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多弹协同下反舰导弹突防概率优化决策
作者姓名:赵聪源  李俊  水尊师
作者单位:北京空天技术研究所;航天科工集团第三研究院
摘    要:本文首先对大型舰艇编队典型组成和攻防火力体系进行了研究,介绍了大型舰艇编队中的预警体系、火力装备组成及作战流程。通过分析巡航高度、巡航速度、RCS和导弹数量对突防概率的影响,重点研究了反舰导弹突防概率的动态计算过程,并采用遗传算法等智能优化算法进行了仿真计算,通过分析战场环境和作战过程,更真实地研究了反舰导弹与大型舰艇编队防御系统的攻防对抗关系。

关 键 词:突防概率  反舰导弹  防空反导

Optimization Decision-Making of Anti-Ship Missile Penetration Probability under Multi-Missile Coordination
Authors:ZHAO Congyuan  LI Jun  SHUI Zunshi
Institution:Beijing Aerospace Technology Research Institute;The Third Research Institute Aerospace of Science and Industry Corporation
Abstract:First, the typical composition and the offensive and defensive firepower system of aircraft carrier formations are studied in this paper. Second, the early warning system, firepower equipment composition, and the combat process of cruisers, destroyers, and other vessels in aircraft carrier formations are introduced. By analyzing the effects of cruising altitude, cruising speed, RCS, and the number of missiles on the penetration probability, the dynamic calculation process of anti-ship missile penetration probability is mainly studied. Simulation calculations are conducted using intelligent optimization algorithms such as the genetic algorithm. By analyzing the battlefield environment and combat process, the attack-defense adversarial relationship between the anti-ship missiles and the defense system of aircraft carrier formations is better studied.
Keywords:penetration probability  anti-ship missile  anti-aircraft and anti-missile
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