ESA和NASA空间碎片模型的比较

文章介绍了欧空局MASTER、美国NASA90和NASA96三种空间碎片模型的概念设计,并通过不同目标的轨道特征,对其定量预示进行比较。特别指出了:在直径大于1cm或者是在1mm以下的范围,不同模型之间存在一个量级以上的相当大的差异。     

卫星超高速撞击解体碎片特性的试验研究

为了研究超高速撞击下卫星解体碎片的分布特性,在弹道靶上开展了三次模拟卫星的超高速撞击试验。发射铝合金钝锥弹丸以3.2km/s~4.2km/s的速度撞击模拟卫星,对解体碎片进行回收、测量和统计分析,结果表明：碎片累积数量与碎片特征尺寸/特征质量在对数坐标系中基本呈直线关系,且碎片尺寸分布和质量分布在形式上和规律上具有高度相似性。通过数据拟合得到了碎片尺寸和质量分布的具体函数形式,分析了碎片质量分布与尺寸分布之间的内在关系。将试验结果与NASA标准解体模型进行了比较,讨论了两者的差别及其原因。
     

空间碎片环境的现状,未来及防护

在调研国外碎片研究活动基础上,分析了空间碎片的类型、增长及空间分布规律,根据气体动力学理论,估算了航天器与轨道碎片的碰撞几率和碰撞速度,介绍了NASA的“PIB”近地轨道空间碎片环境予示模型,关于空间碎片问题的对策,综述了国际上已采用的一些予防措施,清除空间碎片的各种技术方案正在深入研究之中,该文只作了一般概念性介绍。     

美国海基导弹拦截卫星任务的毁伤分析

基于经验模型和基本假设,研究了航天器撞击的解体特性,计算了碎片的尺寸分布、面质比分布和速度分布,考虑生存高度和大气阻力的影响计算了各种碎片的轨道寿命,提出了碎片留轨比例及数量的计算公式,分析了不同尺寸的碎片的留轨特性.结果表明:这次任务产生的碎片将快速坠毁,对空间环境的影响有限.分析结果可以作为参考,更准确的结果有赖于根据实际观测数据进行深入、详细的分析.     

空间碎片环境的研究与控制方法

一、空间碎片空间碎片是指宇宙空间中除正在工作的飞行器外的人造物体,又称轨道碎片。它们是人类空间活动的必然产物。目前,地面观测不到的空间碎片的数量估计在数十万至数百万之间,而地面能够观测到的在轨运行的人造物体约有9000个。它们的平均相对速度约为10km/s,总质量大约为3000多吨。在这9000多个已确认的人造空间物体中,只有700多个是正在工作的人造航天器,其余8000多个都是尺寸在1cm以上的空间碎片。由于目前人类的太空活动主要集中在低地球轨道,所以对空间碎片的观察和研究也主要集中在低地轨道区域内。在低地轨道上,尺寸大于1mm的…     

地球静止轨道卫星撞击解体的数值模拟

分析了地球静止轨道（GE0）环内的物体现状,引入美国家航空航天局（NASA）的标准解体模型,给出了卫星撞击解体算法,编写了数值仿真软件,仿真研究了GEO卫星撞击解体形成碎片的特征及其轨道分布。结果表明：撞击会产生大量碎片,对空间环境造成长期的严重危害。研究结果对分析卫星撞击解体特性、保护空间环境有一定的参考价值。     

弹丸超高速撞击单层和多层板结构的碎片特征研究

针对空间碎片撞击航天器典型结构形成的碎片特征问题,开展了单层板和多层板在4.4～5.8 km／s速度下的超高速撞击试验,利用激光阴影照相技术和碎片软回收方法获得了不同试验状态下碎片尺寸及质量分布等信息,同时采用数值仿真方法分析了碎片的形成机理。研究结果表明,碎片数量随弹丸及靶材尺度的增大、撞击速度的提高而增加,且随碎片尺寸的减小呈指数关系增长。碎片尺寸与其形成机理有关,小碎片主要是在应变率较高的冲击加载和相变作用下形成,对撞击速度的变化更为敏感;大碎片则是在较低应变率下,因靶材的穿孔损伤造成局部强度下降,在冲击作用下材料沿薄弱处撕裂并脱落而形成。     

液体火箭爆炸碎片模型研究

对液体火箭爆炸碎片模型进行了研究。由当量原理和能量守恒建立了碎片初速模型。验证了美国航空航天局（NAsA）火箭箭体爆炸解体模型不适于火箭芯一级爆炸;修正了Mott模型,用于描述液体火箭爆炸碎片质量和数量的分布规律;分析了碎片速度衰减规律和杀伤标准。研究表明：建立的模型能描述液体火箭爆炸碎片特征,评估爆炸碎片的威胁半径。     

