弹道导弹进攻中多目标突防的效能分析

弹道导弹进攻中利用多个弹头携带多个诱饵进行突防的目的是造成敌方防御系统的饱和，以消耗敌方更多的拦截资源，但突防的效果与诸多因素有关。建立了多目标突防效能评价的基本模型，分析了诱饵的数量及仿真度、弹头的数量、单个弹头的突防能力、敌反导系统的配置及性能、进攻策略、拦截策略等因素对突防效能的影响，对不同的突防措施进行了效能评价，研究结果一致表明突防应针对敌防御系统的技术薄弱环节展开。

The Effectiveness Analysis of Multi-Target Penetration in Ballistic Missile Attack

The purpose of multiple warheads taking decoys to penetrate together in ballistic missile engagement is to make the defense system saturate. As a result, more interceptors will be consumed in vain or some warheads will successfully penetrate. But the effectiveness is actually concerned with many correlative factors. Based on the multi-target penetration effectiveness evaluation model, this paper analyzed the influence on the effectiveness of the factors that involve the amount and similarity of the decoys, the number of the warheads, the penetration ability of single warhead, the configuration and performance of the defense system, the attack strategy and intercept strategy, etc. By evaluating the effectiveness of different penetration measures, we induce that the measures that confront the weakness of the missile defense system are more effective. So those are which should be selected.