Assessment of the close approach frequency and collision probability for satellites in different configurations of large constellations

The Earth orbital environment is drastically changing due to an intensification of the space activities. In particular, several projects of large constellations, proposed for the next years for communications purpose like global internet access, Internet of Things, or for Earth observations, will lead to the deployment of several thousands of new satellites at an unprecedented rate. It is a crucial challenge for space traffic management, which will deal with a great number of satellite conjunctions, potentially causing a collision with damaging consequences for the constellation itself and the space environment sustainability.In this paper, we investigate the close approach frequency and the cumulative collision probability for each referenced constellation. For this purpose, we compute the orbital evolution of satellites in different constellations during the lifecycle, from the deployment to the decommissioning, and we apply the CUBE algorithm and the Foster method to assess the collision probability with the background space debris population assuming a constant uncertainty in position. We show the variation of risk defined by the close approach frequency and the cumulative collision probability as a function of the proposed configuration. In particular, satellites of the Iridium and Kuiper constellation, but also satellite of the Telesat constellation on polar orbits are the most exposed at a collision. Moreover, the decommissioning phase contribute for a major part to the final cumulative collision probability.     

Fault mode probability factor based fault-tolerant control for dissimilar redundant actuation system

This paper presents a Fault Mode Probability Factor (FMPF) based Fault-Tolerant Control (FTC) strategy for multiple faults of Dissimilar Redundant Actuation System (DRAS) composed of Hydraulic Actuator (HA) and Electro-Hydrostatic Actuator (EHA). The long-term service and severe working conditions can result in multiple gradual faults which can ultimately degrade the system performance, resulting in the system model drift into the fault state characterized with parameter uncertainty. The paper proposes to address this problem by using the historical statistics of the multiple gradual faults and the proposed FMPF to amend the system model with parameter uncertainty. To balance the system model precision and computation time, a Moving Window (MW) method is used to determine the applied historical statistics. The FMPF based FTC strategy is developed for the amended system model where the system estimation and Linear Quadratic Regulator (LQR) are updated at the end of system sampling period. The simulations of DRAS system subjected to multiple faults have been performed and the results indicate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.     

Measuring the matter distribution within z = 0.2 cluster lenses with XMM-Newton

We present an analysis of seven clusters observed by XMM-Newton as part of our survey of 17 most X-ray luminous clusters of galaxies at z  0.2 selected for a comprehensive and unbiased study of the mass distribution in massive clusters. Using the public software FTOOLS and XMMSAS we have set up an automated pipeline to reduce the EPIC MOS and pn spectro-imaging data, optimized for extended sources analysis. We also developped a code to perform intensive spectral and imaging analysis particularly focussing on proper background estimate and removal. XMM-Newton deep spectro-imaging of these clusters allowed us to fit a standard β-model to their gas emission profiles as well as a standard MEKAL emission model to their extracted spectra, and test their inferred characteristics against already calibrated relations.     

基于LabVIEW设计曲线拟合仪

基于LabVIEW图形化编程环境和软件分析库函数设计的曲线拟合仪，界面友好，功能齐全，操作简便，在科学研究和工程应用中具有较强的实用价值。文中简要介绍利用NI虚拟仪器技术设计曲线拟合仪的方法，给出软件设计思想与实现方案，对主要软件功能模块进行了分析。     

满足约束的Gn连续过渡曲面的构造

在Erich Hartmann提出的由两基曲面线性组合构造G^n连续过渡曲面方法的基础上，针对该方法存在很难找到合适的参数变换的问题，提出了一种基于基曲面局部区域重新参数化构造G^n连续过渡曲面的方法。通过对基曲面上切触线附近区域部分曲面重新参数化，再由重新参数化局部基曲面线性组合构造G^n连续过渡曲面。这样将两基曲面间构造过渡曲面的问题转化为在重新参数化局部基曲面间构造过渡曲面。以构造G^1连续的翼身融合面为例，讨论了满足约束要求条件时G^2连续过渡面的构造方法。即先对基曲面上过渡切触线附近的局部区域进行重新参数化，后通过优化求解来确定比例因子和偏移量、平衡因子和调配因子，使过渡曲面满足前后边条线约束，最后利用线性组合来构造G^2连续的过渡面。约束过渡曲面的形状可通过改变重新参数化基曲面的大小来调整．     

掠海飞行导弹击水概率的仿真研究

本文对掠海导弹的击水概率问题进行了研究,提出了用均匀设计、Monte—Carlo法和逐步回归法建立击水概率预报公式的仿真方法,并结合某型号的反舰导弹进行计算,得到了满意的结果。本文还利用表观频率和表观频谱的概念,建立起飞航导弹的背景干扰——海浪和阵风的数学模型,并用波叠加法进行了数字仿真。     

基于损伤力学的概率疲劳曲线获取方法

文章基于损伤力学方法获得满足疲劳试验的损伤演化方程,推导出一般条件下的理论疲劳曲线以及相对应的理论中值疲劳曲线与理论理想疲劳曲线；然后根据试验数据即可确定理论疲劳曲线中的参量,从而获取疲劳曲线计算公式。通过此计算公式,可以方便地得到一组以初始损伤为参数的疲劳曲线族,继而得到以失效概率为参数的疲劳曲线族,大大降低了所需试验的数量,并为结构抗疲劳设计和寿命估算提供了依据。     

低轨道带可变翼的平板型极高真空分子屏

本文计算了在低轨道自由飞行的平板型分子屏（ＷａｋｅＳｈｉｅｌｄＦａｃｉｌｉｔｙ）加了可变翼后，分子屏后实验区的压力分布。计算中考虑了分子屏和翼材料出气对实验区压力的影响。本文并对加可变翼和不加可变翼、考虑出气和不考虑出气几种情形进行了计算和比较。我们的结果表明：给轨道分子屏加上可变翼后，其实验区的压力可比不加可变翼降低一个数量级以上，压力达１０－１３Ｐａ。本文的研究表明，这种给轨道分子屏加可变翼的模型对更好的利用分子屏环境是非常有利的。     

费率受制于位相半马氏过程的风险模型

对带马氏链的线性和非线性系统，经过众多学者近20多年的努力，已取得一系列重要成果。然而，由于马氏链状态逗留时间服从负指数分布，使得这些成果在应用中有很大的局限性。本文首先探讨了位相半马氏过程的性质，然后以位相半马氏过程代替马氏过程，研究风险模型的相关问题，取得了与马氏链相同的研究成果，从而说明了位相半马氏过程在克服由马氏过程带来的局限性中的作用。     

利用秩统计方法确定不完全S-N数据的p-S-N曲线

本文依据结构不同可靠度下的S—N曲线形状参数相同的观点，利用复合材料结构的不完全S—N数据，得到一组不完全疲劳极限数据，并采用秩统计方法，求得结构的p—S—N曲线，最后，给出了两个应用实例，通过对比分析了本文方法与假定完全寿命法的处理结果，发现本文方法充分利用了数据信息，能给出更好的疲劳性能。