基于知识图谱和自动机器学习的软件缺陷预测

不稳定和召回率低效的软件缺陷预测模型难以在行业领域应用，为解决稳定和高效各项性能评价指标的软件缺陷预测模型在工程实践应用的问题，提出了一种基于知识图谱和自动化机器学习的软件缺陷预测方法AutoKGGAS，首先获取软件缺陷预测模型数据，对知识建模、知识获取、知识融合、知识储存与知识计算等知识图谱构建技术研究，实现知识图谱推荐优质软件缺陷预测模型作为自动化搜索的热启动输入条件，根据不同的软件缺陷预测评价指标，优化不同最佳的模型结构.其次实证研究采用NASA开源数据集实验对象和六种性能评价指标，实验结果表明， AutoKGGAS自动化软件缺陷预测模型在不同数据集不同评价指标方面，性能优于知识图谱推荐的传统经典软件缺陷预测模型.自动化软件缺陷预测模型为航天软件缺陷预测辅助代码审查测试提供了原型，在工程实践应用方面具有重要的意义.     

二元曲面可调进气道流量系数精确预测方法

为了满足二元曲面可调进气道模态转换马赫数范围(来流马赫数为2.2~3.2)的流量要求,针对唇口平移、转动和转动+平移三种调节方案,基于理论分析和基准进气道的流场,提出了一种流量系数精确预测方法,并通过数值计算进行验证且获得了进气道的总体性能。结果表明:调节后的进气道流量系数与预测值完全相等,而且无需多次试算,符合设计预期,可拓展应用于轴对称进气道。相对基准进气道,唇口前移时流量系数和压缩效率同时增加,来流马赫数为2.5时出口总压恢复系数相等而增压比增加了14.6%;在降低相同流量系数条件下,后移唇口使得增压比和压缩效率均降低,来流马赫数为2.5时出口总压恢复系数基本相等而增压比减小了12.9%,转动唇口使增压比进一步减小了9.1%,唇口后移方案性能更优。      

Modeling novel methodologies for unmanned aerial systems–Applications to the UAS-S4 Ehecatl and the UAS-S45 Bálaam

The rising demand for Unmanned Aerial Systems(UASs) to perform tasks in hostile environments has emphasized the need for their simulation models for the preliminary evaluations of their missions. The efficiency of the UAS model is directly related to its capacity to estimate its flight dynamics with minimum computational resources. The literature describes several techniques to estimate accurate aircraft flight dynamics. Most of them are based on system identification. This paper presents an alternative methodology to obtain complete model of the S4 and S45 unmanned aerial systems. The UAS-S4 and the UAS-S45 models were divided into four sub-models, each corresponding to a specific discipline: aerodynamics, propulsion, mass and inertia, and actuator. The‘‘aerodynamic" sub-model was built using the Fderivatives in-house code, which is an improvement of the classical DATCOM procedure. The ‘‘propulsion" sub-model was obtained by coupling a two-stroke engine model based on the ideal Otto cycle and a Blade Element Theory(BET) analysis of the propeller. The ‘‘mass and the inertia" sub-model was designed utilizing the Raymer and DATCOM methodologies. A sub-model of an actuator using servomotor characteristics was employed to complete the model. The total model was then checked by validation of each submodel with numerical and experimental data. The results indicate that the obtained model was accurate and could be used to design a flight simulator.     

液压泵污染寿命预测技术研究

利用污染敏感度建模理论,建立液压泵污染敏感度分析模型.采用污染敏感系数来描述液压泵的污染耐受程度.结合实际情况推导得到液压泵的污染寿命预测公式,并对某型定量液压泵进行了寿命预测.绘制出液压泵污染耐受曲线,为液压泵的设计和系统构建提供了有效的依据.     

某型飞机数字防滑刹车控制盒可靠性分析与设计

对某型飞机数字防滑刹车控制盒的可靠性进行了分析,利用工程加权法对控制盒进行了可靠性分配,并通过元器件可靠性预计法对控制盒的可靠性进行预计.对比及验证表明,控制盒可靠性设计合理,满足主机及系统要求.     

Near real-time estimation of tropospheric water vapour content from ground based GNSS data and its potential contribution to weather now-casting in Austria

The importance of high resolution meteorological analysis of the atmosphere increased over the past years. A detailed analysis of the humidity field is an important precondition for a better monitoring of local and regional extreme precipitation events and for forecasts with improved spatial resolution. For this reason, the Austrian Meteorological Agency (ZAMG) is operating the spatial and temporal high resolution INCA system (Integrated Now-casting through Comprehensive Analysis) since begin of 2005. Errors in this analysis occur mainly in the areas of rapidly changing and hard to predict weather conditions or rugged topography with extreme differences in height such as the alpine area of Austria. The aim of this work is to provide GNSS based measurements of the tropospheric water vapour content with a temporal resolution of 1 h and a temporal delay of less than 1 h to assimilate these estimates into the INCA system. Additional requirement is an accuracy of better than 1 mm of the precipitable water (PW) estimates.     

天气因素导致的航班延误问题研究

针对天气干扰下的分季节的航班过站衔接时间优化问题,在对各个航班的潜在延误风险等级评价的基础上,通过历史数据研究天气因素导致的航班延误概率分布,求得各航班波及延误的期望,以优化前后总的波及延误之差最大化为目标函数,分别建立分季节优化松约束模型和紧约束模型,对航班衔接过站时间进行优化.最后以国内某航空公司的航班数据为算例,进行验证并比较.研究结果表明,分季节的松约束模型和紧约束模型均比原计划减少了波及延误的时间,且松约束模型的优化效果更明显.     

Atmospheric reentry hemisphere prediction for prograde orbits using logical disjunction

A unique logic-based algorithm for atmospheric reentry hemisphere prediction is presented for spacecraft in low-eccentricity, prograde low Earth orbits at altitudes of 300 km and lower. Using two-line element (TLE) data for initial orbit conditions, coupled with coarse estimates for spacecraft aerodynamic characteristics, the algorithm relies on logical disjunction operations based on a dual analysis of histogram and two-weighted Gaussian probability density function (PDF) fits of predicted reentry latitude data. The algorithm requires the execution of a series of parametric simulations to determine the reentry hemisphere for variations in spacecraft aerodynamic coefficients and drag reference area. When implemented, the algorithm yields accurate hemisphere predictions on average 15 days from reentry as demonstrated by historical reentry cases from 1979 to 2018. All reentry cases were selected to demonstrate the algorithm’s ability to deliver accurate reentry hemisphere predictions for spacecraft with varying physical size and mass, and reentering during different periods of solar cycle activity.     

航天器用固态功率放大器加速寿命试验方法研究

针对航天器电子产品的寿命预示问题,文章指出对航天器电子产品开展加速寿命试验(ALT)研究,首先要利用故障模式、机理及影响分析(FMMEA),确定产品的主要失效机理和敏感应力;然后利用理论分析或可靠性强化试验确定产品的工作极限;最后设计出完整的试验方案。针对航天器固态功率放大器进行试验,验证了加速寿命试验在航天器电子产品中的适用性。     

控制系统延迟对轴扭振的影响

控制系统中的轴扭振会引起系统控制量的振荡,加大机械传动装置磨损,甚至会导致传动轴断裂。在工业应用中,多采用陷波滤波器抑制轴扭振,而陷波频率的选取通常未考虑控制系统延迟因素。基于电机角速度增量、轴转矩增量和电机电磁转矩增量的相位图,分析了控制系统延迟对轴扭振频率的影响。仿真结果对分析结论给予了验证。