Comprehensive performance review of BDS-3 after one-year official operation

On July 31, 2020, the third generation BeiDou Global Satellite Navigation System (BDS-3) was officially put into service. Here we first reviewed the development history of BDS-3, and described the status of BDS-3 constellation, satellite signals, and ground tracking network. Then we expounded the 10 innovations in which BDS-3 differs from the other global satellite navigation systems. In addition, the latest service performance status of BDS-3 was displayed from a comprehensive perspective. The performance of BDS-3 was analyzed and evaluated from five aspects: constellation performance, observation data quality, spatial signal performance, PNT (Positioning, Navigation, and Timing) service performance, and precision positioning application. We used 14 indices to conduct comprehensive assessment of the BDS-3 service performance. Finally, the main direction of the next development of BDS was prospected.     

基于层次分析法的保障风险评估模型构建与应用

为了快速识别各产品保障过程的薄弱环节，及时制定应对措施，提高外场响应速度，进而提高装备保障能力，依据航空电子产品特点及保障现状，构建了保障压力评估指标体系。在此基础上采用层次分析法，结合历史保障数据，建立了保障能力评估模型。通过模型的应用能够实时评估产品保障风险并预警，为保障资源调度及保障任务规划提供决策支撑。将模型集成到服务保障信息化平台中，实时调用平台中的保障数据并进行风险评估。实践证明，所采用的方法能够有效评估保障风险，显著提高保障决策能力。     

Warhead power assessment based on double hierarchy hesitant fuzzy linguistic term sets theory and gained and lost dominance score method

Warhead power assessment of the anti-ship missile plays a vital role in determining the optimal design of missile, thus having important strategic research significance. However, in the assessment process, expert’s judgement will directly affect the assessment accuracy. In addition,there are many criteria involved in the missile design alternatives. Some criteria with poor performance may be compensated by other criteria with excellent performance, and then it is impossible to find the truly opt...     

于不确定性与重要度的改进DSmT健康状态评估

针对目前健康状态评估准确度不高、客观性不强的问题,引入评估指标的不确定性和重要度,提出一种基于不确定性和重要度的改进DSmT（Dezert Smarandache theory）健康状态评估方法.首先,引入指标不确定性和重要度作为加权因子,能够得到比较合理的指标权重；其次,采用模糊综合评判方法,通过构造三角形梯形隶属度函数确定各指标的广义基本信度赋值；然后,基于指标权重对广义基本信度赋值进行改进DSmT融合,得到各指标的广义基本信度赋值加权融合后的评估结果；最后,以某供电系统为例进行了实例验证,结果表明该方法能够赋予各评估指标较合理的权重,健康状态评估结果与系统实际运行状态相符.      

民用飞机验证类试验/试飞中构型差异管理策略研究

在民用飞机研发过程中,构型差异管理是适航验证类试验/试飞过程中进行的必要动作,用以评估当前设计构型能否满足试验/试飞进行的要求以及试验/试飞的适航代表性。从单机设计构型要求、适航验证类试验/试飞要求、型号设计构型、单机设计构型以及实物状态的角度出发,分析了适航验证类试验前后飞机的各类构型差异,并提出了构型差异管理模型。     

基于任务协同的有人机/无人机 对海攻击作战效能评估研究

通过分析攻击敌海上舰船目标过程中有人机/无人机编队的作战使用方式及影响其作战效能的主要因素,建立了有人机/无人机编队协同攻击海上目标的作战效能评估指标体系,运用ADC法构建了有人机/无人机混合编队攻击敌舰船目标作战效能评估模型,通过算例证明了该方法适应于有人机/无人机编队的作战效能评估,为有人机/无人机协同作战决策提供了有效的参考依据。     

Synthetic damage effect assessment through evidential reasoning approach and neural fuzzy inference: Application in ship target

The damage effect assessment of anti-ship missiles combines system science and weapon science, which can provide reference for the assessment of battlefield damage situation. In order to solve the difficulty of heterogeneous data aggregation and the difficulty in constructing the mapping between factors and damage effect, this paper analyzes the specific damage process of the anti-ship missile to the ship, and proposes a synthetic Evidential Reasoning (ER) – Adaptive Neural Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) to assess the damage effect. To solve the problem of fuzziness and uncertainty of criteria in the assessment process, the belief structure model is used to transform qualitative and quantitative information into a unified mathematical structure, and ER algorithm is used to fuse the information of lower-level criteria. In order to solve the problem of fuzziness and uncertainty of the information contained in the first-level variables, and the strong non-linear characteristics of the mapping between first-level variables and damage effect, the ANFIS with self-adaptation and self-learning is constructed. The map between the three first-level variables and damage effect is established, and the interaction process of the various factors in the damage effect assessment are clear. Sensitivity analysis shows that assessment model has good stability. The result analysis and comparative analysis show that the process proposed in this paper can effectively assess the damage effect of anti-ship missiles, and all criteria data are objective and comparable.     

运载火箭加速度计反馈主动减载实施效果评价

针对运载火箭加速度计反馈主动减载实施效果评价，提出一种基于主动减载姿态动力学稳态分析的评价方法，在传统的“载荷侧滑角”评价指标基础上增加了“姿态偏差”、“摆角需求”和“弹道偏离”评价。稳态分析中考虑了结构干扰的偏置效应以及质心运动对风的抵消效应，重点推导了风切变对于火箭姿态动力学特征参数的影响机理。某型号案例分析结果表明，在典型“平稳风+切变风”风场作用下，主动减载技术在4项评价指标上均取得理想实施效果，并且显著缓解风切变导致的姿态参数快变现象。     

面向有效载荷的准实时在轨健康评估系统

卫星遥测数据通常有2种手段获得，一种是卫星经过地面测控站下传的实时遥测和延时遥测;另一种手段是通过数传分系统下传的全球遥测。全球遥测作为监视卫星载荷健康状态的主要手段，存在数据量大、文件数量较多、人工处理和判读工作量大等问题。针对该情况，提出准实时在轨健康监视系统的设计方案。该系统具备遥测源码定时获取、有效载荷遥测数据提取和解析、遥测数据存储、遥测数据自动判读和特征统计、超限报警、曲线显示和数据输出等功能，可对卫星有效载荷的健康状态进行准实时、自动化的监视和评估。     

航空涡扇发动机涡轮噪声适航性评估

通过对涡轮噪声产生机理和主要影响因素的分析研究,建立航空涡扇发动机涡轮噪声级评估模型，编写了涡轮噪声级适航评估软件,使用该软件对比模型评估噪声与涡轮静态实验噪声,验证了模型的正确性,并结合某型发动机静态实验噪声数据和飞机噪声适航规章,对该型涡轮不同阶段的噪声进行适航性评估.结果显示:涡轮噪声在该型发动机进近转速下对发动机总噪声贡献量大,为了使涡轮噪声不影响发动机适航认证,该型发动机低压涡轮叶片数应小于50或者大于100,低压涡轮叶片直径应该小于0.9m.