空间微小碎片累积作用下材料光学性能退化预示模型适用性研究

航天器在轨服役期间会遭受到大量空间微小碎片和微流星体的撞击作用,其中的微米级粒子将在航天器表面产生大面积砂蚀现象,并使材料或器件功能衰退。文章介绍了NASA空间微小碎片累积损伤材料光学性能退化预示模型并推导了两个预示模型之间的关系。利用ORDEM2000碎片分布模型估算了K8玻璃累积损伤面积。以K8玻璃为例,对比研究了两个预示模型的适用性。结果表明,当航天器外表面损伤程度小于40%,可利用Canoon模型评价和预示材料光学性能退化规律;当航天器外表面损伤程度大于40%,需利用Mirtich模型评价和预示材料光学性能退化规律。     

微小碎片对航天器舷窗玻璃损伤状况的跟踪研究

空间微小碎片环境比较复杂,其来源包括人为产生的碎片及微流星体。空间微小碎片不仅速度较高,而且数量庞大。它们频繁撞击航天器外表面,包括舷窗部位,特别是对航天飞机舷窗已造成巨大危害,使长期服役的国际空间站舷窗玻璃存在安全隐患。文章简要介绍了空间微小碎片对航天飞机和空间站舷窗玻璃的损伤状况,以及NASA对此做出的改进措施,这些跟踪研究成果可为我国长寿命、高可靠航天器舷窗结构设计提供参考依据。     

Analysis of the Micrometeoroid and Debris Hazard Posed to an Orbiting Parabolic Mirror

Many concepts of future space systems involve the use of parabolic mirrors for optical applications. The need for a highly reflective finish means that performance of such systems will be particularly vulnerable to space debris and micrometeoroids. A case study was performed to examine the micrometeoroid and debris hazard posed to an orbiting parabolic mirror. The mirror considered was nominally Earth-pointed in a circular orbit with two candidate altitudes in low Earth orbit (LEO), well within the region inhabited by man-made debris. The timeframes of interest for the two missions were 2002–2004 and 2005–2015. Microgram and larger particles were considered.To perform this study, it was necessary to determine the debris and meteoroid flux across the parabolic surface. To assess sensitivity of results to uncertainity in available data, two approaches were taken. The first approach was an analytical procedure based on use of long duration exposure facility (LDEF) data and published theoretical results. The second approach used two readily available computer models: the ESA MASTER model and NASA's ORDEM96. In addition, an in-house implementation of the Grün meteoroid model was used. While multiple results were available for the total flux and flux distributed over azimuth, only the MASTER model was available for generating the desired elevation data to obtain the flux distribution over the parabolic mirror. In an attempt to bound the uncertainty in the knowledge of the elevation distribution, the results from both the MASTER and ORDEM96 models were processed together to form a separate, hybrid prediction. In addition, results were used in the preliminary design of a protective skirt.This case study elucidated the practical obstacles and considerations in performing a sufficiently accurate debris and meteoroid analysis using data and tools that are readily available to the broad space sector. The resulting procedures are useful in the assessment of the risk posed to optics by the meteoroid and debris environment and in the design of protection.     

Additional historical solid rocket motor burns

The use of orbital solid rocket motors (SRM) is responsible for the release of a high number of slag and Al₂O₃ dust particles which contribute to the space debris environment. This contribution has been modeled for the ESA space debris model MASTER (Meteoroid and Space Debris Terrestrial Environment Reference). The current model version, MASTER-2005, is based on the simulation of 1076 orbital SRM firings which mainly contributed to the long-term debris environment. SRM firings on very low earth orbits which produce only short living particles are not considered. A comparison of the modeled flux with impact data from returned surfaces shows that the shape and quantity of the modeled SRM dust distribution matches that of recent Hubble Space Telescope (HST) solar array measurements very well. However, the absolute flux level for dust is under-predicted for some of the analyzed Long Duration Exposure Facility (LDEF) surfaces. This indicates that some past SRM firings are not included in the current event database. Thus it is necessary to investigate, if additional historical SRM burns, like the retro-burn of low orbiting re-entry capsules, may be responsible for these dust impacts. The most suitable candidates for these firings are the large number of SRM retro-burns of return capsules. This paper focuses on the SRM retro-burns of Russian photoreconnaissance satellites, which were used in high numbers during the time of the LDEF mission. It is discussed which types of satellites and motors may have been responsible for this historical contribution. Altogether, 870 additional SRM retro-burns have been identified. An important task is the identification of such missions to complete the current event data base. Different types of motors have been used to de-orbit both large satellites and small film return capsules. The results of simulation runs are presented.     

