| 基于云模型的空管安全运行保障能力评价 |
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| 引用本文： | 唐家文,董兵,王超峰.基于云模型的空管安全运行保障能力评价[J].航空工程进展,2021,12(4):59-67. |
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| 作者姓名： | 唐家文 董兵 王超峰 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国民用航空飞行学院 空中交通管理学院,广汉 618307;中国民用航空飞行学院 机场工程与运输管理学院,广汉 618307 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金(U1233105) ; 中国民航飞行学院科研基金(J2018-22,Q2015-074) |
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| 摘 要： | 空管安全运行保障能力对空管安全运营具有非常重要的影响。考虑影响空管安全运行保障能力的各种因素的模糊性和随机性，引入云模型理论对空管安全运行保障能力实现定量评价；基于空管安全运行管理的特点，构建空管安全运行保障能力的评价指标体系，应用排队理论对评价指标进行权重赋值，以克服主观因素对权重赋值的影响；通过逆向云发生器计算空管安全运行保障能力评价指标的云数字特征，得到安全运行保障能力的评价云。通过实例应用进行验证，结果表明：云模型能够对空管安全运行保障能力进行整体准确评价，并能找出影响保障能力的主要环节，有助于空管部门采取针对性措施提高保障能力。
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| 关 键 词： | 空中交通管理 安全运行保障能力 评价指标体系 云模型 云发生器 |
| 收稿时间： | 2020/11/8 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 2021/3/27 0:00:00 |
Evaluation on Safe Operation Support Ability of Air Traffic Mangement Based on Cloud Model |
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| Tang Jiawen,dong bing and wang chaofeng.Evaluation on Safe Operation Support Ability of Air Traffic Mangement Based on Cloud Model[J].Advances in Aeronautical Science and Engineering,2021,12(4):59-67. |
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| Authors: | Tang Jiawen dong bing and wang chaofeng |
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| Institution: | College of Air Traffic Management, Civil Aviation Flight University of China,, |
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| Abstract: | The safety operation support capability of air traffic mangement has a very important influence on the air traffic safety operation.Considering the fuzziness and randomness of various factors that affect the safe operation support capability of air traffic mangement, the cloud model theory is introduced to quantitatively evaluate the safe operation support capability of air traffic mangement.Based on the characteristics of safety operation management of air traffic mangement, the evaluation index system for safety operation support capacity is constructed.The queuing theory is used to assign weights to the evaluation indicators to overcome the influence of subjective factors on the weight assignment.By calculating the cloud digital characteristics of the evaluation index of the safety operation support capability of air traffic management by the reverse cloud generator, the evaluation cloud of the safety operation support capability is obtained.The application of the example shows that the cloud model can make an overall and accurate evaluation of safety operation support capability of air traffic management, and find out the main indicators that affect the safety operation support capability, which helps the air traffic management department take targeted measures to improve the safety operation support capability. |
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