基于样本值为正数条件下的AR模型平稳性研究

通过讨论一般情况下样本值为正的条件下的AR模型的稳定性,推导出模型的平稳性条件,从稳定性这个角度推出其与平稳性之间的一般关系,进而推广得到其他模型的平稳性条件。     

差值法与比值法的误差修正效果比较研究及应用

差值法与比值法对不同测量系统的误差修正效果不一样。本文将两种方法的比较用一个比值来描述,并用推得的公式进行量化表示。在进一步的应用研究中,理论分析与实验数据相互印证,同时得到许多有益的结论,有助于全面掌握测量系统的误差来源,从而灵活选择各种修正方法以获得更加准确的测量结果。     

火星自然卫星分析历表的建立

为了解环火星探测器的运动规律,就要构造环火星探测器的轨道分析解,这会涉及2个火星自然卫星的分析历表,因而需要首先构造它们的轨道分析解。由于火星与地球类似,参照建立人造地球卫星轨道摄动解的方法,构造火星自然卫星轨道的摄动分析解,分离出短周期项,即可给出所需要的历表计算公式。将其与JPL网站上提供的历表进行比对,结果表明,所采用的数学模型以及构造轨道摄动解的方法均有效,能够达到期望的精度。     

论清代前期统一的历史局限性

对于清代前期的统一，我们既要看到它的深远影响，也应指出其严重失误。诸如排斥汉族将帅参与边疆事务，在边疆某些地区滥施淫威，对蒙古及黄教政策的消极影响，虚边政策的危害，闭关自守政策的恶果等等，结果很快从“盛世”坠入“衰世”，内忧外患，纷至沓来，到清末时已是不可救药了。     

企业绩效差异根源论——来自转型期国有与非国有企业的经验证据

企业绩效本质上是人力资本与制度安排的函数，决定企业绩效的关键因素是创新型人力资本或企业人力资本的创新动力与能力。基于制度安排差异而导致的创新型人力资本缺乏、创新动力与能力双重不足，是转型期国有企业相对于非国有企业绩效低下的根本原因。从战略上改进国有企业绩效，应以创新型人力资本为核心重塑国有企业制度创新战略，促使一般型与专业型人力资本转变为创新型人力资本，充分调动经营者和职工的创新积极性，正确诱导经营者和职工的创新行为，从而提高企业团队的创新动力与能力。     

Comparison of the Past Two Solar Minima from the Perspective of the Interior Dynamics and Dynamo of the Sun

Solar cycle 23 behaved differently than cycle 22 in many ways. Certain properties, namely the long minimum at the end of cycle 23, weakening of polar fields, shrinking of polar coronal holes, reduction in the terrestrial atmospheric neutral density layer, have been identified as unusual compared to several past cycles. The origin of these differences most likely lies in the ways the dynamo has operated that led to distinctly different generation and evolution of the large-scale magnetic fields in cycles 22 and 23. Certain differences in the properties of Galactic-Cosmic Rays during cycles 22 and 23 have recently been explained by the differences in evolutionary pattern of coronal holes, which are linked to the dynamo-generated large-scale magnetic fields. In this paper, I will discuss the differences in the solar interior dynamics, particularly the properties of flow fields and their influence in governing the evolution of dynamo-generated magnetic fields during cycles 22 and 23, respectively.     

Stability of the stationary motion of the airship

The issues of constructing the mathematical models of airship motion, dynamics of longitudinal and lateral motion, existence and analysis of stationary motions, disturbed motions, and longitudinal and lateral stability are examined.     

The start of the laboratory: the beginnings of the MITInstrumentation Laboratory

The author takes a look at the very early days of the MIT Instruments Laboratory and its successor, the MIT Instrumentation Laboratory. The discussion ranges over some of the incidents and events as these early instrument developers groped with problems that others had already failed to solve, and for which current solutions were declared adequate     

环片数量对环帆伞气动性能的影响

为探究环片数量对环帆伞气动性能的影响,文章基于 CFD方法对某环帆伞流场开展了定常三维数值模拟,采用有限体积法求解不可压缩 Navier-Stokes控制方程来模拟外部流场,获得了该伞的气动参数与绕流流场分布。通过数值结果与空投试验结果对比,验证了数值方法的准确性。在不改变伞衣名义面积和环帆高度比的前提下,分别针对定结构透气量和变结构透气量开展了环片数量对气动性能的影响研究,结果表明:定结构透气性下,环片数量对伞衣阻力性能和气动静稳定性的影响很小;变结构透气性下,环片数量通过影响透气量、尾涡分布等因素进一步影响环帆伞稳定性。上述结果对环帆伞的设计有一定参考意义。     

Formation of the Cores of the Outer Planets

The formation of the giant planets seems to be best explained by accretion of planetesimals to form massive cores, which in the case of Jupiter and Saturn were able to capture nebular gas. However, the timescale for accretion of such cores has been a problem. Accretion in the outer solar system differs qualitatively from planetary growth in the terrestrial region, as the larger embryo masses and lower orbital velocities make bodies more subject to gravitational scattering. The planetesimal swarm in the outer nebula may be seeded by earlier-formed large bodies scattered from the region near the nebular “snow line”. Such a seed body can experience rapid runaway growth undisturbed by competitors; the style of growth is not oligarchy, but monarchy.     

