Space weather: its effects and predictability

Terrestrial technology is now, and increasingly, sensitive to space weather. Most space weather is caused by solar storms and the resulting changes to the Earth's radiation environment and the magnetosphere. The Sun as the driver of space weather is under intense observation but remains to be adequately modelled. Recent spacecraft measurements are greatly improving models of solar activity, the interaction of the solar wind with the magnetosphere, and models of the radiation belts. In-situ data updates the basic magnetospheric model to provide specific details of high-energy electron flux at satellite orbits. Shock wave effects at the magnetopause can also be coarsely predicted. However, the specific geomagnetic effects at ground level depend on the calculation of magnetic and electric fields and further improvements are needed. New work on physical models is showing promise of raising geomagnetic and ionospheric predictability above the synoptic climatological level. This revised version was published online in August 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

高压输电网设计中的二阶非线性方程的次谐波分枝

本文用Melnikov方法研究高压输电网设计中提出的非线性二阶受迫振动方程的次谐波分枝,分析了系统可能出现次谐解的条件和参数区域,以此为工程应用提供参考。     

1958年7月8日磁暴的电离层响应

本文用遍布全球的52个电离层垂测台站资料,研究1958年7月8日磁暴期间全球电离层扰动的发展变化;各扇区的响应特性;扰动的传播轨迹及速度等。获得以下结果:1.几大扇区的电离层扰动始于南北两极,美洲扇区除具这一特征外,其赤道地区在磁暴急始后不久,出现一个扰动中心,邻近区域的扰动受其控制。2.扰动由高纬向低纬发展,由扰动中心向外传播。3.扰动峰面几乎与地磁力线垂直,即扰动沿磁力线方向发展,其传播速度大约在150—600m/s范围。     

VARIABLE STRUCTURE CONTROL OF AIRCRAFTFOR ATMOSPHERIC DISTURBANCE

ＶＡＲＩＡＢＬＥＳＴＲＵＣＴＵＲＥＣＯＮＴＲＯＬＯＦＡＩＲＣＲＡＦＴＦＯＲＡＴＭＯＳＰＨＥＲＩＣＤＩＳＴＵＲＢＡＮＣＥＺｈｕＸｉａｏｐｉｎｇ；ＺｈｏｕＺｈｏｕ（ＮａｎｊｉｎｇＵｎｉｖｅｒｓｉｔｙｏｆＡｅｒｏｎａｕｔｉｃｓａｎｄＡｓｔｒｏｎａｕｔｉｃｓ...     

高精度GPS定位的精密电离层模型

在长距离GPS实时动态定位(RTK)过程中,电离层延迟误差是影响定位精度的主要误差源.目前,由于采用全空间电离层模型精度不够,对长距离RTK定位主要采用双差电离层残差内插方式.本文提出一种新的电离层模型.该模型仅对每个卫星轨迹通过的电离层部分进行建模,可适用于高精度GPS定位.采用香港数据,结果表明,该模型可较好地模拟低纬度电离层变化,并可支持GPS厘米级定位精度.     

重现性地磁活动的数值预报

重现性地磁扰动作为地磁活动的重要部分，其特性在磁情预报中起着不可缺少的重要作用．本文利用地磁扰动在一定条件下具有２７天重现的特性和现代时序分析法中的自适应滤波方法，对北京地磁台Ｋ指数的预报方法进行了研究，并分别在太阳黑子活动低年和高年的两个时间段，进行了预报实验：低年时段预报结果精度为０．６６；在高年时段，预报精度为０．７９．进一步分析还表明，理论计算方法应当与多方面的物理分析相结合，这样才能为磁扰的定量分析和预报提供更充分与合理的计算条件和物理根据．     

Study of GNSS-measured ionospheric total electron content variations generated by powerful HF-heating

The purpose of this work is to report the experimental evidences for the influence of perturbations in the electron density in the dayside mid-latitude ionosphere, that are caused by high-frequency heating of the F2 layer, on the GNSS signals. The experiments were carried out at the Sura heater (Radio Physical Research Institute, N. Novgorod). During the sessions of ionospheric heating with different time modulations of the radiated power the rays linking the navigational satellites with the ground receiver intersected the heated region. Variations in the total electron content (TEC) were studied; these variations are proportional to the reduced phases of navigational signals. It is shown that with the square-wave modulation of the radiated power (with periods of 1, 6, 10 and 15 min), perturbations with periods of the main modulation of heating and its harmonics appear in the spectrum of TEC variations. Examples are presented of identification of the heating-induced variations in TEC, including determination of the amplitudes and time characteristics of these variations.     

基于扩张状态观测器的动态逆过失速机动飞行控制

针对飞机过失速机动飞行控制问题,提出了一种将动态逆与扩张状态观测器相结合进行扰动估计补偿的新思路。根据时标分离原则将飞机状态分为快变量和慢变量,并分别设计了两个回路的动态逆控制器。在快慢回路分别引入扩张状态观测器对系统的不确定部分进行估计补偿,抵消不确定部分对系统动态特性的影响。最后对控制律进行了过失速机动仿真。结果表明,在存在较大参数摄动情况下,设计的控制律能控制飞机跟踪控制指令,表现出良好的稳定性和鲁棒性。     

Initial nighttime ionospheric observations with advanced ionospheric probe onboard FORMOSAT-5

FORMOSAT-5 satellite was launched into a sun-synchronous orbit at 720 km altitude with 98.28° inclination on 25 August 2017. The onboard scientific payload, Advanced Ionospheric Probe (AIP) is capable of measuring topside ionospheric ion density, cross-track flow velocities, ion composition and temperature, and electron temperature. Initial observations of nighttime midlatitude ionospheric density and vertical flow velocity variations at 2230 LT sector during a few quiet magnetic days in December 2017 are studied here. Longitudinal density variations in the equatorward edge of midlatitude ionospheric trough (MIT) region are noticed. Accompanied with this density variation, the vertical flow velocities also behave differently. Although the density difference has been stated due to zonal wind effect related to the declination of the geomagnetic field lines, the vertical flow velocity variation seems to play the opposite role. All these density and vertical flow observations in the northern winter hemisphere can only be explained by the longitudinal differences in the diffusion velocity coming down from the protonsphere (plasmasphere). In addition, the hemispheric asymmetry in the vertical flow velocity can also be explained by the interaction between the topside ionosphere and the protonsphere. The observed vertical flow variations near MIT at different longitudes should present a new potential tool for the study of MIT formation.     

电离层色散对DS/FH-BPSK信号解调性能影响

相位连续的DS/FH(Direct Sequence/Frequency Hopping,直接序列/跳频)扩频信号的扩频带宽比直扩信号更宽,在电离层的非线性相位以及跳频频点变化这两者的共同作用下,该信号的BPSK(Binary Phase Shift Keying,二相相移键控)解调性能明显恶化。依据随机变量概率分布的数学规律,推导得到了在背景电离层色散条件和跳频频点均匀分布前提下,某种DS/FH卫星测控信号的引导信号和长周期信号BPSK误码率的变化规律,并在特定信号参数条件下进行了误码率仿真。