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A methodology to support strategic decisions in future human space exploration: From scenario definition to building blocks assessment
Institution:1. Politecnico di Torino, Corso Duca degli Abruzzi 24, Torino 10129, Italy;2. Thales Alenia Space Italy, Strada Antica di Collegno 253, Torino 10146, Italy;3. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 77 Massachusetts Avenue, Cambridge, MA 02139, USA;1. Dept. Transportes, E.T.S.I.C.C.P., Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, Prof. Aranguren s/n, 28040 Madrid, Spain;2. Dept. Explotación de Recursos Minerales y Obras Subterráneas, E.T.S.I.M., Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, Ríos Rosas, 21, 28003 Madrid, Spain;3. Dept. Construcción y Vías Rurales, E.U.I.T.F., Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, Avda. Ramiro de Maeztu s/n, 28040 Madrid, Spain;4. Dept. Ingeniería Civil: Hidráulica y Energética, E.T.S.I.C.C.P., Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, Prof. Aranguren s/n, 28040 Madrid, Spain;1. Sanatana Dharma College, University of Kerala, Alappuzha 688 003, Kerala, India;2. Department of Physics, University of Kerala, Kariavattom 695 581, Kerala, India;3. Christian College, University of Kerala, Chengannur 689 122, Kerala, India;4. Kerala State Council for Science, Technology and Environment, Pattom 695 004, Kerala, India;5. School of Pure and Applied Physics, M.G. University, Kottayam 686 560, Kerala, India;1. Nuclear Science and Technology Development Center, National Tsing Hua University, 101, Sect. 2, Kuang Fu Road, Hsinchu 30013, Taiwan, ROC;2. Department of Engineering and System Science and Institute of Nuclear Engineering and Science, National Tsing Hua University, 101, Sect. 2, Kuang Fu Road, Hsinchu 30013, Taiwan, ROC;1. School of Information Science and Technology, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China;2. School of Civil Engineering, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin 150006, China
Abstract:The human exploration of multiple deep space destinations (e.g. Cis-Lunar, NEAs), in view of the final challenge of sending astronauts to Mars, represents a current and consistent study domain especially in terms of its possible scenarios and mission architectures assessments, as proved by the numerous on-going activities about this topic and moreover by the global exploration roadmap. After exploring and analysing different possible solutions to identify the most flexible path, a detailed characterisation of several Design Reference Missions (DRMs) represents a necessity in order to evaluate the feasibility and affordability of deep space exploration missions, specifically in terms of enabling technological capabilities.The study presented in this paper was aimed at defining an evolutionary scenario for deep space exploration in the next 30 years with the final goal of sending astronauts on the surface of Mars by the end of 2030 decade. Different destinations were considered as targets to build the human exploration scenario, with particular attention to Earth–Moon Lagrangian points, NEA and Moon. For all the destinations selected as part of the exploration scenario, the assessment and characterisation of the relative Design Reference Missions were performed. Specifically they were defined in terms of strategies, architectures and mission elements. All the analyses were based on a pure technical approach with the objective of evaluating the feasibility of a long term strategy for capabilities achievement and technological development to enable future space exploration.This paper describes the process that was followed within the study, focusing on the adopted methodology, and reports the major obtained results, in terms of scenario and mission analysis.
Keywords:Human space exploration  Scenario  Design reference mission
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