反舰导弹对舰空导弹的突防概率动态计算方法

为了实现反舰导弹突防概率的动态计算,文章首先对水面舰艇的反导防御体系进行建模,研究反舰导弹和舰空导弹的攻防对抗过程,然后利用伴随技术建立反舰导弹突防概率的解算模型,最终实现突防概率的动态计算。采用该方法解算反舰导弹对舰空导弹的突防概率不仅能保证计算的快速性而且能体现出攻防态势、反舰导弹和舰空导弹的战技术性能对突防概率的影响。

Dynamic Calculate Method of the Penetration Probability of Anti-Ship Missile to Ship-to-Air Missile

In order to realize the dynamic calculate of the penetration probability of anti-ship missile to ship-to-air missile, the model was built for anti-missile defense system of warship, and the attack-defense countermine course of anti-ship missile and ship-air missile was studied. Then using adjoint technique, the calculate model of the penetration probability was build, and dynamic calculate was ultimately realized. This method could not only ensure the calculation efficiency but also embody the influence of attack-defense situation, tactical and technical performance to anti-ship missile＇s penetration probability.