日冕边界条件与太阳风共转相互作用

本文根据第二十太阳周太阳风数据的统计分析结果,用太阳风二维理想流体模型探讨近太阳区的不同边界条件太阳风与共转相互作用对1AU处太阳风各参数影响,得到共转相互作用不能引起太阳风速度和马赫数的反相扰动,推断在太阳风加速区温度扰动对太阳风的影响最大,而在太阳风传播区速度扰动对太阳风的影响最大.      

从地磁扰动分析太阳共转周期结构

本文运用相关、功率谱等数字信号处理方法对20周太阳风速度和地磁扰动进行比较,得出两者反映的太阳共转周期结构十分相似.且用1900—1979年的地磁C₉指数进行了自相关分析,发现在相当长的时间中,地磁扰动存在13天、27天的周期成份,说明日冕上可能具有某种固有的分布结构,通过不同的太阳活动周的比较,说明太阳活动水平及黑子面积南北半球不对称都对地磁C₉指数能否明显反映日冕上固有分布结构的活动和发展有影响.      

日球参数的卡林顿共转变化(Ⅱ)——在第20太阳活动周中的演变

本文统计分析了日球基本参数及能量参数的共转变化在第20太阳周中不同位相的演变。太阳风速度由上升年的单峰经历极大年的多峰演变为下降及极小年的稳定双峰。密度变化自极大年起即具有双峰特征。在上升及下降年速度变化不明显,但密度和流密度存在明显增高的共转压缩扰动。      

日球参数的卡林顿共转变化(Ⅰ)——第20太阳活动周的平均特性

本文统计分析了第20太阳周在地球轨道处观测到的有关的日球参数, 系统地给出了各种参数的平均共转变化规律:20太阳活动周的平均卡林顿周变化普遍具有双峰特征.能流极大值出现在高速流与低速流相互作用区内, 两峰能流输出并不均衡.声速的变化与太阳风速相似, 但高速流的马赫数反比低速流的低.等离子体参数对反映共转高速流并不灵敏.      

太阳风动压脉冲结构与地磁急始关系研究

针对1994-2011年的363例地磁急始事件,基于太阳风动压脉冲（DPP）结构自动识别算法确定是否有相应的太阳风动压脉冲结构事件与其相关联,进而针对太阳风动压脉冲结构地磁急始关联事件进行统计分析研究.研究结果显示:91%的地磁急始事件与DPP事件相关联,53%的地磁急始事件与行星际激波相关联,这表明太阳风动压脉冲结构是引起地磁急始更普遍的原因;引起地磁急始的太阳风动压脉冲结构事件约70%发生在行星际日冕物质抛射、共转相互作用区以及行星际日冕物质抛射和/或共转相互作用区相互作用形成的复杂抛射物等大尺度太阳风扰动结构中,且其平均动压变化幅度为3.9nPa,强太阳风动压脉冲结构事件占全体事件的42%;地磁急始事件变化幅度与太阳风动压脉冲变化幅度以及上下游动压平方根差之间存在明显的相关关系,相关系数分别为0.79和0.82,并且行星际磁场南向时相关性更强;太阳风动压脉冲结构事件持续时间、传播速度、动压变化幅度对地磁急始事件的持续时间有一定影响,但这些参数与地磁急始事件的相关关系较弱.研究结果可为基于太阳风动压脉冲结构特征参数开展地磁急始预报提供研究基础.      

地磁扰动期间日本Kokubunji站电离层的扰动特征分析

利用日本Kokubunji站(139.5°E,35.5°N)1959年1月到2004年12月共46年的F2层临界频率foF2参数,统计分析了Kokubunji站电离层F2层峰值电子浓度NmF2随地磁活动、太阳活动、季节和地方时变化的形态特征.结果表明,总体来看,磁暴期间Kokubunji站电离层响应以正暴为主,其中在太阳高年夏季为负暴,冬季为正暴,春秋季以负暴为主但幅度较小;在太阳低年夏季以正暴为主,冬季为正暴,春秋季以正暴为主.NmF2扰动与ap指数在夏季太阳高年负相关,在冬季无论太阳高年低年均为正相关,春秋季中4月和9月在太阳高年类似夏季,3月和10月在太阳低年类似冬季.电离层最大负相扰动对最大地磁活动的延迟时间约为12～15 h;正相扰动的延迟时间则分别为3 h和10 h.地磁活跃期间地方时黄昏后到午夜前倾向于正相扰动,清晨倾向于负相扰动.      

