A Possible Transfer Mechanism for the 11-Year Solar Cycle to the Lower Stratosphere

Observational evidence of the 11-year solar cycle (SC) modulation of stratosphere temperatures and winds from the ERA-40 dataset is reviewed, with emphasis on the Northern winter hemisphere. A frequency modulation of sudden warming events is noted, with warmings occurring earlier in solar minimum periods than in solar maximum periods. The observed interaction between the influence of the SC and the quasi biennial oscillation (QBO) on the frequency of sudden warmings is noted as a possible clue for understanding their mechanism of influence. A possible transfer route for the 11-year solar cycle from the equatorial stratopause region to the lowest part of the stratosphere is proposed, via an influence on sudden warming events and the associated induced meridional circulation. SC and QBO composites of zonal wind anomalies show anomalous wind distributions in the subtropical upper stratosphere in early winter. Mechanistic model experiments are reviewed that demonstrate a sensitivity of sudden warmings to small wind anomalies in this region. Various diagnostics from these experiments are shown, including EP fluxes and their divergence and also the synoptic evolution of the polar vortex, in order to understand the mechanism of the influence. Some recent GCM experiments to investigate the SC/QBO interaction are also described. They simulate reasonably well the observed SC/QBO interaction of sudden warming events and appear to support the hypothesis that tropical/subtropical upper stratospheric wind anomalies are an important influence on the timing of sudden warmings.     

平流层浮空器的热特性与研究现状

研究平流层浮空器热状况的形成机制与特性是进行热控制设计和研究热控制技术的前提,对平流层浮空器技术的发展具有重要作用。在分析平流层对流与辐射热环境特性的基础上,运用传热学基本原理分析了浮空器热状况的复杂形成机制与影响因素。评述了浮空器热特性及其控制技术的研究现状,介绍了相关研究方法、热模型与主要结果,分析了平流层浮空器热特性研究得出的基本认识与存在的问题,指出了应进一步开展的研究方向。     

基于NURBS和梯度法的飞艇形状优化

采用非一致有理样条曲线(NURBS)作为飞艇外形参数化方法、基于梯度的优化方法、飞艇体积作为约束条件、飞艇的阻力系数作为目标函数的优化流程对平流层流动条件下的飞艇外形进行了优化.阻力系数通过求解二维黏性不可压缩流场获得,阻力不但包含了形状阻力也包括了黏性阻力.优化过程以LOTTE飞艇的形状为初始形状,优化的结果表明优化后飞艇的气动性能明显改善,阻力系数有了比较明显的降低.优化的结果也同时证明了该方法适用于飞艇的优化命题.      

平流层长航时气球轨迹控制系统研究

首先介绍了平流层气球的应用意义及进行轨迹控制的必要性,然后描述了一种基于不同海拔风速差的轨迹控制方法,简要说明了平流层风速随海拔的变化规律,在此基础上研究了包括超压气球和轨迹控制系统在内的气球飞行系统各部分特点,最后简单分析了整个飞行系统的建模与仿真中的要点问题。结果表明,这种轨迹控制方法是一种几乎不需要消耗能源的有效轨迹控制方法,具有较高的应用价值和推广价值。     

平流层飞艇环境适应性评价模型

阐述了平流层特别是20km高度左右平流层的环境特点,分析了各种环境因素对长期在此空域中驻留飞行的平流层飞艇性能的影响,在此基础上,建立了平流层飞艇环境适应性评价指标体系。并针对其各评价指标的物理意义不同且数量级相差较大的特点提出了基于物理规划和层次分析法相结合的综合评价模型。算例和分析结论表明:抗风速度余量和产生消耗能量比在平流层飞艇对其飞行环境的适应能力评价中占有重要比重,应成为飞艇总体方案设计和论证时的重点关注指标。     

