Assessment of the close approach frequency and collision probability for satellites in different configurations of large constellations

The Earth orbital environment is drastically changing due to an intensification of the space activities. In particular, several projects of large constellations, proposed for the next years for communications purpose like global internet access, Internet of Things, or for Earth observations, will lead to the deployment of several thousands of new satellites at an unprecedented rate. It is a crucial challenge for space traffic management, which will deal with a great number of satellite conjunctions, potentially causing a collision with damaging consequences for the constellation itself and the space environment sustainability.In this paper, we investigate the close approach frequency and the cumulative collision probability for each referenced constellation. For this purpose, we compute the orbital evolution of satellites in different constellations during the lifecycle, from the deployment to the decommissioning, and we apply the CUBE algorithm and the Foster method to assess the collision probability with the background space debris population assuming a constant uncertainty in position. We show the variation of risk defined by the close approach frequency and the cumulative collision probability as a function of the proposed configuration. In particular, satellites of the Iridium and Kuiper constellation, but also satellite of the Telesat constellation on polar orbits are the most exposed at a collision. Moreover, the decommissioning phase contribute for a major part to the final cumulative collision probability.     

Fault mode probability factor based fault-tolerant control for dissimilar redundant actuation system

This paper presents a Fault Mode Probability Factor (FMPF) based Fault-Tolerant Control (FTC) strategy for multiple faults of Dissimilar Redundant Actuation System (DRAS) composed of Hydraulic Actuator (HA) and Electro-Hydrostatic Actuator (EHA). The long-term service and severe working conditions can result in multiple gradual faults which can ultimately degrade the system performance, resulting in the system model drift into the fault state characterized with parameter uncertainty. The paper proposes to address this problem by using the historical statistics of the multiple gradual faults and the proposed FMPF to amend the system model with parameter uncertainty. To balance the system model precision and computation time, a Moving Window (MW) method is used to determine the applied historical statistics. The FMPF based FTC strategy is developed for the amended system model where the system estimation and Linear Quadratic Regulator (LQR) are updated at the end of system sampling period. The simulations of DRAS system subjected to multiple faults have been performed and the results indicate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.     

独立函数的表达式及完备性

给出独立函数的逻辑表达式和递推关系式。证明了独立函数系的线性完备性。讨论逻辑函数关于独立函数系的展开式、不同极性独立函数系展式之间的关系,以及与Reed-Muller展式之间的关系。这些问题的结论为建立新型的通用逻辑模块奠定了理论基础。     

平面形状误差分离方法的比较分析

就十种典型的精密平面形状误差测量－分离方法的权函数及其零点，作了分析比较。按形状误差谐波抑制最小准则，论证了五点式正交逐次三点法、九点式正交逐次三点法、复合三点法、不对称二维混合法和不对称四点法优于其他方法，不对称四点法则较为理想。     

含有任意多个椭圆孔弹性板的应力场计算

本文应用弹性力学的复变函数理论,用多保角变换的方法,导出了含有任意多个椭圆孔的无限大弹性板多复变量应力函数的表达式。每个孔的大小、位置和孔边作用的载荷均为任意指定。板的无限远处作用有和坐标轴方向一致的均匀拉压载荷P_x,P_y和均匀剪切载荷P_(xy)。并在孔边进行复Fourier级数展开,用待定系数法确定应力函数的未知系数,从而计算弹性板的应力场。编制了相应的FORTRAN77标准化程序,进行了考题和算例分析,给出了级数的收敛状况和孔边周向应力的分布图。     

最小二乘直线函数的特性分析

证明了最小二乘直线函数是一种严格的凸函数。F(a,b)=∑(y-ax_i-b)~2是一个椭圆抛物面。a=[n∑x_iy_i-∑x_i∑y_i]/[n∑x_i^2-(∑x_i)~2]和b=[∑x_i^2∑y_i-∑x_i∑x_i∑y_i]/[n∑x_i^2-(∑x_i)~2]仅表示极值点。a=∑x_iy_i/∑x_i和 b=[∑x_i^2∑y_i-∑x_i∑x_iy_i]/[n∑x_i^2]在某些情况下可以是极值点,但不是在每种情况下都是极值点。     

人体分层媒质内的微波聚焦场

本文是近年来在微波聚焦热疗人体深部癌病灶研究工作推动下完成的。文中给出了光学及电磁学界感兴趣的某些结果。在人体分层媒质前的一有限口径处,置一时谐电流分布,在每一分层内的微波传输场及反射场可利用传输矩阵及并矢格林函数给出计算结果。     

新建他激反激变换器方程及其解析解

引用文 [1 ]的思路 ,寻找他激反激变换器的运行状态特征参量 (磁通密度增量、剩余磁通密度和占空比 )与构成这一变换器的基本物理参量之间的函数关系。首先阐明由于频率给定 ,他激反激变换器稳态运行时会出现无剩磁工况和有剩磁工况两种。而后确定这两种工况下 ,磁路等效储能空间单位体积每个周期的传输能量 (命名为“磁能传输密度”)。在这基础上 ,分别建立和解出他激反激变换器在不同工况下稳定运行时应满足的方程。最后根据所得的解析解阐明这种变换器的特性。本文和文 [1 ],以磁路分析为基础建立了一种新的反激变换器理论。     

质量矩导弹的神经网络及自适应非线性控制

本文对质量矩控制导弹的动力学方程简化和控制系统的设计进行了研究。详细阐述了所提出的控制方法，介绍了径向基单隐层神经网络进行误差补偿的算法原理，用Lyapunov理论证明了所采用方法的稳定性。在给出了质量矩导弹的六自由度动力学方程和简化后的方程后，用所提出的方法设计控制系统。通过仿真分析，得出了本文所提出的方法具有较好的误差补偿能力的结论。     

掠海飞行导弹击水概率的仿真研究

本文对掠海导弹的击水概率问题进行了研究,提出了用均匀设计、Monte—Carlo法和逐步回归法建立击水概率预报公式的仿真方法,并结合某型号的反舰导弹进行计算,得到了满意的结果。本文还利用表观频率和表观频谱的概念,建立起飞航导弹的背景干扰——海浪和阵风的数学模型,并用波叠加法进行了数字仿真。