太阳风速度的周期结构分析

本文应用功率谱估计中的加窗法和最大熵法对第20太阳活动周太阳风速度的周期结构进行了频谱分析;为了克服太阳活动高年瞬变扰动的干扰,本文还用互相关滤波方法与谱分析进行了比较。得到如下结果:除了个别年代外,在太阳活动周的所有相位里,太阳风速度几乎都存在13天和27天两种主要周期变化成份。在一些年里,还有9天的周期成份存在。      

太阳质子事件与大气臭氧扰动

本文利用统计分析方法分析了1960至1982年间1级以上的太阳质子事件与四个不同地理纬度大气臭氧含量的相互关系.分析结果表明,对于中、低纬度地区,1、2级太阳质子事件基本上不影响大气臭氧含量,只有3、4级的大事件才对臭氧含量产生扰动,而且具有明显的纬度效应;对于极区,1级以上的太阳质子事件就能对臭氧含量产生影响,随着质子事件级别的增高,对臭氧含量的扰动也加大.通常,太阳质子事件发生的当天,臭氧含量开始下降,在第4天下降达最小值,整个扰动持续数日.由太阳质子事件扰动大气臭氧明显的纬度效应证明了太阳质子事件的确是使大气臭氧含量变化的重要因素.此外,分析结果表明,冬天出现的太阳质子事件对臭氧的扰动要大于夏天质子事件对臭氧的扰动.这些结果给出了太阳质子事件影响大气臭氧的一个总轮廓,而且从理论上得到了较好的解释.      

太阳耀斑对电离层总电子含量的影响

本文分析了1978—1979年1级以上的太阳耀斑对电离层总电子含量的影响. 给出了不同持续时间、不同亮度、不同季节、发生在日面不同位置上的太阳耀斑对电离层总电子含量的影响.分析结果表明,持续时间大于等于1.5小时的耀斑对电子含量有明显的扰动,耀斑出现后电子含量随之增加,在第4—5天增加到最大值,扰动持续数日;持续时间小于1.5小时的耀斑对电子含量影响甚微;非亮耀斑对电子含量的扰动小于亮耀斑;夏季出现的耀斑对电子含量无明显扰动,只有冬季出现的亮耀斑对电子含量有明显的扰动;太阳耀斑扰动电子含量有明显的日面位置东西不对称性,只有出现在日面东边、特别是E₃区的太阳耀斑对电子含量才有明显的扰动.      

二维太阳风速度结构与日球电流片

本文分析了第1733—1742Carrington周的太阳耀斑、行星际闪烁(IPS)、太阳风及K-日冕资料,对二维太阳风速度结构进行了综合研究。结果表明:速度的大尺度分布、高速区、速度梯度、经度不均匀性和边界形状等方面相对于太阳赤道面都是不对称的;通过对理想的和实际的电流片以及飞船测量的磁场和速度比较,可以看到电流片附近大体上为低速区,但不存在简单的对应关系;扰动太阳风对背景太阳风的二维速度结构有显著的影响;理想电流片与实际电流片之间也存在较大的差距。      

Corotating events in the energy range 4–13 MeV as observed on board Helios 1 and 2 in 1975 and 1976

Intensity increases of 4 – 13 MeV protons correlated with recurrent high speed solar wind streams were observed on board Helios 1 and 2 at heliocentric distances between 0.3 and 1.0 AU. Study of events which occurred in the time period 1975 – 1976 showed that recurrent fast solar wind streams were sometimes not accompanied by corotating events and small events were more frequently observed than large corotating events, which occurred only occasionally. The explanation for these phenomena seems to be the variation of the number of suprathermal particles injected into the acceleration process. Radial gradients of corotating events from February till April 1976 were investigated. The gradient changed its sign in successive solar rotations and exhibited strong time dependence inside 1 AU. Clearly negative gradients were measured in corotating events which occurred in February and April 1976. These observations showed that probably there were no stationary corotating structures in interplanetary space. We suggest that this effect is related to local disturbances of solar origin, e. g. flare initiated shocks.     

