| 民航事故致因分析量化研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 曹海峰,吕人力,霍志勤.民航事故致因分析量化研究[J].中国民航学院学报,2009,27(4):11-13. |
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| 作者姓名： | 曹海峰 吕人力 霍志勤 |
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| 作者单位： | 曹海峰,吕人力(中国民航管理干部学院,北京,100102);霍志勤(中国民用航空局航空安全技术中心,北京,100028) |
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| 摘 要： | 在事故致因的HFACS模型基础上，采用层次分析法对各影响因素进行了量化表述，构建了事故致因的综合指标体系。对典型案例的量化计算结果与事故调查报告所列各因素重要度排序基本吻合，量化结果提高了判断的准确性和可信度。
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| 关 键 词： | 事故致因 HFACS模型 层次分析法 指标体系 |
Study on Civil Aviation Accident Cause Quantized Analysis |
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| Institution: | CAO Hai-feng,LUE Ren-li ,HUO Zhi-qin ( 1. Civil Aviation Management Institute of China, Beijing 100102, China; 2. Center of Aviation Safety Technology, CA A C, Beijing 100028, China) |
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| Abstract: | The estimating indicator system of the civil aviation accident cause, which bases on the HFACS model is established. Then the weights of indicators in a typical inccident are calculated with the method of AHP. Finally, the indicators are quantitatively estimated, and the weights of indicators are analyzed. |
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| Keywords: | accident cause HFACS model AHP indicator system |
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