Assessment of the close approach frequency and collision probability for satellites in different configurations of large constellations

The Earth orbital environment is drastically changing due to an intensification of the space activities. In particular, several projects of large constellations, proposed for the next years for communications purpose like global internet access, Internet of Things, or for Earth observations, will lead to the deployment of several thousands of new satellites at an unprecedented rate. It is a crucial challenge for space traffic management, which will deal with a great number of satellite conjunctions, potentially causing a collision with damaging consequences for the constellation itself and the space environment sustainability.In this paper, we investigate the close approach frequency and the cumulative collision probability for each referenced constellation. For this purpose, we compute the orbital evolution of satellites in different constellations during the lifecycle, from the deployment to the decommissioning, and we apply the CUBE algorithm and the Foster method to assess the collision probability with the background space debris population assuming a constant uncertainty in position. We show the variation of risk defined by the close approach frequency and the cumulative collision probability as a function of the proposed configuration. In particular, satellites of the Iridium and Kuiper constellation, but also satellite of the Telesat constellation on polar orbits are the most exposed at a collision. Moreover, the decommissioning phase contribute for a major part to the final cumulative collision probability.     

Fault mode probability factor based fault-tolerant control for dissimilar redundant actuation system

This paper presents a Fault Mode Probability Factor (FMPF) based Fault-Tolerant Control (FTC) strategy for multiple faults of Dissimilar Redundant Actuation System (DRAS) composed of Hydraulic Actuator (HA) and Electro-Hydrostatic Actuator (EHA). The long-term service and severe working conditions can result in multiple gradual faults which can ultimately degrade the system performance, resulting in the system model drift into the fault state characterized with parameter uncertainty. The paper proposes to address this problem by using the historical statistics of the multiple gradual faults and the proposed FMPF to amend the system model with parameter uncertainty. To balance the system model precision and computation time, a Moving Window (MW) method is used to determine the applied historical statistics. The FMPF based FTC strategy is developed for the amended system model where the system estimation and Linear Quadratic Regulator (LQR) are updated at the end of system sampling period. The simulations of DRAS system subjected to multiple faults have been performed and the results indicate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.     

自由飞试验模型惯性矩的测定

作者根据多年来自由飞试验的实践,叙述了自由飞模型惯性矩的调试、计算、误差分析与处理的经验与方法。     

金融工程对我国国有银行信用风险管理的启示

多年来信用风险都是各国银行所面临的主要风险,由于历史的原因我国国有银行的信用风险管理问题显得更为突出.针对国有银行信用风险管理现状,引入最新的金融工程的方法和理念,从技术创新和制度创新的角度对国有银行的信用风险管理提出建议.     

J—7LP飞机1：6遥控模型失速尾旋试验

对无动力J—7LP动力学缩比模型进行了遥控试飞,以研究其失速尾旋特性,全偏平尾和方向舵可使模型进八尾旋,舵面全回中即可从各种尾旋中改出。偏转副翼对尾旋特性有明显的影响。     

飞机主操纵系统疲劳试验载荷谱小操纵位移频次问题研究

针对飞机全机主操纵系统疲劳试验载荷谱中小操纵位移频次影响问题进行了分析和讨论,确定了某机全机主操纵系统小操纵位移频次的级别。同时,在原某机全机主操纵系统疲劳试验载荷谱的基础上再次对其小操纵位移频次进行了计算,去掉了这一级别以下对全机主操纵系统疲劳试验无影响的小操纵位移频次,从而完善了主操纵系统疲劳试验载荷谱。另外,对小操纵位移频次问题研究结果在其全机主操纵系统疲劳试验中的实施效果进行了阐述。     

低空突防任务下综合飞行/推进系统的建模与仿真

建立了综合飞行／推进系统的数学模型，介绍了飞机全维非线性数学模型和涡轮风扇发动机非线性部件级数学模型的建模及综合方法。对飞机执行地形中随任务时，飞行员调节飞行速度的方法与基于总能量的调节飞行速度的方法进行了比较。结果表明，基于总能量的方法比飞行员直接控制飞行速度能够减小发动机的燃油消耗，降低发动机的磨损，进而可以增加飞机的航程，延长发动机的使用寿命。     

掠海飞行导弹击水概率的仿真研究

本文对掠海导弹的击水概率问题进行了研究,提出了用均匀设计、Monte—Carlo法和逐步回归法建立击水概率预报公式的仿真方法,并结合某型号的反舰导弹进行计算,得到了满意的结果。本文还利用表观频率和表观频谱的概念,建立起飞航导弹的背景干扰——海浪和阵风的数学模型,并用波叠加法进行了数字仿真。     

无人机自由编队飞行的补偿模糊神经网络控制

为了克服当前提出的无人机编队飞行的不足，提出一种新的无人机编队飞行概念——自由编队飞行，制定了相关的避让规则，用补偿模糊神经网络进行训练，实现自由编队飞行的补偿模糊神经网络控制。仿真显示，编队飞行的飞机能按照规则自主改变航路进行避让，表明了该方法的有效性。     

四维下降飞行技术的研究与仿真：定常航迹角法下降剖面解算

本文研究的是四维飞行性能管理系统的核心环节－飞机在终端区域内的四维下降技术，首先探讨了基于常值航迹角的定常Ｍ数／指示空速下降飞行技术，论述了其高度剖面的构成与特点，通过尤拉积分方法求解飞机运动方程，实现了高度冲面的解算。其次开发了对速度剖面的迭代过程，选取原则及方法。本文在进行理论分析的同时，还开发了满意的仿真软件，一了其应用价值。