| 基于灰色理论的民航旅客运输周转量预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 李明捷,周阳,史跃亚.基于灰色理论的民航旅客运输周转量预测[J].中国民航飞行学院学报,2011(5):29-31. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李明捷 周阳 史跃亚 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国民航飞行学院,四川广汉,618307 |
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| 基金项目： | 中国民航飞行学院科研基金项目(J2008-49) |
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| 摘 要： | 对近年来民航旅客运输周转量数据进行收集整理,运用灰色预测方法,建立GM(1,1)预测模型,对未来的旅客周转量进行预测。该方法具有系统性、联系性和动态性的特点。经精度检验表明,该模型的精度等级为好。
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色系统 预测模型 旅客周转量 精度检验 |
Turnover of Passenger Traffic Prediction for Civil Aviation Based on GM(1,1) Model |
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| Li Mingjie Zhou Yang Shi Yueya.Turnover of Passenger Traffic Prediction for Civil Aviation Based on GM(1,1) Model[J].Journal of China Civil Aviation Flying College,2011(5):29-31. |
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| Authors: | Li Mingjie Zhou Yang Shi Yueya |
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| Institution: | Li Mingjie Zhou Yang Shi Yueya (Civil Aviation Flight University of China Guanghan 618307 Sichuan China) |
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| Abstract: | The turnover of passenger traffic of recent years is collected,and the authors use Grey theory to set up GM(1,1) Prediction Model to forecast the turnover of passenger traffic in the future.This method has the features of system,co-relation and dynamics.The result of the model accuracy test indicates that the accuracy grade of this model is good. |
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| Keywords: | Grey system Prediction model Turnover of passenger traffic Accuracy test |
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