基于飞行资源分离的航班延误传播研究

在航班串设计及机组排班过程中,经常涉及飞行资源(飞机、机组)分离的问题。而延误航班的飞行资源分离将导致共享资源的衔接航班发生延误,并传播至后续航班串。本文考虑带有飞行资源分离的航班串,利用基于贝叶斯网络的比例风险回归模型,对资源分离后的航班离港延误进行分析。对比两种不同时刻飞机与机组资源分离方案下,各延误因素对衔接航班离港延误,以及整个后续航班串延误时间的影响,结果表明,不同时刻分离方案会造成不同的延误传播效果。本文为飞机、机组资源分离时刻的选择提供了定量分析方法,结果表明,资源分离时刻的不同对衔接航班的离港延误,以及整个后续航班串延误波及时间的影响都不同。     

热防护系统损伤容限分析

建立了含初始矩形损伤的热防护系统(Thermal protection system,TPS)气动热分析的CFD数值模型,分析结果表明损伤区域侧壁出现了很高的热流密度峰值,并且迎风面侧壁峰值高于背风面,而损伤区域底部热流密度却很低。利用分析获得的热流密度建立了含损伤和无损伤TPS的有限元传热分析模型。分析结果表明:损伤的存在导致防热瓦最高温度急剧上升,超过其材料能承受的极限温度(1 500℃),防热瓦首先失效,而损伤对机体最高温度影响较小。最后进行了TPS损伤容限分析,在防热瓦极限温度约束下,外部热流密度最大值从100kW/m2增加到140kW/m2,矩形损伤宽度最大容许值从22.7mm减小到12.6mm,而弧形损伤宽度最大容许值从34.6mm减小到25.1mm,即随着外部热流密度最大值增加,损伤宽度的最大容许值降低,并且相同外部热流密度水平下弧形损伤宽度的最大容许值大于矩形损伤。     

基于深度学习的空间站舱内服务机器人视觉跟踪

为提升舱内跟随服务机器人的任务辅助能力,解决机器人对航天员的视觉跟踪问题,提出了一种基于深度学习和概率模型的人体视觉跟踪算法。利用深度卷积神经网络实现了对穿着多样、姿态任意人体的稳定检测。结合人体检测结果,设计了运动预测概率模型,实现了对指定人员准确、连续的跟踪。算法对包含大多数航天员活动的多个数据集进行了验证。实验结果表明:提出的跟踪算法实现了对穿着多样、姿态任意人体的稳定跟踪,并有效避免了由于穿着相似、遮挡可能造成的误跟踪问题。该算法为空间站舱内跟随服务机器人对航天员的视觉跟踪提供了有效的解决方法。算法基于融合的RGB-D图像,工程上易于构建和实现,也可拓展到其他跟随服务机器人视觉跟踪任务中。     

云制造环境下机床装备资源选择方法

针对云制造环境下机床装备资源具有数量大、异质异构、服务制约因素多等问题，提出了基于多准则决策的机床装备资源选择方法。首先，利用本体论对机床装备资源建模，将物理资源虚拟化封装，实现虚拟资源与物理资源的逻辑映射。进一步地，使用语言变量量化决策者评估信息，采用模糊决策与试验评价实验室（FDEMATEL）和熵值法（EW）相结合的组合赋权法，引入模糊VIKOR（FVIKOR）多属性决策方法对机床装备资源进行综合评估，建立FDEMATEL-EW-FVIKOR的多准则混合决策模型。最后，将该方法应用于某生产制造企业，实验对比决策结果验证了多准则混合决策模型的可行性和有效性。     

An empirical solar radiation pressure model for satellites moving in the orbit-normal mode

We present a family of empirical solar radiation pressure (SRP) models suited for satellites orbiting the Earth in the orbit normal (ON) mode. The proposed ECOM-TB model describes the SRP accelerations in the so-called terminator coordinate system. The choice of the coordinate system and the SRP parametrization is based on theoretical assumptions and on simulation results with a QZS-1-like box-wing model, where the SRP accelerations acting on the solar panels and on the box are assessed separately. The new SRP model takes into account that in ON-mode the incident angle of the solar radiation on the solar panels is not constant like in the yaw-steering (YS) attitude mode. It depends on the elevation angle of the Sun above the satellite’s orbital plane. The resulting SRP vector acts, therefore, not only in the Sun-satellite direction, but has also a component normal to it. Both components are changing as a function of the incident angle. ECOM-TB has been used for precise orbit determination (POD) for QZS-1 and BeiDou2 (BDS2) satellites in medium (MEO) and inclined geosynchronous Earth orbits (IGSO) based on IGS MGEX data from 2014 and 2015. The resulting orbits have been validated with SLR, long-arc orbit fits, orbit misclosures, and by the satellite clock corrections based on the orbits. The validation results confirm that—compared to ECOM2—ECOM-TB significantly (factor 3–4) improves the POD of QZS-1 in ON-mode for orbits with different arc lengths (one, three, and five days). Moderate orbit improvements are achieved for BDS2 MEO satellites—especially if ECOM-TB is supported by pseudo-stochastic pulses (the model is then called ECOM-TBP). For BDS2 IGSOs, ECOM-TB with its 9 SRP parameters appears to be over-parameterized. For use with BDS2 IGSO spacecraft we therefore developed a minimized model version called ECOM-TBMP, which is based on the same axis decomposition as ECOM-TB, but has only 2 SRP parameters and is supported by pseudo-stochastic parameters, as well. This model shows a similar performance as ECOM-TB with short arcs, but an improved performance with (3-day) long-arcs. The new SRP models have been activated in CODE’s IGS MGEX solution in Summer 2018. Like the other ECOM models the ECOM-TB derivatives might be used together with an a priori model.     