一种新的卫星超高速撞击解体阈值模型研究

为定量描述卫星在超高速撞击下的解体阈值与解体程度,本文提出了一种新的卫星解体阈值模型,即用能量密度em(来袭物动能与卫星在撞击通道内的质量之比)的大小来判断卫星是否发生解体,用卫星解体后碎片累积质量统计曲线中平滑无突变部分的碎片质量与碎片总质量之比μc来描述卫星的解体程度,μc越大,卫星解体程度越高。采用数值仿真方法获得了卫星最小解体撞击能量密度阈值为3.62×102J/g,研究了不同em和不同η(卫星在撞击通道内的质量与卫星总质量之比)条件下卫星解体碎片的统计规律,建立了μc与em和η之间的函数关系,初步完成了这种新的卫星超高速撞击解体阈值模型的构建。     

Developing a Low-Velocity Collision Model Based on the Nasa Standard Breakup Model

We have conducted a series of low-velocity impact experiments to understand the dispersion properties of fragments newly created by low-velocity impacts possible in space, especially in geostationary Earth orbit. The test results are utilized to establish a mathematical prediction model to be used in debris generation and propagation codes. Since the expected collision velocity between catalogued objects in geostationary Earth orbit shows a peak at a few hundreds meters per second, these impact experiments were conducted at a velocity range lower than 300m/s. As a typical structure of satellites in geostationary Earth orbit, thin aluminum honeycomb sandwich panels with carbon fiber reinforced plastics face sheets were prepared, while the projectile was a stainless steel ball of 9mm diameter. The data collected through these impact experiments have been re-analyzed based on the method used in the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) standard breakup model 1998 revision. The results indicate that the NASA standard breakup model derived from hypervelocity impacts could be applied to low-velocity collision possible in geostationary Earth orbit with some modifications.     

天基雷达观测空间碎片的研究现状及关键技术分析

文章针对空间碎片观测中尚未得到确切观测数据的危险碎片的观测需求,综合分析了国内外的研究水平和现状,对天基雷达观测的需求和关键技术开展研究,提出了天基空间碎片观测有三个关键技术需要解决,即如何确定雷达工作体制和平台轨道以提高观测效率,如何有效探测尺度只有几个毫米-几个厘米的细小目标,如何对观测到的空间碎片进行分类和精确定轨。     

Will space run out of space? The orbital debris problem and its mitigation

An appraisal of current and future risks from space debris is presented with the aid of calculations carried out by the MASTER model. The efficacy of various technical options -- such as fuel venting, de-orbiting and use of a graveyard orbit -- for counteracting the problem is discussed. The article then focuses on governmental and international cooperative measures and looks at the recent work done by subcommittees of the UN COPUOS.     

Benefits and risks of using electrodynamic tethers to de-orbit spacecraft

By using electrodynamic drag to greatly increase the orbital decay rate, an electrodynamic space tether can remove spent or dysfunctional spacecraft from low Earth orbit (LEO) rapidly and safely. Moreover, the low mass requirements of such tether devices make them highly advantageous compared to conventional rocket-based de-orbit systems. However, a tether system is much more vulnerable to space debris impacts than a typical spacecraft and its design must be proved to be safe up to a certain confidence level before being adopted for potential applications. To assess space debris related concerns, in March 2001 a new task (Action Item 19.1) on the “Potential Benefits and Risks of Using Electrodynamic Tethers for End-of-life De-orbit of LEO Spacecraft” was defined by the Inter-Agency Space Debris Coordination Committee (IADC). Two tests were proposed to compute the fatal impact rate of meteoroids and orbital debris on space tethers in circular orbits, at different altitudes and inclinations, as a function of the tether diameter to assess the survival probability of an electrodynamic tether system during typical de-orbiting missions. IADC members from three agencies, the Italian Space Agency (ASI), the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA) and the US National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), participated in the study and different computational approaches were specifically developed within the framework of the IADC task. This paper summarizes the content of the IADC AI 19.1 Final Report. In particular, it introduces the potential benefits and risks of using tethers in space, it describes the assumptions made in the study plan, it compares and discusses the results obtained by ASI, JAXA and NASA for the two tests proposed. Some general conclusions and recommendations are finally extrapolated from this massive and intensive piece of research.     

Beam-Park-Experiment-1/2000 with TIRA

A monostatic 24-h debris observation campaign (BPE-1/2000) has been prepared and conducted using FGAN's TIRA L-Band system. Based on experiences from previous Beam-park experiments a similar largely automated data processing is applied on an extended range window of 300–2000km. More than 1500 detections are encountered, 471 of them are verified as being real objects in Low-Earth-Orbit (LEO). PROOF's observation forecasting of catalogued objects is evaluated against the observed objects, and the difficulties obtaining radar cross-sections (RCSs) and object sizes from Beam-park experiments are discussed. Sidelobe detections are identified by using background information like two-line element (TLE) sets and/or catalogued RCSs.In comparison with previous experiments, the statistics show similarities confirming the concept of Beam-park experiments for space debris observations, despite the snapshot character of 24-h experiments. The comparison with MASTER/PROOF'99 and ORDEM2000 leads to a reasonable agreement between models and observations.