| Abstract: | Safety is the foundation of sustainable development in civil aviation. Although catastrophic accidents are rare,indicators of potential incidents and unsafe events frequently materialize. Therefore,a history of unsafe data are considered in predicting safety risks. A deep learning method is adopted for extracting reactions in safety risks. The deep neural network(DNN)model for safety risk prediction is shown to extract complex data characteristics better than a shallow network model. Using extended unsafe data and monthly risk indices,hidden layers and iterations are determined. The effectiveness of DNN is also revealed in comparison with the traditional neural network. Through early risk detection using the method in the paper,airlines and the government can mitigate potential risk and take proactive measures to improve civil aviation safety. |
