Precise coseismic displacements from the GPS variometric approach using different precise products: Application to the 2008 MW 7.9 Wenchuan earthquake

The Global Positioning System (GPS) variometric approach has emerged as an attractive alternative to traditional well-developed positioning techniques including relative positioning and precise point positioning. Previous studies have demonstrated the capability of the variometric approach to retrieve coseismic displacements at centimeter-level precision, in a real-time manner using only readily available broadcast ephemeris. This study presents the first results comparing the performance of the variometric approach by using a variety of precise satellite orbit and clock products. Totally six kinds of products are included in our evaluation, namely the broadcast, IGS (International GNSS Service) ultra-rapid (predicted), ultra-rapid (observed), rapid, final (30-s clock) and CODE (Center for Orbit Determination in Europe) final (5-s clock) products. Static and dynamic experiments are conducted using 1-Hz GPS data covering a relatively large area in China during the 2008 Wenchuan M_W 7.9 earthquake. After removing the linear trend, the displacements using broadcast, ultra-rapid (predicted), ultra-rapid (observed) and rapid products reach nearly equivalent precisions at centimeter level. By using final and CODE final products, the precision of displacements can be significantly improved from 1.9–2.0 cm to 0.4–0.7 cm horizontally, and from 6.0–6.2 cm to 1.0–1.7 cm vertically for the dynamic experiments. The displacements using the CODE final products achieve the best precision, improved by more than 40% compared to those using the IGS final products. With the availability of IGS high-rate real-time precise products, this approach is promising to capture coseismic displacements more precisely in real time, which is crucial for earthquake and tsunami early warning.     

Spatial modeling of flood probability using geo-environmental variables and machine learning models,case study: Tajan watershed,Iran

The main objective of this study was to produce flood susceptibility maps for Tajan watershed, Sari, Iran using three machine learning (ML) models including Self-Organization Map (SOM), Radial Basis Function Neural Network (RBFNN), and Multi-layers Perceptron (MLP). To reach such a goal, different physical-geographical factors (criteria) were integrated and mapped. 212 flood inventory map was randomly divided into training and testing datasets, where 148 flood locations (70%) were used for training and the remaining 64 locations (30%) were employed for testing. Model validation was performed using several statistical indices and the area under the curve (AUC). The results of the correlation matrix showed, three factors slope (0.277), distance from river (0.263), and altitude (0.223) were the most important factors affecting flood. The accuracy evaluation of the flood susceptibility maps through the AUC method and K-index shows that in the validation phase RBFNN (AUC = 0.90) outperform the MLP (AUC = 0.839) and SOM (AUC = 0.882) models. The highest percentage flood susceptibility of the area in MLP, SOM and RBFNN models is related to moderate (28.7%), very low (40%) and low (37%), respectively. Also, the validation results of the models using the Relative Flood Density (RFD) approach showed that very high class had the highest RFD value.     

国外舰载飞机着舰进近适配性评估技术研究

通过对国外舰载飞机在着舰进近下滑中的操纵需求分析,提出舰载飞机着舰进近适配性的评估要求。在评估要求的基础上针对飞机在进近适配性方面相关的特性给出相应的飞行试验方法和分析方法,初步建立舰载飞机着舰进近适配性评估技术和方法。     

基于Lyapunov最小-最大方法的卫星编队飞行队形保持

提出一种卫星编队飞行队形保持的鲁棒控制方法.将环境摄动、推力误差等因素作为干扰项加到相对动力学方程中.然后对于该不确定系统,采用Lyapunov最小一最大方法设计相应的控制律,在存在干扰的情况下,采用该控制律仍然能保证系统渐近稳定.同时针对经典的Lyapunov最小一最大方法导致的控制颤振问题,进行了改进,证明了改进后的控制律能够实现系统的一致终极有界,同时消除颤振.通过仿真,验证了采用Lyapunov最小-最大方法在系统存在干扰的情况下,比一般控制方法具有更强的鲁棒性.     

On the modular approach of a 3D model of the system magnetosheath–magnetosphere

This article presents some preliminary features of a new self consistent model of the system magnetosheath–magnetosphere, recently developed in the Institute of Mechanics, Sofia, Bulgaria. The flow in the magnetosheath is governed by 3D ideal gas-dynamic equations. The positions and the shapes of the bow shock and the magnetopause are calculated iteratively as a part of the solution. These surfaces are essentially three-dimensional (generally non-axially-symmetric). The self-consistency between the regions is ensured via the boundary conditions. The magnetopause cusp indentations are formed, influencing essentially the magnetosheath flow. Prediction of the position and the shape of the bow shock for different values of the sonic Mach number are derived. Distribution of some flow parameters in the magnetosheath is presented. 3D numerical finite element model, calculating the field due to the magnetopause currents for an arbitrary magnetopause geometry, is used in the magnetosphere. The fields due to the current systems inside the magnetosphere(cross-tail current, ring current, and Birkeland current) are taken from the Tsyganenko empirical model. The magnetopause surface is calculated from the requirement the outside gas-dynamic pressure to be balanced by the magnetic pressure inside. The magnetosphere model can be viewed as an improved version of the empirical model but with more realistic magnetopause form and shielding field. Not a final but a beta version is used in this approach. The final model version as well the model details will be presented elsewhere.     

论建设学习型党组织的必要性与方法途径

建设学习型党组织是党的十七届四中全会提出的重大任务和党建的战略举措。本文阐述了建设学习型党组织的重要性和紧迫性,从六个方面剖析了建设学习型党组织的内涵,并提出了建设学习型党组织的方法和途径。     

关于新一代飞机的设计载荷

设计载荷是确定飞机结构重量和保证安全的重要因素。常规操纵系统飞机的设计载荷都是由现行的强度规范规定的。但是对于采用主动控制技术和复合材料的高机动飞机,现行的规范已不合适。在过去10年中,飞机界的专家对此问题进行了大量研究。本文根据北约公开的材料介绍这些研究工作。本文首先评述了现有规范并指出其不足,然后讨论了安全系数。为确定主动控制的新飞机的设计载荷,介绍了3种方法,即概率法、作战飞行参数法和飞行参数包线法及其在EF2000飞机设计中的应用;还介绍了飞机设计的各种动载荷;最后提出了确定我国新一代飞机设计载荷的建议。     

有限差分法在陶瓷瓦烧结过程优化控制中的应用

采用有限差分法分析了陶瓷瓦在烧结过程中的温度均匀性,计算结果表明:采用基本模型在烧结过程中温度分布不均匀,与实验结果相符;采用改进模型重新计算,结果显示陶瓷瓦在烧结过程中温度均匀性得到显著改善,进而提出实验修改方案。     

CFM56发动机推力增大的技术途径浅析

对CFM56发动机不同系列和同系列不同型号的性能和结构的改进改型发展进行了分析,总结了CFM56发动机推力增大的技术途径。     

非线性解耦控制与飞机敏捷性机动

首先介绍了以微分几何控制理论为基础的非线性系统解耦理论，给出了解耦控制律的综合方法及解耦闭环系统平衡点的计算方法，并对解耦系统的稳定性进行分析，随后用非线性解耦理论研究了飞机非线性运动的三种解耦运动模式，并讨论了飞机非线性解耦控制规律的线性近似解，最后用飞机非线性运动的三种解耦运动模式实现了三种形式的敏捷性机动，结果是满意的。为飞机敏捷性，直接力控制和过失速机动问题提供了一种理论研究方法。