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Geomagnetic activity and solar cycles
Authors:VM Silbergleit  PA Larocca
Institution:

aDepartamento de Física, Facultad de Ingeniería, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Av. Paseo Colón 850 – Piso 2, 1063-Buenos Aires, Argentina

bCONICET of Argentina

Abstract:Multiple linear regression method is used to estimate the total number of geomagnetic storms per solar cycle and to predict cycle 23’s maximum amplitude. A recurrence trend of 7 and 12 cycles are used as lagged values to estimate the amplitude of the current cycle, which resulted to be equal to 137 (±65) smoothed monthly mean sunspots.
Keywords:Storms  Sunspots  Multiple linear regression method
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