Using high-energy proton fluence to improve risk prediction for consequences of solar particle events

The potential for exposure to large solar particle events (SPEs) with high energy levels is a major concern during interplanetary transfer and extra-vehicular activities (EVAs) on the lunar and Mars surface. Previously, we have used data from the last 5 solar cycles to estimate percentiles of dose to a typical blood-forming organ (BFO) for a hypothetical astronaut in a nominally shielded spacecraft during a 120-d lunar mission. As part of this process, we made use of complete energy spectra for 34 large historical SPEs to calculate what the BFO mGy-Eq dose would have been in the above lunar scenario for each SPE. From these calculated doses, we then developed a prediction model for BFO dose based solely on an assumed value of integrated fluence above 30 MeV (Φ₃₀) for an otherwise unspecified future SPE. In this study, we reasoned that since BFO dose is determined more by protons with higher energies than by those with lower energies, more accurate BFO dose prediction models could be developed using integrated fluence above 60 (Φ₆₀) and above 100 MeV (Φ₁₀₀) as predictors instead of Φ₃₀. However to calculate the unconditional probability of a BFO dose exceeding a pre-specified limit (“BFO dose risk”), one must also take into account the distribution of the predictor (Φ_30,Φ₆₀, or Φ₁₀₀), as estimated from historical SPEs. But Φ₆₀ and Φ₁₀₀ have more variability, and less available historical information on which to estimate their distributions over many SPE occurrences, than does Φ₃₀. Therefore, when estimating BFO dose risk there is a tradeoff between increased BFO dose prediction at a given energy threshold and decreased accuracy of models for describing the distribution of that threshold over future SPEs as the threshold increases. Even when taking the second of these two factors into account, we still arrived at the conclusion that overall prediction improves as the energy level threshold increases from 30 to 60 to 100 MeV. These results can be applied to the development of approaches to improve radiation protection of astronauts and the optimization of mission planning for future space missions.     

椭圆形切扇修形对波瓣混合器掺混性能影响

在保证面积不变的情况下,选取不同的长轴、短轴,对波瓣混合器进行椭圆形切扇修形,研究切口深度与宽度对波瓣混合器掺混性能的影响规律。使用商用 CFD 软件对流场进行数值模拟。结果显示,对波瓣侧壁进行切扇处理会加强流向涡的强度,切扇越深,流向涡强度越大;切扇波瓣流向涡的耗散速率要大于基准波瓣混合器的流向涡耗散速率,预示着更为高效的掺混;引射系数与切口深度成正比,而总压恢复系数与切口深度成反比。考察了两种衡量热混合效率的模型并对其信度进行了比较,发现在 x =0.4 m 之前切扇可以提高热混合效率,而在 x =0.4 m 之后,基准波瓣混合器热混合效率要大于切扇波瓣混合器。     

飞机系统可靠性的电磁兼容预测研究

对飞机可靠性工程中的有关系统内电磁瘘容性分析和预测程序进行了研究开发,详细论述了天线对天线干扰的传播模型、导线与导线间的耦合模型、电磁场对导线的感应模型、设备对设备的耦合模型以及其编程语言、输入数据处理方法等开发技术。给出其计算结果,并与实验数据作了比较,结果表明,可提高系统的可靠性。     

Hi content in cluster and supercluster galaxies

In this lecture I review part of the published and unpublished observational evidence showing that cluster spiral galaxies are hydrogen deficient. Always using observational data, it is argued that the deficiency is due to the interaction between the galaxies and the intergalactic medium. Furthermore it is shown that the stellar population of deficient galaxies has also been affected and a brief discussion is given of the mechanisms at work.     

多喷管火箭动力系统尾焰辐射特性可视化研究

为研究高空多喷管火箭动力系统尾焰辐射特性的可视化计算,采用耦合了Realizable k-ε湍流模型的三维N-S方程描述尾焰流动过程,化学反应速率采用湍流脉动机制和Arrhenius机制控制,采用PISO算法对多喷管动力系统尾焰流动过程进行求解,得到了尾焰流场的各项参数分布.在此基础上,运用气体辐射传输方程和SLG模型对不同方向观测面上接收到的尾焰辐射照度进行计算,得到尾焰在不同方向上的辐射特性分布,进而实现尾焰辐射特性的可视化计算.计算结果表明:高空助推器尾焰的辐射特性要明显强于芯级,其中喷管出口处尾焰的辐射特性最强,最容易被发现和识别;尾焰辐射特性的可视化计算可以有效捕捉到尾焰流场的结构,从而为尾焰的红外追踪与预警研究奠定基础.     

全面生产率管理

全面生产率管理是一种改进生产率的独特方法。笔者在阐明全面生产率管理基本思想的基础上,用一系列直观的图表,说明了如何对企业生产率现状进行诊断以及如何实施全面生产率管理。     

3DG111F等四种双极晶体管空间总剂量效应研究

3DG111F等4种双极晶体管在航天器驱动电子设备中有着重要的应用。研究和掌握空间辐射环境对这些器件产生的总剂量效应有助于了解单机总剂量效应。文章对3DG111F等4种双极晶体管进行了总剂量辐照试验、测量及试验结果分析。研究结果可为单机总剂量效应的分析提供试验依据。     

电推进静止轨道转移与空间环境分析

针对基于连续电推进的由GTO轨道向地球静止轨道的转移问题,考虑星上自主变轨的计算能力,将轨道转移简化为推力方向固定的两阶段变轨策略,对轨控方向角进行优化.针对电推进轨道转移持续时间长,受空间环境影响较大的特点,对轨道转移过程中卫星穿越电离层、地球辐射带的情况进行分析.最后,进一步探讨了利用远地点高度高于标准GTO的轨道作为初始轨道,用以降低空间环境对卫星影响的可行性.     

飞翼无人机3种保形进气口进气道气动与隐身综合特性对比

基于飞翼布局无人机隐身与结构装载布置要求,保形设计了3种进气口形状的背负式S弯进气道,按照进口投影截面形状上、下底之比顺序排列,分别为三角形、梯形和矩形.利用数值模拟方法对无人机内外流场耦合流动进行计算分析,且基于射线弹跳(SBR)法对进气道电磁散射特性进行仿真研究,获得了飞翼无人机3种进气道的气动与隐身综合特性.研究结果表明:①矩形进气道模型升阻和纵向力矩特性表现均最好;②3种 进气道模型按顺序排列总压恢复系数逐渐增大,畸变指数逐渐减小,进气道沿程气流也逐渐顺畅,矩形进气道模型进气道内流特性最优;③0°迎角下3种进气道模型雷达散射截面(RCS)均值基本呈现先增大后减小的特征,进气道终端开放时矩形进气道模型隐身性能最好,而终端短路时三角形进气道模型隐身效果更优异.