基于最小一乘的跑道入口高度计算

跑道入口高度是关系着飞机能否安全着陆的关键参数,在其计算中需要采用曲线拟合预测的方法。目前大多是采用基于最小二乘准则的拟合方式。由于最小二乘准则的局限性,当下滑道随机误差不满足正态分布,在飞行数据中出现异常点时会给预测带来较大误差。将最小一乘方法引入到跑道入口高度计算问题中,提高了算法的稳健性,很好地克服了这一问题。     

基于遥测数据的无人机气动参数辨识方法研究

针对无人机在高空低速飞行时易受风场影响及在数据分析时遥测数据不完备的问题,进行了气动参数辨识方法研究,提出了基于空速管平面矢量三角形的风场估计方法及基于风场信息修正的气动角估计方法。以某型无人机为例,对遥测数据进行了充分分析与信息综合,运用逐步回归方法进行了纵向气动参数辨识,并进行了实验验证。结果表明,模型计算结果与实测数据吻合较好,说明所提方法有效。考虑到辨识模型的数学本质,该方法对其他固定翼无人机同样适用。     

经济先发地区居民收入对幸福感影响的实证研究——基于非参数、半参数及分位数回归方法

选择经济先发居民为研究对象,通过构建半参数及分位数回归模型,系统研究绝对收入、相对收入、期望收入等变量对幸福感的影响,我们发现:绝对收入对幸福感有显著的正相关关系;相对收入对高学历者影响不显著,但对低学历者影响显著;绝对收入对幸福感越低者的影响越显著;相对收入对中低幸福感群体影响显著,每周工作时间对低幸福感群体影响显著且强度大,但对高幸福感群体的影响力在降低。     

一种基于非线性回归的载人航天器密封舱内在轨噪声分析方法

文章提出一种载人航天器密封舱内噪声非线性回归通用分析方法,可基于地面噪声试验测得的数量较多的数据样本和在轨噪声测试获取的少量数据样本,建立密封舱内位置–在轨噪声的数学模型。经验证该模型能够较为准确地拟合密封舱内在轨噪声水平,从而为开展载人航天器的降噪设计、优化噪声仿真模型和验证降噪措施效果提供数据支持。     

考虑刀具偏心的微铣削加工表面粗糙度预测模型研究

基于微铣削刀具轨迹建立了考虑刀具偏心、最小切削厚度的塑性材料微铣削底面粗糙度的预测模型,预测结果表明粗糙度表面形貌呈锯齿状,刀具偏心会影响表面粗糙度的形貌周期和高度,并进行微铣削加工实验,对粗糙度预测模型进行了验证。采用回归统计方法,建立了脆性材料微铣削加工表面粗糙度预测模型,对加工表面形貌进行观察,利用响应曲面法得到了各铣削用量对表面粗糙度的影响规律。     

基于小波变换的航空发动机性能衰退率计算方法

由于航空发动机的工作环境复杂,性能参数测量值中夹杂的工况信息和测量误差会对发动机的性能衰退率计算产生较大的影响。为了弱化工况信息和测量误差对航空发动机性能衰退率计算的影响,本文首先运用多层小波分解与重构的方法对原始性能参数进行了趋势分量的提取,进而运用线性回归的方法对航空发动机的性能衰退率进行了计算。经过实际运维数据的验证,本文提出的航空发动机性能衰退率计算方法能够为实际工程应用提供理论支持。     

HTPB固体燃料冲压发动机流场仿真与燃速分析

基于守恒方程建立了固体燃料冲压发动机燃速仿真模型,采用二维轴对称模型和二方程化学反应模型开展了HTPB(端羟基聚丁二烯)固体燃料冲压发动机流场数值仿真,分析了不同空气来流条件对流场分布及燃速的影响.结果表明:火焰层在氧气和固体燃料壁面之间形成,随着来流空气流量和空气总温的增加,火焰层厚度变薄并向固体燃料壁面侧移动;随着发动机轴向位置的增加,燃速先迅速增加后缓慢增加,最后在补燃室附近快速减小,变化趋势与文献中试验结果吻合较好;固体燃料平均燃速随来流空气总温及发动内空气流率的增加而增大,并根据仿真结果拟合得到了燃速公式.      

Remote sensing and GIS-based landslide hazard analysis and cross-validation using multivariate logistic regression model on three test areas in Malaysia

This paper presents the results of the cross-validation of a multivariate logistic regression model using remote sensing data and GIS for landslide hazard analysis on the Penang, Cameron, and Selangor areas in Malaysia. Landslide locations in the study areas were identified by interpreting aerial photographs and satellite images, supported by field surveys. SPOT 5 and Landsat TM satellite imagery were used to map landcover and vegetation index, respectively. Maps of topography, soil type, lineaments and land cover were constructed from the spatial datasets. Ten factors which influence landslide occurrence, i.e., slope, aspect, curvature, distance from drainage, lithology, distance from lineaments, soil type, landcover, rainfall precipitation, and normalized difference vegetation index (ndvi), were extracted from the spatial database and the logistic regression coefficient of each factor was computed. Then the landslide hazard was analysed using the multivariate logistic regression coefficients derived not only from the data for the respective area but also using the logistic regression coefficients calculated from each of the other two areas (nine hazard maps in all) as a cross-validation of the model. For verification of the model, the results of the analyses were then compared with the field-verified landslide locations. Among the three cases of the application of logistic regression coefficient in the same study area, the case of Selangor based on the Selangor logistic regression coefficients showed the highest accuracy (94%), where as Penang based on the Penang coefficients showed the lowest accuracy (86%). Similarly, among the six cases from the cross application of logistic regression coefficient in other two areas, the case of Selangor based on logistic coefficient of Cameron showed highest (90%) prediction accuracy where as the case of Penang based on the Selangor logistic regression coefficients showed the lowest accuracy (79%). Qualitatively, the cross application model yields reasonable results which can be used for preliminary landslide hazard mapping.     

Transient simulation of regression rate on thrust regulation process in hybrid rocket motor

The main goal of this paper is to study the characteristics of regression rate of solid grain during thrust regulation process. For this purpose, an unsteady numerical model of regression rate is established. Gas–solid coupling is considered between the solid grain surface and combustion gas.Dynamic mesh is used to simulate the regression process of the solid fuel surface. Based on this model, numerical simulations on a H2O2/HTPB(hydroxyl-terminated polybutadiene) hybrid motor have been performed in the flow control process. The simulation results show that under the step change of the oxidizer mass flow rate condition, the regression rate cannot reach a stable value instantly because the flow field requires a short time period to adjust. The regression rate increases with the linear gain of oxidizer mass flow rate, and has a higher slope than the relative inlet function of oxidizer flow rate. A shorter regulation time can cause a higher regression rate during regulation process. The results also show that transient calculation can better simulate the instantaneous regression rate in the operation process.     

气压高度试验方法研究

介绍了利用模型表面的压力测量值经计算求出来流静压的方法和试验结果。文中涉及的计算方法为多元回归法,对试验所得压力数据进行处理,可拟合出多个不同参变量下的静压P∞的多元方程,从中选取一组较精确的作为计算公式进行验证试验,结果表明采用该方法测量静压具有较高的精度。