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多目标组合运输物流量预测建模算法
引用本文:徐向阳,王书翰,汤鹏翔,石刚.多目标组合运输物流量预测建模算法[J].北京航空航天大学学报,2006,32(10):1209-1214.
作者姓名:徐向阳  王书翰  汤鹏翔  石刚
作者单位:北京航空航天大学 汽车工程系, 北京 100083
摘    要:提出了一种新的多目标组合运输物流量预测建模算法.以时间、领域、影响以及组合运输为基准,运用系统工程理论思想设计出一种四维的物流量影响因素模型,并运用结构方程模型对所建模型做了优化,提取出组合运输物流量的核心影响因素.在改进的神经网络算法的基础上结合遗传算法,提出了一种结合遗传算法的改进的神经网络新算法,弥补了改进的神经网络算法上的缺陷,在多目标组合运输物流量预测的实例应用中,该算法不仅有很高的预测精度,而且具有收敛速度快、运行稳定的特点.

关 键 词:多目标预测  组合运输物流量  结构方程模型  遗传算法  神经网络
文章编号:1001-5965(2006)10-1209-06
收稿时间:2006-05-15
修稿时间:2006年5月15日

Algorithm of multi-objective prediction on logistics volume of combined transportation
Xu Xiangyang,Wang Shuhan,Tang Pengxiang,Shi Gang.Algorithm of multi-objective prediction on logistics volume of combined transportation[J].Journal of Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,2006,32(10):1209-1214.
Authors:Xu Xiangyang  Wang Shuhan  Tang Pengxiang  Shi Gang
Institution:Dept. of Automobile Engineering, Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Beijing 100083, China
Abstract:A new method was brought forward for the modeling of multi-objective prediction on logistics volume of combined transportation.Based on the standard of time,field,influence and combined transportation,using systems engineering antilogy,a model of four-dimensional factors of logistics volume was designed and optimized by using structural equation model.The fatal influencing factors of logistics volume of combined transportation were distilled.A new advanced neural network arithmetic integrated with genetic algorithm was put forward to make up the limitation of advanced neural network,and applied in a example of multi-objective prediction on logistics volume of combined transportation.Results show that this advanced algorithm performs steadily with high precision and convergence speed.
Keywords:multi-objective prediction  logistics volume of combined transportation  structural equation model  genetic algorithm  neural network
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