| 航空型号项目风险预测的BP神经网络模型及应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 唐波,刘蕾.航空型号项目风险预测的BP神经网络模型及应用[J].航空工程进展,2011,2(2):241-244. |
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| 作者姓名： | 唐波 刘蕾 |
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| 作者单位： | 西北工业大学国防科技研究院,西安,710072 |
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| 基金项目： | 西北工业大学2010年度政策研究基金(ZYZ201003) |
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| 摘 要： | 本研究克服了单纯采用专家风险因子测度方法主观性较强的缺点,以及单纯采用人工神经网络评估模型模糊性的缺点,结合两种方法的优点,利用基于BP神经网络算法的Microsoft Visual C++程序,在专家风险因子测度基础上,通过大量风险评估成功案例数据的训练,成功建立了航空型号项目风险预测模型.该模型可以较为精确、客观地...
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| 关 键 词： | 航空型号项目 BP神经网络 风险预测模型 |
Application and Model of the Aviation Model Project Risk Predicting Based on BP Neural Network |
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| Tang Bo,Liu Lei.Application and Model of the Aviation Model Project Risk Predicting Based on BP Neural Network[J].Advances in Aeronautical Science and Engineering,2011,2(2):241-244. |
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| Authors: | Tang Bo Liu Lei |
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| Institution: | Tang Bo,Liu Lei(Defense Science Technology Rcrdeme,Northwestern Polytechnical University,Xi'an 710072,China) |
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| Abstract: | The shortcoming of both expert's risk measurement method,which is artificial and subjective,and artificial neural network method with pure subjectivity are overcome in this paper.Combined with the advantages of both expert's risk measurement method and artificial neural network method,using Microsoft Visual C++ neural network based on BP algorithm procedures,through a large number of successful risk assessment cases of training data which estimated by experts,the aviation model project risk prediction model... |
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| Keywords: | aviation model project BP neural network risk prediction model |
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