Detection of long-term trends in the mesosphere/lower thermosphere from ground-based radio propagation measurements

Mesospheric temperature trends can be derived from LF phase-height observations in mid-latitudes supported by ionospheric absorption and ionosonde observations. Analysing the full observation period from 1959 until 2003, a mean yearly temperature trend has been derived with −0.25 K/yr for the height interval from 48 to 82 km. Subdividing the whole observation interval in two parts before and after 1979, the trend is markedly stronger in the second period with −0.38 K/yr compared with −0.20 K/yr in the first part before 1979. These differences can at least partly be explained by a steeper CO₂ increase and ozone decrease in the second interval. The differences in the mesospheric temperature trends are most evidently expressed during winter months and are markedly smaller during summer season. The reason of this seasonal difference is not quite clear; it may be related with detected ozone trends which are clearly stronger during winter months on both hemispheres.