| 装备体系贡献率评估方法探究 |
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| 作者姓名： | 吴雄清 杨勇 周炎 周阳 王海滨 任泽宇 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京宇航系统工程研究所 |
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| 基金项目： | 航天系统部项目（305010509） |
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| 摘 要： | 未来装备必须坚持体系化发展,并通过贡献率评估明确在体系中的地位和作用。明确了装备体系贡献率的定义和评估意义,分析了定性评估法、基础技战术指标比较法、综合技战术指标灰靶比较法、基于装备体系的网络层次分析法、基于体系仿真及效能评估法等装备贡献率评估方法,并给出了灰靶比较法、网络层次分析法具体评估实例。同时,结合各评估方法特点,提出了网络层次分析法、体系仿真及效能评估法相结合的改进综合评估方法流程,实现装备体系贡献率的准确评估。
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| 关 键 词： | 贡献率 体系 灰靶 体系仿真与效能评估 网络层次分析 |
Research of Evaluation Method for Equipment Contribution Rate to System of Systems |
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| Authors: | WU Xiongqing YANG Yong ZHOU Yan ZHOU Yang WANG Haibin |
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| Institution: | Beijing Insitute of Astronautical Systems Engineering |
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| Abstract: | Future military equipments should persist in systematism development and be confirmed its role and effect in the system of systems(SOS) through evaluation of contribution rate. This work clearly clarifies the concept of equipment contribution rate to SOS and evaluation significance. Several evaluation ways of equipment contribution rate to SOS are thoroughly compared, such as qualitative evaluation, comparison of basic technical and tactical index, grey target comparison of technical and tactical index, analysis of network process(ANP) based on equipment SOS structure, evaluation based on SOS simulation and efficiency estimation. Finally, this work presents the estimation instances of grey target comparison and ANP. Considering the characteristic of all methods, this work present an improved method of synthesis evaluation which synthesizes ANP,simulation and efficiency estimation. This method can realize accurate evalution of equipment contribution rate to SOS. |
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