27-day variation in solar-terrestrial parameters: Global characteristics and an origin based approach of the signals

The Earth and the near interplanetary medium are affected by the Sun in different ways. Those processes generated in the Sun that induce perturbations into the Magnetosphere-Ionosphere system are called geoeffective processes and show a wide range of temporal variations, like the 11-year solar cycle (long term variations), the variation of ～27?days (recurrent variations), solar storms enduring for some days, particle acceleration events lasting for some hours, etc.In this article, the periodicity of ～27?days associated with the solar synodic rotation period is investigated. The work is mainly focused on studying the resulting 27-day periodic signal in the magnetic activity, by the analysis of the horizontal component of the magnetic field registered on a set of 103 magnetic observatories distributed around the world. For this a new method to isolate the periodicity of interest has been developed consisting of two main steps: the first one consists of removing the linear trend corresponding to every calendar year from the data series, and the second one of removing from the resulting series a smoothed version of it obtained by applying a 30-day moving average. The result at the end of this process is a data series in which all the signal with periods larger than 30?days are canceled.The most important characteristics observed in the resulting signals are two main amplitude modulations: the first and most prominent related to the 11-year solar cycle and the second one with a semiannual pattern. In addition, the amplitude of the signal shows a dependence on the geomagnetic latitude of the observatory with a significant discontinuity at approx. ±60°.The processing scheme was also applied to other parameters that are widely used to characterize the energy transfer from the Sun to the Earth: F10.7 and Mg II indices and the ionospheric vertical total electron content (vTEC) were considered for radiative interactions; and the solar wind velocity for the non-radiative interactions between the solar wind and the magnetosphere. The 27-day signal obtained in the magnetic activity was compared with the signals found in the other parameters resulting in a series of cross-correlations curves with maximum correlation between 3 and 5?days of delays for the radiative and between 0 and 1?days of delay for the non-radiative parameters. This result supports the idea that the physical process responsible for the 27-day signal in the magnetic activity is related to the solar wind and not to the solar electromagnetic radiation.     

The double-pulsar binary J0737–3039

A recent multibeam pulsar survey of the outer Galactic plane at Parkes has discovered the first-known double-pulsar binary, a very compact double neutron star system in which both stars are observable as radio pulsars. In this review, we briefly describe the discovery and the studies which have been enabled by the unique properties of the system. These range from the most precise confirmation yet of the theory of general relativity, with the possibility of even more new tests and the measurement of second-order post-Newtonian effects, to studies of the magnetospheres and emission properties of the two pulsars. The discovery also results in a significant increase in the expected rate of occurrence of the mergers of double neutron star systems, and hence the rate of detection of such events by the new ground-based gravitational wave detectors.     

用于导弹系统性能统计分析的统计线性化伴随法

本文在研究ＳＬＡＭ方法基础上，进行了理论推导和计算方法方面的改进，并将此方法应用于导弹系统性能的统计分析，计算机仿真结果表明该方法与采用ＣＡＤＥＴ方法的结果完全一致。     

太阳同步卫星轨道参数的容许偏差分析

飞行任务对卫星轨道提出指标要求，这些指标决定了卫星轨道参数的容许偏差范围。结合太阳同步(准)回归轨道卫星的轨道特性，针对覆盖重叠率、太阳同步等指标，使用解析方法讨论了大气阻力摄动影响下轨道参数的容许偏差，通过分析可以初步确定轨道控制策略及能量需求，最终为轨道保持方法的设计提供参考和依据。     

进气温度畸变对某发动机稳定性影响的研究

本文采用有效的畸变传递模型，就进气温度畸变对某发动机稳定性和性能的影响进行了较深入的数值研究．详细地分析了温度畸变对发动机稳定性和性能的影响，探讨了温度畸变在发动机系统中的传递和分布情况。结果表明：对于发动机进口空间温度畸变，发动机稳定裕度损失更多地取决于畸变强度而非周向范围：向对于与时间相关的温度畸变，发动机进口温升率比周向范围的影响更为显著。     

低纬地磁Z分量的半年变化

利用武汉、广州、泉州和琼中等4个低纬地磁站连续多年的地磁资料，计算了各月5个磁静日Z分量日均值与中午1100---1300时段平均值之差(Dz)，对每年12个Dz采用多元回归分析方法，得到各年的半年变化幅度和相位．结果表明：4个站的Dz每年都有半年变化现象；半年变化幅度与太阳活动有关，一般来说，太阳活动高年Dz半年变化幅度明显大于太阳活动低年；太阳活动本身的半年变化，对Dz半年变化幅度有显著的调制作用；Dz半年变化的相位在3—4月(或9—10月)，即极大值出现在分季；低纬地区地磁Z分量存在显著的半年变化，能够反映赤道电急流也有明显的半年变化，这再一次证明，赤道电急流幅度的半年变化，通过“喷泉效应”使得电离层，f0F2产生半年变化，其是产生，f0F2半年变化的一个主要因素．     

退化量有缺失的无失效小样本轴承可靠性评估

针对有试验性能退化量参数记录、且(或)有部分数据缺失情况的小样本无失效轴承试验问题,通过由Taylor和Thompson提出的数据模拟法实现补全样本退化量,结合Bootstrap自助法扩大样本量,再根据基于性能退化轨迹的补充信息方法来进行其可靠性评估。选取7组受试轴承的振动退化量,对比在完整数据和带有缺失数据情况下的分析结果,发现可合理利用原舍弃不合规试验的部分有效信息,使之增加可靠性评估的样本数,从而得到较不用这些数据更为准确的结果,且所得结果较用完整数据结果绝对值相差在01以内。对比由极大似然估计法和加权E-Bayes法分析试验寿命数据的结果,发现该方法所得评估结果更优,与试验实际相比误差在10%以内,对于提高评估精度及降低试验成本有积极的实际意义。     

基于过渡工作过程的航空发动机气路分析方法

为对发动机机动性能的退化程度进行估计,开展了基于过渡工作过程的气路分析研究。针对气路传感器数目较少的情况,采用序列工作点方法对大量的健康参数进行分析,在增加可用信息量的同时,降低了由多工作点方法的平均效应引入的参数估计系统误差。为解决发动机大偏差性能退化健康参数估计中的计算收敛性问题,提出了间接递归牛顿-拉夫逊法强化非支配分类差分进化算法。针对某型双轴分排涡扇发动机的气路分析结果表明：采用本文所提出的方法能够在气路传感器数目有限的条件下,利用发动机过渡态数据实现对大偏差范围内大量健康参数的高效、准确估计。     

Reliability and global sensitivity analysis for an airplane slat mechanism considering wear degradation

This paper focuses on the issue of reliability and global sensitivity analysis for an airplane slat mechanism considering the uncertainties in the wear process of mechanical components. First, the multi-body kinematic model of the slat mechanism is built in the ADAMS software. The geometrical sizes of the roller wheels after wear degradation are considered as input variables and the angle the slat should turn is considered as the output response. To accurately identify the influential roller wheels to the reliability and robustness of the slat mechanism, the failure probability based sensitivity and variance-based sensitivity indices are introduced. Comprehensive analysis of the results have shown that the reliability analysis and global sensitivity theory can help engineers find significant parts by their contributions, thus provide guidance for mechanical design and maintenance.