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弹道反舰导弹靶场飞行试验安全分析
引用本文:于录,宋贵宝,林木. 弹道反舰导弹靶场飞行试验安全分析[J]. 海军航空工程学院学报, 2018, 33(1): 163-167
作者姓名:于录  宋贵宝  林木
作者单位:92941部队;海军航空大学
摘    要:反舰导弹靶场飞行试验中,为了确保试验方案可实施,必须进行试验安全性量化分析,以确保故障弹对保护目标的威胁概率最小。根据弹道反舰导弹特点,给出量化分析基本思路,归纳导弹故障模式,分析不同故障模式下导弹落点散布,并给出量化分析计算方法。通过实例,验证计算方法的正确性和科学性。

关 键 词:弹道反舰导弹;安全性;量化分析;威胁概率

Safety Analysis for Range Flight Test of Ballistic Anti-Ship Missile
YU Lu,SONG Guibao and LIN Mu. Safety Analysis for Range Flight Test of Ballistic Anti-Ship Missile[J]. Journal of Naval Aeronautical Engineering Institute, 2018, 33(1): 163-167
Authors:YU Lu  SONG Guibao  LIN Mu
Affiliation:The 92941stUnit of PLA, Huludao Liaoning 125000, China,Naval Aviation University, Yantai Shandong 264001, China and The 92941stUnit of PLA, Huludao Liaoning 125000, China
Abstract:In order to ensure the test scheme will be executed and prevent the faulty missile from threatening the protectedtarget, the safety quantitative analysis of the flight test of anti-ship missile must be done. First, according to the character.istic of ballistic anti-ship missile, the primary thinking of quantitative analysis was given. Second, the failure modes of bal.listic anti-ship missile were summed up. Third, missile dispersion under different failure modes were analyzed. Finally,the computation methods on quantitative analysis were put forward. On the basis of example, the result of the caculationproved the correctness and scientificalness.
Keywords:ballistic anti-ship missile   safety   quantitative analysis   threat probability
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