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Input Parameters for Models of Energetic Electrons Fluxes at the Geostationary Orbit
作者姓名:V.I.Degtyarev  G.V.Popov  S.E.Chudnenko
作者单位:Institute of Solar-Terrestrial Physics,Siberian Branch,Russian Academy of Sciences,Irkutsk 664033,Russia,Departament of Communication Services,Baikal State University of Economics and Law,Irkutsk 664033,Russia,Institute of Solar-Terrestrial Physics,Siberian Branch,Russian Academy of Sciences,Irkutsk 664033,Russia
基金项目:Supported by the China-Russia Joint Research Center on Space Weather,Chinese Academy of Sciences
摘    要:The results of cross-correlation analysis between electrons fluxes (with energies of > 0.6MeV, > 2.0 MeV and > 4.0MeV), geomagnetic indices and solar wind parameters are shown in the paper. It is determined that the electron fluxes are controlled not only by the geomagnetic indices, but also by the solar wind parameters, and the solar wind velocity demonstrates the best relation with the electron fluxes. Numerical value of the relation efficiency of external parameters with the highly energetic electrons fluxes shows a periodicity. It is presented here the preliminary results of daily averaged electrons fluxes forecast for a day ahead on the basis of the model of neuron networks.

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Input Parameters for Models of Energetic Electrons Fluxes at the Geostationary Orbit
V.I.Degtyarev,G.V.Popov,S.E.Chudnenko.Input Parameters for Models of Energetic Electrons Fluxes at the Geostationary Orbit[J].Chinese Journal of Space Science,2005,25(5):424-429.
Authors:V I Degtyarev  GV Popov  B S Xue  SE Chudnenko
Institution:1. Institute of Solar-Terrestrial Physics, Siberian Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences, Irkutsk 664033, Russia
2. Departament of Communication Services, Baikal State University of Economics and Law, Irkutsk 664033, Russia
3. Center for Space Science and Applied Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100080, China
Abstract:The results of cross-correlation analysis between electrons fluxes (with energies of > 0.6MeV, > 2.0 MeV and > 4.0MeV), geomagnetic indices and solar wind parameters are shown in the paper. It is determined that the electron fluxes are controlled not only by the geomagnetic indices, but also by the solar wind parameters, and the solar wind velocity demonstrates the best relation with the electron fluxes. Numerical value of the relation efficiency of external parameters with the highly energetic electrons fluxes shows a periodicity. It is presented here the preliminary results of daily averaged electrons fluxes forecast for a day ahead on the basis of the model of neuron networks.
Keywords:Forecast  Energetic electrons  Geostationary orbit  Geomagnetic indices  Solar wind
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