How the astronomical aspects of climate science were settled? On the Milankovitch and Bacsák anniversaries,with lessons for today |
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Authors: | László Szarka Willie W-H Soon Rodolfo G Cionco |
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Institution: | 1. CSFK Geodetic and Geophysical Institute, 9400 Sopron, Csatkai utca 6-8, Hungary;2. Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA;3. Comisión de Investigaciones Científicas de la Provincia de Buenos Aires – Grupo de Estudios Ambientales, Universidad Tecnológica Nacional, Colón 332, San Nicolás (2900), Bs.As., Argentina |
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Abstract: | It was 100 years ago (on August 7, 1920), that the comprehensive mathematical foundations of climate change research, written by a Serbian researcher, Milutin Milankovitch, were published. A later interpreter and developer of his results, Georg (in Hungarian: György) Bacsák (Pozsony/Pressburg/Bratislava, June 5, 1870 - Fonyód, March 4, 1970) was born 150 years ago and died at the age of one hundred, half a century ago. In this commemorative paper we look back to special circumstances in revealing the secrets of ice ages that had puzzled scientists for at least several centuries. Recently, after 100 years, the Milankovitch theory, including related short-term forcings (ranging from interannual, multidecadal to millennial timescales) has not only been confirmed, but its climate forcing mechanism has also been identified and proposed. Owing to the uniqueness of the problem, the science of the orbital forcing of climate change can be proclaimed to be essentially settled. |
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Keywords: | Milankovitch theory Climate change Orbital forcing |
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