Forecast of recurrent geomagnetic storms

Long-term forecast of space weather allows in achieving a longer lead time for taking the necessary precautions against disturbances. Hence, there is a need for long-term forecasting of space weather. We studied the possibility for a long-term forecast of recurrent geomagnetic storms. Geomagnetic storms recur with an approximate 27-day period during the declining phase of a solar cycle. These disturbances are caused by the passage of corotating interaction regions, which are formed by interactions between the background slow-speed solar wind and high-speed solar wind streams from a coronal hole. In this study, we report on the performance of 27-day-ahead forecasts of the recurrent geomagnetic disturbances using Kp index. The methods of the forecasts are on the basis of persistence, autoregressive model, and categorical forecast using occurrence probability. The forecasts show better performance during the declining phase of a solar cycle than other phases. The categorical forecast shows the probability of detection (POD) more than 0.5 during the declining phase. Transition of the performance occurs sharply among the declining phases and other phases.     

The inner heliosphere from solar minimum to solar maximum: Short- and long-term variations in the energetic particle population

Between 1975 and 1983 HELIOS 1 scanned the interplanetary medium between 0.3 and 1 AU 31 times. The observed variations in the differential and integral flux of protons and helium nuclei in the energy range from 4 to >50 MeV/n are characterized by large temporal changes in the intensities, moderate changes in the energy spectrum and changes in the gradient below the detection level (60%). During solar minimum conditions recurrent disturbances are caused mainly by corotating interaction regions. The onset of solar activity near the end of 1977, characterized by a large number of solar events, is accompanied by a monotonous decrease of galactic cosmic radiation. The successive reduction of the cosmic ray intensity to the level of solar maximum is discussed in view of the role of large transient disturbances as compared to processes as diffusion, convection, adiabatic energy losses and drifts.     

日冕扰动传播的数值模拟——(Ⅱ)热传导和辐射的影响

利用包含完全能量方程的磁流体力学方程组,数值研究了磁静力平衡基态下由于日面冷物质径向喷射所引起的日冕动力学响应。这些结果可以解释日珥的形成及伴随的日冕扰动传播。结果还表明,热传导和辐射损失对扰动传播的基本性质影响很小;对于日珥的形成,也未显出重要作用。      

Corotating interplanetary streams and associated ionospheric disturbances at Venus and Earth

During the summer of 1979, solar coronal structure was such that a sequence of recurrent regions produced a corresponding sequence of corotating solar wind streams, with pronounced downstream signatures. One of these stream events passed Earth on July 3, and was observed later at Venus late on July 11th, with similar characteristics. Corresponding in-situ measurements at Earth from the Atmospheric Explorer-E satellite and at Venus from the Pioneer Venus Orbiter are examined for evidence of comparable perturbations of the planetary ionospheres. The passage of the stream shock front is found to be associated with pronounced fluctuations in n(0⁺) which appear as pronounced local depletion of ion concentrations in both ionospheres. The ionosphere disturbances appear to be closely associated with large variations in the solar wind momentum flux. The implied local ionospheric depletions observed at each planet are interpreted to be the consequence of plasma redistribution, rather than actual depletions of plasma.     

反向赤道电集流与磁层扰动

对印度Trivandrum站第21太阳活动周内地磁H分量分析表明,不仅在磁扰日及其随后的静日内,强磁扰对赤道电集流有显着作用,即使在持续静日期间,较弱的磁扰仍然对赤道电离层有很大影响。磁静日昏侧出现反向(西向)电集流是正常现象,弱磁扰是使此反向电流消失的可能机制。      

Some characteristics of propagation of flare- or CME-associated interplanetary shock waves

Many interplanetary shock waves have a fast mode MHD wave Mach number between one and two and the ambient solar wind plasma and magnetic field are known to fluctuate. Therefore a weak, fast, MHD interplanetary shock wave propagating into a fluctuating solar wind region or into a solar wind stream will be expected to vary its strength.It is possible that an interplanetary shock wave, upon entering such a region will weaken its strength and degenerate into a fast-mode MHD wave. It is even possible that the shock may dissipate and disappear.A model for the propagation of a solar flare - or CME (Coronal Mass Ejections) - associated interplanetary shock wave is given. A physical mechanism is described to calculate the probability that a weak shock which enters a turbulent solar wind region will degenerate into a MHD wave. That is, the shock would disappear as an entropy-generate entity. This model also suggests that most interplanetary shock waves cannot propagate continuously with a smooth shock surface. It is suggested that the surface of an interplanetary shock will be highly distorted and that parts of the shock surface can degenerate into MHD waves or even disappear during its global propagation through interplanetary space. A few observations to support this model will be briefly described.Finally, this model of shock propagation also applies to corotating shocks. As corotating shocks propagate into fluctuating ambient solar wind regions, shocks may degenerate into waves or disappear.