A multi-stage regulation strategy of space manipulators with a free-swinging joint failure

To ensure tasks can be completed after a free-swinging joint failure occurs, a multi-stage regulation strategy of space manipulators is proposed. Considering all terms of the dynamics equation, an evaluation model of the regulation ability (EMRA) of active joints over the fault joint is established based on the fuzzy entropy. And then a multi-stage regulation strategy based on the EMRA is designed to regulate the fault joint. The strategy divides the regulation process into several stages, and select a certain active joint to regulative the fault joint in every stage. With this multi-stage regulation strategy, the fault joint can be regulated to the desired angle without huge torque on regulative joints. The simulation is carried out with a 7-DOF space manipulator, verifying the correctness and effectiveness of the multi-stage regulation strategy. The strategy has three advantages: Coriolis and centrifugal terms are both considered for the first time in selecting the regulative joint, making the selection result more in line with the actual regulation process; The influence of the model uncertainty is eliminated in establishing the EMRA, making the evaluation of regulative ability more precise; The fault joint is successfully regulated to the desired angle without huge torque on regulative joints.     

AP聚类改进免疫算法用于航空发动机故障诊断

在免疫算法训练过程中引入近邻传播(AP)聚类与熵权法,对训练样本进行聚类与权值计算,将权值引入免疫算法中样本选择阈值的计算,以解决训练过程采用固定选择阈值所造成的检测器在部分区域过拟合,部分区域欠拟合的问题。结果表明:改进的免疫算法用于典型非线性函数的寻优时,迭代性能均优于传统免疫算法,并在大部分情况下优于粒子群算法与量子遗传算法,在进行某型发动机故障诊断的实例实验时,改进后的算法的诊断准确率达到98.06%,高于传统免疫算法的92.60%。      

基于信息熵的飞机相似机型确定方法

参考类似机型的经验是我国目前民用飞机研制的主要途径之一。为了更好地借鉴国内外类似机型的经验,本文提出了一种基于信息熵的类似机型确定方法,该方法应用信息熵理论,直接通过类似机型数据所蕴含的客观信息计算各属性的权重,消除了依靠人为指定权重的主观因素影响。在此基础上,给出了包含有不精确信息属性的相似度的计算方法,最后应用支线飞机实例进行了验证,表明该方法具有较高的客观有效性。     

金融工程对我国国有银行信用风险管理的启示

多年来信用风险都是各国银行所面临的主要风险,由于历史的原因我国国有银行的信用风险管理问题显得更为突出.针对国有银行信用风险管理现状,引入最新的金融工程的方法和理念,从技术创新和制度创新的角度对国有银行的信用风险管理提出建议.     

死亡是生命的必然归宿

本文根据物质系统演化的规律，平衡原理及熵理论，阐述了死亡是生命系统演化的必然归宿。     

高拱坝失效模式与失效概率

为克服高拱坝确定性安全评价中不考虑随机性、不进行风险分析的弊端,提出研究超静定结构高拱坝的失效模式、利用失效概率与失效风险值对高拱坝进行风险评价。在分析洪水、地震和材料老化等造成高拱坝失效原因的基础上,利用故障树分析法探索出高拱坝具有失稳溃坝、剪滑垮坝、超量开裂以及人为毁坝等4种主要失效模式;从产生载荷参数随机数、获取随机变量的分布规律和建立失效模式的状态函数等方面研究了高拱坝单个失效模式与系统失效概率的计算方法。计算了某高拱坝剪滑失效模式的失效概率。     

Collision Risk Mitigation in Geostationary Orbit

The short- and long-term effects of spacecraft explosions, as a function of the end-of-life re-orbit altitude above the geostationary orbit (GEO), were analyzed in terms of their additional contribution to the debris flux in the GEO ring. The simulated debris clouds were propagated for 72yrs, taking into account all the relevant orbital perturbations.The results obtained show that 6–7 additional explosions in GEO would be sufficient, in the long term, to double the current collision risk with sizable objects in GEO. Unfortunately, even if spacecraft were to re-orbit between 300 and 500km above GEO, this would not significantly improve the situation. In fact, an altitude increase of at least 2000km would have to be adopted to reduce by one order of magnitude the long-term risk of collision among geostationary satellites and explosion fragments. The optimal debris mitigation strategy should be a compromise between the reliability and effectiveness of spacecraft end-of-life passivation, the re-orbit altitude and the acceptable debris background in the GEO ring. However, for as long as the re-orbit altitudes currently used are less than 500km above GEO, new spacecraft explosions must be avoided in order to preserve the geostationary environment over the long term.     

航天器舷窗玻璃超高速撞击损伤与M/OD撞击风险评估

用北京卫星环境工程研究所的18mm口径二级轻气炮(TLGG)和20 J激光驱动微小飞片装置(LDFF-20)对用作航天器舷窗玻璃的熔融石英玻璃的超高速撞击损伤特性进行了实验研究和分析.其中,TLGG发射的球形铝弹丸直径分别为1 mm和3 mm,速度2～6.5 km/s;LDFF-20发射的圆柱形飞片厚度7 μm,直径1 mm,速度1～8.3 km/s.撞击结果为:对12 mm厚的熔融石英玻璃,直径为3mm的弹丸甚至在2.8 km/s的低速下就将其穿透,而直径为1 mm的弹丸在6.5km/s的高速下没有穿透,这说明弹丸直径对撞击损伤特性有很强的影响;LDFF-20发射的微小飞片的撞击仅在玻璃表面产生很浅的凹坑,没有裂纹产生,但微小飞片的累积撞击损伤明显地降低了玻璃的透光性.实验初步获得了侵彻深度PC、侵彻直径D1与弹丸撞击速度Vp、弹丸质量Mp之间的经验关系.依据实验结果和目前的微流星体/空间碎片(M/OD)环境工程模型,建议对于高度为400 km、轨道倾角42°、寿命为3年的典型航天器,其舷窗玻璃的临界安全(非穿透)厚度至少为12mm.     

液体火箭发动机初始雾化液滴分布预测

在简要描述使用最大熵原理预测初始雾化液滴分布的基础上,发展了较传统方法具有更大收敛域的数值计算方法,建立了离心式喷嘴雾化特性研究实验台,使用激光相位粒子分析仪进行了雾化粒径分布研究,结果显示实验数据同使用最大熵原理预测的分布吻合性较好,在此基础上最后提出了在液体火箭发动机雾化粒径分布预测应用中的策略。     

基于Convexity模型的航空公司利率风险管理

国际性特征日趋明显的中国航空公司正面临着金融市场上的诸多不确定性,其中利率风险日益凸显.将Convexity模型这一在西方发达国家较为成熟的风险管理工具引入中国,并将其应用到中国航空公司的风险管理实践,对利率风险进行了极为精确的量化评估,最后给出了相应的规避方法.