平流层浮空器保压指标对驻空性能的影响

地面保压试验是综合评估囊体材料性能的重要手段,其设计指标将影响平流层浮空器总体驻空高度与时间的变化范围。以球形超压平流层浮空器为例,建立了驻空高度运动学模型、热力学模型及基于微孔损伤的氦气渗透模型,综合考虑驻空过程中力、热耦合引起的浮空器内部氦气压力、温度和质量等的实时变化,以囊体材料微孔当量直径为桥梁建立了平流层浮空器地面保压指标与驻空高度、驻空时间的耦合关系,通过定量分析不同保压指标下浮空器驻空性能的变化情况,提取影响规律,为保压指标的合理设计提供总体参考。     

基于压差梯度的平流层飞艇艇囊应力计算和仿真

平流层飞艇体积庞大,艇囊表面曲率小,因而蒙皮材料的局部应力集中极易导致飞艇艇囊蒙皮发生过大变形而迅速超压损伤破坏.基于飞艇艇囊内外压力压差梯度载荷条件,建立飞艇艇囊蒙皮受内外压差真实工况下环向与轴向应力的理论计算模型,构建飞艇蒙皮应力分析的Von Mises强度准则.并采用ABAQUS有限元软件非线性仿真艇囊蒙皮分别在超压300,500,800 Pa载荷下的各点环向的Von Mises应力状况.仿真结果与理论模型计算的应力值基本保持一致,飞艇艇囊蒙皮环向Von Mises应力呈现随压差梯度增大而递增的规律,而轴向Von Mises应力大小由环向Von Mises应力、蒙皮局部经纬向曲率共同决定,且两方向的Von Mises应力均与超压载荷大小成正相关关系,为飞艇艇囊蒙皮超压应力评估和强度计算提供基础性研究.     

基于大涡模拟的平流层浮空器气动特性分析

为研究不同球体间距对“球形囊体型”平流层浮空器(SLV)气动特性的影响,采用有限体格式、结构网格和大涡模拟(LES)计算方法求解不可压缩的Navier-Stokes(N-S)方程,对超临界雷诺数“球形囊体型”平流层浮空器绕流进行数值模拟,并对不同球体间距下的数值计算结果进行详细的分析比较.通过对比试验数据,单球体数值模拟的阻力系数时均值与Achenbach的试验数据一致,验证了计算方法分析超临界雷诺数球体绕流问题的准确性.研究不同间距的双球体阻力变化规律以及振动频谱特性,随上下游球体间距G的增加,合阻力先增大后减小,上游球体的阻力占优振动频率逐渐减小;G=1.5D(D为球体直径)和G=2D时,上下游球体有相同的占优振动频率.随间距G的增加,两球体相互作用与上游球体对下游球体的尾涡结构影响逐渐减弱.      

Simulating planetary wave propagation to the upper atmosphere during stratospheric warming events at different mountain wave scenarios

Parameterization schemes of atmospheric normal modes (NMs) and orographic gravity waves (OGWs) have been implemented into the mechanistic Middle and Upper Atmosphere Model (MUAM) simulating atmospheric general circulation. Based on the 12-members ensemble of runs with the MUAM, a composite of the stratospheric warming (SW) has been constructed using the UK Met Office data as the lower boundary conditions. The simulation results show that OGW amplitudes increase at altitudes above 30 km in the Northern Hemisphere after the SW event. At altitudes of about 50 km, OGWs have largest amplitudes over North American and European mountain systems before and during the composite SW, and over Himalayas after the SW. Simulations demonstrate substantial (up to 50–70%) variations of amplitudes of stationary planetary waves (PWs) during and after the SW in the mesosphere-lower thermosphere of the Northern Hemisphere. Westward travelling NMs have amplitude maxima not only in the Northern, but also in the Southern Hemisphere, where these modes have waveguides in the middle and upper atmosphere. Simulated variations of PW and NM amplitudes correspond to changes in the mean zonal wind, EP-fluxes and wave refractive index at different phases of the composite SW events. Inclusion of the parameterization of OGW effects leads to decreases in amplitudes (up to 15%) of almost all SPWs before and after the SW event and their increase (up to 40–60%) after the SW in the stratosphere and mesosphere at middle and high northern latitudes. It is suggested that observed changes in NM amplitudes in the Southern Hemisphere during SW could be caused by divergence of increased southward EP-flux. This EP-flux increases due to OGW drag before SW and extends into the Southern Hemisphere.