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航空发动机持续适航安全风险评估方法研究
引用本文:张春涛,史永胜,宋云雪.航空发动机持续适航安全风险评估方法研究[J].飞机设计,2014(2):48-51,62.
作者姓名:张春涛  史永胜  宋云雪
作者单位:中国民航大学航空工程学院,天津300300
基金项目:国家自然基金项目(61179048); 天津市支撑计划项目(11ZCKFGX04100); 中央高校ZXH2012D003
摘    要:民航运输业正处在蓬勃发展阶段,保证飞行安全是民航的首要任务,飞机发动机作为飞机的心脏,其性能的好坏直接影响到飞行安全,采用合理的方法对发动机持续适航阶段的故障风险进行评估,对于提高飞行安全水平,保障航空运输业正常发展有着重要的作用。本文根据广义线性回归的相关理论,将广义线性回归模型引入发动机持续适航风险管理分析中,通过对发动机的故障风险水平进行实例评估验证,证明了该模型是一种准确的、有效的、可行的安全风险评价方法。

关 键 词:发动机  广义线性模型  风险评估

Research on Risk Analysis Methods During Continuing Airworthiness of Aircraft Engine
ZHANG Chun-tao,SHI Yong-sheng,SONG Yun-xue.Research on Risk Analysis Methods During Continuing Airworthiness of Aircraft Engine[J].Aircraft Design,2014(2):48-51,62.
Authors:ZHANG Chun-tao  SHI Yong-sheng  SONG Yun-xue
Institution:( College of Aeronautical Engineering,Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin 300300, China )
Abstract:The civil aviation industry is in a High-speed development stage, security is the core content of the civil air transport safety management. Aircraft engine is called the heart of the aircraft, its performance af ects l ight safety directly. Useing a reasonable method to assess failure risk of engine plays an important role to improve the level of flight safety and develop the air transport industry. According to the theory of generalized linear regression, the generalized linear regression model is used to analysis failure risk of the engine during continued airworthiness in this article. The risk of engine failure assessment instance proved that this model is an accurate, ef ectiveviable security risk evaluation method.
Keywords:aircraft engine  generalized linear model  risk assessment
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