，首次给邮了具有轴向拉伸率的可压缩非定常轴对称自由旋涡在高Ｒｅ数和小Ｍ数下的近似解析解。