Would contact with extraterrestrials benefit or harm humanity? A scenario analysis |
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| Authors: | Seth D Baum Jacob D Haqq-Misra Shawn D Domagal-Goldman |
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| Institution: | 1. California Specialty Engineering, Pasadena, CA;2. Dept of Earth, Planetary and Space Sciences, University of California, Los Angeles, CA;3. Planetary Science Institute, Tucson, AZ;4. Dept of Engineering Physics, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA;5. Space Sciences Laboratory, University of California, Berkeley, CA;6. Pasadena City College, Pasadena, CA;1. Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics, University of Colorado, 3665 Discovery Dr., Boulder, Colorado 80303, United States;2. Planetary Science Institute, 1700 E. Fort Lowell, Suite 6, Tucson, AZ 85719, United States |
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| Abstract: | While humanity has not yet observed any extraterrestrial intelligence (ETI), contact with ETI remains possible. Contact could occur through a broad range of scenarios that have varying consequences for humanity. However, many discussions of this question assume that contact will follow a particular scenario that derives from the hopes and fears of the author. In this paper, we analyze a broad range of contact scenarios in terms of whether contact with ETI would benefit or harm humanity. This type of broad analysis can help us prepare for actual contact with ETI even if the details of contact do not fully resemble any specific scenario. |
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