| 蒙特卡罗法仿真实例及其结果分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 魏选平,卞树檀. 蒙特卡罗法仿真实例及其结果分析[J]. 上海航天, 2002, 19(2): 33-36 |
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| 作者姓名： | 魏选平 卞树檀 |
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| 作者单位： | 西安第二炮兵工程学院,陕西,西安,710025 |
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| 摘 要： | 为研究大型复杂系统的可靠性问题，利用蒙特卡罗法可靠性数字仿真法，在Windows操作平台上采用Fortran PowerSationV4.0编程工具开发了相应的仿真实例。实验表明，具体仿真计算结果与理论分析结论吻合，从而显示出蒙特卡罗仿真法处理可靠性问题的优越性，对多个可靠性数字仿真实验的分析表明，不同系统的故障树可靠性仿真具有相似的模式，仿真程序具有普通的适用性。
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| 关 键 词： | 蒙特卡罗法 可靠性 仿真 复杂系统 |
| 文章编号： | 1006-1630(2002)02-0033-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2001-06-28 |
The Example of Monte-Carlo Simulation and Result Analysis |
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| WEI Xuan ping,BIAN Shu tan. The Example of Monte-Carlo Simulation and Result Analysis[J]. Aerospace Shanghai, 2002, 19(2): 33-36 |
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| Authors: | WEI Xuan ping BIAN Shu tan |
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| Abstract: | To study the reliability of the large complicated systems, this paper uses the Fortran PowerStation V4.0 integrated developing environment to develop an example on the Windows platform with the method of Monte Carlo simulation. The experiment shows that the result of simulation computing and are consistent with that of theoretic analysis. And this indicates the advantages of the Monte Carlo simulation to deals with the reliability problem. It is clear that fault tree reliability simulation of different systems has similar model to analyze the multi reliability numerical simulation experimentation, and the simulation program has common usability. |
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| Keywords: | Monte Carlo method Reliability Simulation |
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