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基于GM(1,1)改进模型的建筑物沉降预测
引用本文:孙永荣,胡应东,陈武,赖际舟.基于GM(1,1)改进模型的建筑物沉降预测[J].南京航空航天大学学报,2009,41(1).
作者姓名:孙永荣  胡应东  陈武  赖际舟
作者单位:1. 南京航空航天大学自动化学院,南京,210016;香港理工大学土地测量与地理资讯学系,香港,九龙红郌
2. 南京航空航天大学自动化学院,南京,210016
3. 香港理工大学土地测量与地理资讯学系,香港,九龙红郌
摘    要:针对现代高层建筑进行沉降观测,对其未来的变形趋势进行准确地预测具有重要的意义.针对传统灰色GM(1,1)模型存在的模型精度不高的问题,本文提出了一种同时优化背景值和初始条件的GM(1,1)改进模型,并将其应用于对建筑物的沉降变形进行定量分析与即时预报.通过与原始模型和其他模型的对比分析可以发现,本文所研究的改进模型在精度上有了显著的提高,更加适用于基础沉降的预测,具有很好的工程应用价值.

关 键 词:GM(1  1)模型  沉降变形  预测  优化

Accurate Estimation of Building Deformation Based on Improved Grey GM(1,1) Model
Sun Yongrong,Hu Yingdong,Chen Wu,Lai Jizhou.Accurate Estimation of Building Deformation Based on Improved Grey GM(1,1) Model[J].Journal of Nanjing University of Aeronautics & Astronautics,2009,41(1).
Authors:Sun Yongrong  Hu Yingdong  Chen Wu  Lai Jizhou
Institution:1.College of Automation Engineering;Nanjing University of Aeronautics & Astronautics;Nanjing;210016;China;2.Department of Land Surveying and Geo-informatics;Hong Kong Polytechnic University;Hung Hom;Kowloon;Hong Kong;China
Abstract:It is very important for accurately estimating the modern building deformation.Aimed at the shortage of the traditional grey GM(1,1) model,an improved model is presented.The model can synchronously optimize background value and original conditions,it is used to analyze and predict the deformation of buildings quantificationally.Compared with other models,the conclusion can be drawn that the improved model can improve the precision,thus it is suitable for the foundation subsidence prediction.
Keywords:
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