区域经济发展的内在机制解析

在尝试定义区域经济运行机制内涵的基础上,从区域经济的主体——地方政府、企业和个人出发,着眼于对目标及动力机制、信息传递机制、决策机制、激励及约束等机制的具体解析,以探索区域经济发展新思路。     

可拓学理论在导弹武器系统能力分析中的应用

利用可拓学中物元的可拓性、分合链与蕴含系方法。通过建立导弹武器系统能力的物元模型,对系统的能力进行了分析,实现了分析过程的符号化与形式化,使系统能力的分析层次更清晰。将可拓学的理论和方法与导弹武器系统能力的数学计算模型相结合,为武器系统的论证、研制、使用提供了一种有效的途径。     

Comparative geology of the satellites of the giant planets

The geologic evolution of the Jovian and Saturnian satellites is reviewed with regard to the major discoveries of the Voyager 1 and 2 encounters with Jupiter and Saturn.Nearly forty satellites are now identified in the Jovian and Saturnian systems. Three of these satellites (Ganymede, Titan, and Callisto) are larger than Mercury, two (Io and Europa) have sizes similar to the Moon, and four others (Rhea, Iapetus, Dione, and Tethys) are larger than the largest asteroids.They all have experienced different geologic evolutions related to their composition, and to their location in the two systems. The emphasis is given upon the cratering record of their surfaces, and on their thermal evolution, with regard to the tidal effects produced by the giant planets. The small satellites are also presented with no attempt to review their geologic record since they are almost only known from their orbital properties.     

政府在民族零售企业并购中的作用

中国零售业市场已向WTO成员国全面开放,面对每年近三万多亿元人民币的零售业大市场和国际跨国零售商的全面竞争,并购已经成为民族零售企业迅速形成规模化经营的有效途径。政府可以通过制定相关法律法规、鼓励并购与退出、打破地方保护主义、指导并购后企业整合等政策主导作用来推动和促进民族零售企业的并购。     

ETBA法在PHA分析中的应用

基于能量意外释放理论和事故三角模型,并通过对比和借鉴一般作业风险评价方法(LEC法)的有关内容,对能量跟踪与屏障分析方法(ETBA法)的计算过程进行了进一步的思考.并尝试应用其来量化预先危险性分析方法(PHA法)分析的结果,这样可以使得PHA分析结果具备伞面与重点兼顾、定性与定量结合的效果,并且使危险等级的划分更加明确,使其能为进一步的危险分析及建设项目的设计、整改工作提供更为切实的依据.     

论石油企业QHSE管理体系的建立

根据我国石油企业的实际 ,探讨了石油企业建立QHSE管理体系的方法与措施。     

The Responsibility of the Engineering School in the Continuing Education of the Engineer

Engineering schools have a responsibility to provide a science background upon which graduates may build to solve the across-the-discipline challenges of tomorrow. They cannot and should not train for solutions to today's problems. Schools must insure that their faculty continues its education beyond the Doctor's degree by means of workshops, professional meetings, and involvement in investigation and research. Individuals must, however, retain primary responsibility for investment of time, energy, and effort necessary to remain a productive member of the profession for their career.     

腔内平板对空腔自激励振荡的影响及预估振荡频率方程的改进

运用全隐式无分裂方法,紊流模型采用修正的B-L代数模型,数值模拟了超音速流通过腔内存在平板的空腔流动.研究了腔内有不同长度平板存在的空腔流动的剪切层自持性振荡,并与无平板存在时的现象进行类比.腔内平板将剪切层与空腔隔开,减弱了剪切层振荡与空腔压强脉动的耦合作用;随着腔内平板长度的增加,剪切层振荡的程度有所减小.基于特征长度可变的思想,本文改进了Heller的频率预估方程,改进后的频率方程能更好地预估空腔的振荡频率.与Heller的方程相比,修改后的方程预估所得到的频率值更接近于闭式空腔声学模型方程的预估结果;各个方程预估空腔振荡频率值的比较进一步验证了改进后的方程的正确性及合理性.     

飞机燃油管理系统仿真研究

为分析和验证飞机燃油油量管理系统功能设计的完备性、构架设计的合理性、功能实现过程逻辑关系的严密性以及系统故障检测方法的可行性,对民用飞机燃油油量管理系统进行了仿真研究。介绍了燃油油量管理系统功能、相关系统构架以及基于该系统构架构建的计算机仿真系统。在该仿真平台上,可显示飞机燃油系统管路及附件的正常工作状态;对于设定的燃油油量管理系统的故障,可显示检测的结果以及容错策略结果。仿真结果表明设计的燃油油量管理仿真系统结构合理、功能实现的逻辑关系严密、使用的故障诊断方法和容错策略可行。     

亚声速轴流压气机失速监测方法试验

为了研究轴流压气机失速先兆信号监测的有效算法,对亚声速轴流压气机试验台的孤立转子在不同转速下,从稳定工况到失速工况叶顶不同轴向位置进行了动态压力信号测量试验,采用自相关分析和方差分析算法对试验数据进行了对比分析。结果表明,该压气机为突尖型失速,在叶顶前缘附近能明显感受到失速先兆信号,自相关分析监测到失速先兆信号的时间明显早于方差分析,可更有效的达到失速预警的作用。