首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
     检索      

基于粒子群优化LSTM的股票预测模型
引用本文:宋刚,张云峰,包芳勋,秦超.基于粒子群优化LSTM的股票预测模型[J].北京航空航天大学学报,2019,45(12):2533-2542.
作者姓名:宋刚  张云峰  包芳勋  秦超
作者单位:山东财经大学计算机科学与技术学院,济南250014;山东财经大学山东省数字媒体技术重点实验室,济南250014;山东大学数学学院,济南,250100
基金项目:国家自然科学基金61672018国家自然科学基金61772309国家自然科学基金-浙江两化融合联合基金U1609218山东省重点研发计划2016GSF120013山东省重点研发计划2017GGX10109山东省重点研发计划2018GGX101013山东省高等学校优势学科人才队伍培育计划山东省自然科学杰出青年ZR2018JL022山东省自然科学基金ZR2019MF051
摘    要:为了提高股票时间序列预测精度,增强预测模型结构参数可解释性,提出一种基于自适应粒子群优化(PSO)的长短期记忆(LSTM)股票价格预测模型(PSO-LSTM),该模型在LSTM模型的基础上进行改进和优化,因此擅长处理具有长期依赖关系的、复杂的非线性问题。通过自适应学习策略的PSO算法对LSTM模型的关键参数进行寻优,使股票数据特征与网络拓扑结构相匹配,提高股票价格预测精度。实验分别以沪市、深市、港股股票数据构建了PSO-LSTM模型,并对该模型的预测结果与其他预测模型进行比较分析。结果表明,基于自适应PSO的LSTM股票价格预测模型不但提高了预测准确度,而且具有普遍适用性。 

关 键 词:粒子群优化(PSO)  LSTM神经网络  自适应  股票价格预测  预测精度
收稿时间:2019-07-10

Stock prediction model based on particle swarm optimization LSTM
Institution:1.School of Computer Science and Technology, Shandong University of Finance and Economics, Jinan 250014, China2.Shandong Key Laboratory of Digital Media Technology, Shandong University of Finance and Economics, Jinan 250014, China3.School of Mathematics, Shandong University, Jinan 250100, China
Abstract:This paper proposes a stock price prediction model based on particle swarm optimization long short-term memory (PSO-LSTM). This model improves and optimizes the LSTM model, which makes it more appropriate for analyzing relationships such as long-term dependency and for solving complex nonlinear problems. Through finding the key parameters in LSTM model by the PSO algorithm with adaptive learning strategy, the stock data feature matches the network topology structure, and the model's prediction accuracy of stock price is improved. In the experiment, PSO-LSTM models are constructed respectively based on the stock datasets from Shanghai, Shenzhen and Hong Kong, and then they are compared to other prediction models. The comparison results show that the PSO-LSTM stock price prediction model achieves higher prediction accuracy and has general applicability. 
Keywords:
本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录!
点击此处可从《北京航空航天大学学报》浏览原始摘要信息
点击此处可从《北京航空航天大学学报》下载免费的PDF全文
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号