Satellite and ground detection of very dense smoke clouds produced on the islands of the Paraná river delta that affected a large region in Central Argentina

Intense fires were produced on the Paraná river delta islands, Argentina, during most part of 2008, by a combination of an exceptionally dry period and the farmers’ use of a fire land-cleaning technique. In April 2008, those fires significantly affected the nearby regions and their inhabitants, from Rosario city to Buenos Aires mega-city. In this work we present satellite as well as ground Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) at 550 nm data obtained during the propagation of pollution clouds to the central zone of Argentina. The highest value (1.18) was registered at Buenos Aires by atmospheric remote sensing, using the satellite instrument MODIS/Terra on April 18th 2008 at 10:35 local time (= UT − 3 h). On the same day, ground air quality detectors also measured in this city the highest Total Suspended Particle (TSP) value of the month, 2.02 mg/m³. The AOD(550) daily variation at Rosario Astronomical Observatory, which is located near the Paraná riverside, was derived by combining solar ultraviolet erythemal irradiance data (measured with a YES biometre) with model calculations. On April 25th 2008, from 12:00 to 15:30 local time, a rather high and constant AOD(550) value was registered, with a mean value of (0.90 ± 0.21). Cities located on the side of the Rosario–Buenos Aires highway (San Nicolás, Baradero and San Pedro) were also affected, showing a mean AOD(550) between the Rosario and Buenos Aires values. The particulate matter was collected with gridded samplers placed on the Paraná river islands as well as at the Rosario Observatory. They were analysed with a Scanning Electron Microscope (SEM) and mainly showed a biological origin. Even if normally large particles travel small distances from the source, organic aerosol in the range of 40–100 μm and complex asymmetric structures were registered several kilometres away from the aerosol sources on the islands. Another event of intense UV index attenuation (98.6%) occurred on September 18th 2008, due to very dense smoke clouds that extended over the Rosario area for several hours. The clouds were driven away from the fires by East–northeast and East–southeast winds. The minimum value of this index measured around noon allows to derive a maximum AOD(550)_max = (3.65 ± 0.90) at 12:45 local time. Soot clouds extended over the Paraná river, transporting Burned Biomass Debris (BBD) that deposited on Rosario. In particular, burned leaves and small branches with dimensions of 1–20 cm were collected. The mean (BBD) particles deposited on the ground from 7:00 to 19:00 local time were (0.92 ± 0.20) BBD/(m² h).     

计算地球流体力学若干新进展

本文简要介绍了有关计算地球流体力学问题研究的若干新进展,其中包括显式平方守恒格式,经济算法,辛算子法,泥沙冲积和三角洲发育的数值模拟等,从中也可以看到计算地球流体力学的发展是具有重要理论意义和实用价值的。     

基于Poisson圆盘分布的河流仿真技术

针对目前河流仿真所存在的计算效率低,渲染效果不够真实的问题, 介绍了一种基于物理规律的河流实时仿真的方法.提出了一种Poisson圆盘分布的算法,可实现屏幕空间的优秀的分布样式,该算法产生的分布粒子用于表达河流的速度场,进而重构河流表面; 采用一种纹理精灵的技术,通过纹理的动态访问和纹理混合,有效地实现河流表面的渲染.仿真实验证明:该方法可以产生渲染效果非常逼真的河流视景,并能够满足实时仿真的要求.     

Flood susceptibility mapping by ensemble evidential belief function and binomial logistic regression model on river basin of eastern India