Comparison of GPS derived TEC with the TEC predicted by IRI 2012 model in the southern Equatorial Ionization Anomaly crest within the Eastern Africa region

We have compared the TEC obtained from the IRI-2012 model with the GPS derived TEC data recorded within southern crest of the EIA in the Eastern Africa region using the monthly means of the 5 international quiet days for equinoxes and solstices months for the period of 2012 – 2013. GPS-derived TEC data have been obtained from the Africa array and IGS network of ground based dual-frequency GPS receivers from four stations (Kigali (1.95°S, 30.09°E; Geom. Lat. 11.63°S), Malindi (2.99°S, 40.19°E; Geom. Lat. 12.42°S), Mbarara (0.60°S, 30.74°E; Geom. Lat. 10.22°S) and Nairobi (1.22°S, 36.89°E; Geom. Lat. 10.69°S)) located within the EIA crest in this region. All the three options for topside Ne of IRI-2012 model and ABT-2009 for bottomside thickness have been used to compute the IRI TEC. Also URSI coefficients were considered in this study. These results are compared with the TEC estimated from GPS measurements. Correlation Coefficients between the two sets of data, the Root-Mean Square Errors (RMSE) of the IRI-TEC from the GPS-TEC, and the percentage RMSE of the IRI-TEC from the GPS-TEC have been computed. Our general results show that IRI-2012 model with all three options overestimates the GPS-TEC for all seasons and at all stations, and IRI-2001 overestimates GPS-TEC more compared with other options. IRI-Neq and IRI-01-corr are closely matching in most of the time. The observation also shows that, GPS TEC are underestimated by TEC from IRI model during noon hours, especially during equinoctial months. Further, GPS-TEC values and IRI-TEC values using all the three topside Ne options show very good correlation (above 0.8). On the other hand, the TEC using IRI-Neq and IRI-01- corr had smaller deviations from the GPS-TEC compared to the IRI-2001.     

吸气式电推进系统可行条件分析

吸气式电推进系统作为有可能实现长寿命超低轨飞行的技术而被关注。根据不同轨道环境条件，采用管状结构进气道、以及机械增压的吸气方式，讨论了吸气式电推进系统所需的可行条件。分析表明，在轨高度180~240km，航天器所需总功耗与迎风面之比需要大于2kW/m2，电推力器比冲需大于4×104m/s，方可满足推阻平衡需求。分析得出，实现吸气式系统在地球轨道的运用，关键技术在于增加气体收集效率并且降低收集功耗，同时电推力器的效率还需进一步提升。     

Application of a modified generalized sail model on a solar sail with wrinkles

In this paper, we present an analysis of effect of wrinkles on the solar sail performance. We describe different analytical, semi-analytical and numerical approaches to the calculation of general large-scale curvature of a solar sail as well as parameters of so-called wrinkled domains, and introduce the impact of such wrinkles on the thrust and torque of the solar sail. Finally, we present a model of an optically-orthotropic surface for such non-ideal sail, providing a connection with the Generalized Sail Model, and other solar sail thrust models.     

密封舱内漂浮小球运动规律的数值模拟研究

"天宫二号"空间实验室开展了首次人机协同在轨维修技术试验,机械臂操作终端抓取漂浮小球试验为在轨试验任务之一。为研究漂浮小球与机械臂操作终端运动特性之间的匹配性,文章建立了在轨微重力环境下小球运动的物理模型与数学模型,采用动网格方法对不同小球的运动特性进行数值模拟,得到小球的运动规律,由此确定小球的设计参数范围,作为机械臂操作终端系统方案设计的依据。最终,数值模拟结果与"天宫二号"空间实验室在轨试验数据的对比初步验证了该计算结果的正确性。     

基于变刚度变阻尼的柔性喷管动态模型

针对柔性接头动态迟滞曲线受控制系统控制位置精度和动态响应速度影响较大的问题,基于电液伺服机构和柔性接头变刚度变阻尼模型,构建了柔性喷管的电液伺服机构-变刚度变阻尼模型,将其和电液伺服机构-定刚度定阻尼模型进行了对比。分析了电液伺服机构主要参数、柔性接头工作参数等对电液伺服机构-柔性接头系统动态特性的影响。分析结果表明:电液伺服机构-变刚度变阻尼模型所构造的迟滞曲线可更准确地与实验结果相吻合,并符合迟滞曲线随频率变化的规律,反馈系数、放大器静态放大系数、电液伺服机构增益、滑阀流量增益等参数对系统动态特性的影响更为明显。该模型为固体火箭发动机电液伺服机构-柔性接头系统动态特性的调整提供理论依据。