aDepartamento de Física, Facultad de Ingeniería, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Av. Paseo Colón 850 – Piso 2, 1063-Buenos Aires, Argentina
bCONICET of Argentina
Abstract:
Multiple linear regression method is used to estimate the total number of geomagnetic storms per solar cycle and to predict cycle 23’s maximum amplitude. A recurrence trend of 7 and 12 cycles are used as lagged values to estimate the amplitude of the current cycle, which resulted to be equal to 137 (±65) smoothed monthly mean sunspots.