Flooding is the overflow of water from stream, river, lake and sea that occurs all over the world and has disastrous effects on human society and environment. Frequent severe flood event in eastern India cause of death and damages every year so, the development of flood susceptibility method is needed for identifying the flood vulnerability areas to reduce the damages. Techniques of Remote Sensing (RS) and Geographical Information System (GIS) can help to flood susceptibility modeling by the accrued and analyzing huge amount of data in short time. The main objectives of this study are to determine the effectiveness of Evidence Belief Function (EBF), binomial Logistic Regression (LR) and ensemble of EBF and LR (EBF-LR) model with RS and GIS techniques for flood susceptibility mapping and spatial prediction of flood-susceptible areas in the Koiya river basin of West Bengal, India. Eight flood conditioning factors; Land use and land cover (LULC), soil, rainfall, normalized differences vegetation index (NDVI), distance to river, elevation, topographic wetness index (TWI) and stream power index (SPI) have been used, and total 264 historical flooding points were mapped, and randomly divided in to training (70%) and validating (30%) dataset. Flood susceptibility map has been generated by applying EBF, LR and ensemble EBF-LR method with the help of training and eight causative factors dataset. The maps have been divided in to six classes; extremely low, very low, low, moderate, high and very high. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve has been used to accuracy assessment of the susceptibility map, and the area under curve (AUC) disclosures 87.9%, 85.2% and 84.1% prediction rate for the EBF-LR, EBF and LR model, respectively. This study is helpful to flood management program, dissection makers and planning in local administrative level.     

RS-GIS based morphometrical and geological multi-criteria approach to the landslide susceptibility mapping in Gish River Basin,West Bengal,India

Darjeeling Himalaya is one of the several mountainous areas of India which is often suffered from landslide hazards. In this paper, a multi criteria evaluation is applied using 16 morphometric indicators, geology and lineaments to identify the areas vulnerable in respect to drainage and relief conditions. As both drainage and relief parameters exert strong influences on landslide intensity, both the diversity maps are integrated for final landslide susceptibility mapping. The obtained results show that 20.17?sq.?km (7.61%) area within the basin is highly susceptible for landslides, where average drainage density is 3.78?km/sq.?km, relative relief is greater than 408?m and slope is greater than 12°. The validation result shows that very high landslide susceptible zone is associated with very high frequency of landslide occurrence. Beside this, ROC curve also suggests good predicted rate (86.60%) for the model. So, the proposed method can be applied for predicting landslide susceptible zone.     

黄河滩地的权利结构考察——基于产权经济学的视角

黄河滩地是自然力和人类活动共同作用下形成的宝贵土地资源,其数量和形态的变动性、属性的多样性、法律规定的简单性以及执法的软弱性等因素,使黄河滩地的实际权利结构远复杂于法理规定的所有权性质,黄委会、滩区群众和地方政府分别拥有基于黄河滩地的河道管理权、生存发展权以及土地开发权。近年来,黄河滩地潜在生产价值的不断提升,而有关滩地的法律法规等正式制度安排并没有相应改变,这导致黄河滩地的主要权利主体不断产生冲突和纠纷,因此,探索黄河滩地综合效率最大化的有效产权制度就具有重大的理论意义和应用价值。     

政态与心态决定着中日近代（现代）化的不同命运

本文第一部的要提醒人们历史上的文化遗产往往在现实社会的各个领域广泛保存着，不了解现实，很难研究历史；第二部分讲中国没有走向资本主义道路的原因，主要是中国的古代社会结构决定着中国社会的不同走向；第三，日本走向资本主义的原因，是日本古代社会结构和中国有很大差别，所以，走了不同的道路。     

企业质量投入决策的经济分析

应用微观经济学原理 ,深入分析了产品质量水平与其市场价格之间的互补关系 ,并以此为基础 ,进一步分析了在孤立均衡条件下 ,企业进行质量投入决策的几种模式及其对产品市场价格的影响。同时 ,结合我国军工产品市场上存在的逆向选择问题 ,揭示了造成军工企业质量投入相对不足的经济与政策根源。     

Edge Detection of River in SAR Image Based on Contourlet Modulus Maxima and Improved Mathematical Morphology

To cope with the problems that edge detection operators are liable to make the detected edges too blurry for synthetic aperture radar(SAR)images,an edge detection method for detecting river in SAR images is proposed based on contourlet modulus maxima and improved mathematical morphology.The SAR image is firstly transformed to a contourlet domain.According to the directional information and gradient information of directional subband of contourlet transform,the modulus maximum and the improved mathematical morphology are used to detect high frequency and low frequency sub-image edges,respectively.Subsequently,the edges of river in SAR image are obtained after fusing the high frequency sub-image and the low frequency sub-image.Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed edge detection method can obtain more accurate edge location and reduce false edges,compared with the Canny method,the method based on wavelet and Canny,the method based on contourlet modulus maxima,and the method based on improved(ROEWA).The obtained river edges are complete and clear.