基于DBN的不均衡样本驱动民航发动机故障诊断

在结合深度置信网络(DBN)、采样与集成技术的基础上,提出了基于不均衡样本驱动的民航发动机故障诊断模型。该模型通过分析民航发动机历史飞行数据,利用DBN提取性能参数中的内部特征,利用采样技术将不均衡样本均衡化,采用集成技术进行故障分类。将该模型应用到CFM56-7B系列发动机历史飞行数据,实验结果表明:与常用故障诊断方法相比,该模型的准确率高达0.996,AUC值高达0.948,可以有效处理民航发动机样本高维、不均衡问题。      

基于BBN的航空公司风险评估技术研究

 在人、机、环境和管理(MMEM)系统理论的基础上,通过研究有关民航规则、标准中的相关内容建立航空公司风险评估指标体系;利用层次分析法(AHP)确定指标权重,运用模糊综合评价法(FCE)量化其中的定性指标;基于贝叶斯置信网络(BBN)软件GeNIe完成了整个系统贝叶斯网络拓扑结构的建立,将航空公司历史数据作为贝叶斯网络参数学习的训练数据,获取节点概率表(NPT),建立航空公司风险评估模型,并对其进行概率推理计算;通过环比分析确定影响风险的主要因素。     

飞机作战效能评估中人的可靠性的引入方法

分析了目前的研究现状,提出了在飞机作战效能评估中引入人的可靠性的思想,分析了飞行员可靠性的特点,对在作战仿真和解析计算评估中的引入方法作了相应的探讨和研究。     

基于深度信念网络的航空发动机维修等级决策

准确的航空发动机维修等级决策,能够避免过维修和欠维修,在保证航空发动机运行安全的前提下节约维修成本。结合航空发动机状态监控信息和维修等级特点,采用深度信念网络（DBN）算法,挖掘状态监测及维修等级决策之间的深层次对应关系,实现对维修等级的分类和预测。该模型通过DBN预训练和反向传播(BP)神经网络反向微调提取出样本特征,从而提高维修等级预测准确率。以某航空公司CF6航空型发动机的状态参数和维修等级数据作为实例进行验证,结果显示:该模型能够通过构建多层网络结构挖掘出样本的更深层次信息,在分类能力、决策准确性方面优于传统神经网络,有较强的特征提取能力,对维修等级分类有较高的正确率,能得出更准确的维修等级决策结果,避免因维修等级误判而带来不必要的损失。      

基于模糊TOPSIS的FMEA方法

针对传统故障模式及影响分析(FMEA)中评价故障模式的影响因素和计算风险优先数存在的缺陷,提出了一种基于模糊逼近理想解排序法(TOPSIS)的FMEA方法。该方法采用模糊置信结构对影响因素的评价进行表示,并通过去模糊化和加权平均建立明确置信矩阵。考虑各影响因素的权重对分析结果的重要性,将主、客观赋权法相结合来分配各影响因素的权重,进而建立加权规范化矩阵,根据相对贴近度的大小确定各故障模式的风险水平。最后,举例验证了该方法的可行性和有效性。      

Flood susceptibility mapping by ensemble evidential belief function and binomial logistic regression model on river basin of eastern India

Flooding is the overflow of water from stream, river, lake and sea that occurs all over the world and has disastrous effects on human society and environment. Frequent severe flood event in eastern India cause of death and damages every year so, the development of flood susceptibility method is needed for identifying the flood vulnerability areas to reduce the damages. Techniques of Remote Sensing (RS) and Geographical Information System (GIS) can help to flood susceptibility modeling by the accrued and analyzing huge amount of data in short time. The main objectives of this study are to determine the effectiveness of Evidence Belief Function (EBF), binomial Logistic Regression (LR) and ensemble of EBF and LR (EBF-LR) model with RS and GIS techniques for flood susceptibility mapping and spatial prediction of flood-susceptible areas in the Koiya river basin of West Bengal, India. Eight flood conditioning factors; Land use and land cover (LULC), soil, rainfall, normalized differences vegetation index (NDVI), distance to river, elevation, topographic wetness index (TWI) and stream power index (SPI) have been used, and total 264 historical flooding points were mapped, and randomly divided in to training (70%) and validating (30%) dataset. Flood susceptibility map has been generated by applying EBF, LR and ensemble EBF-LR method with the help of training and eight causative factors dataset. The maps have been divided in to six classes; extremely low, very low, low, moderate, high and very high. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve has been used to accuracy assessment of the susceptibility map, and the area under curve (AUC) disclosures 87.9%, 85.2% and 84.1% prediction rate for the EBF-LR, EBF and LR model, respectively. This study is helpful to flood management program, dissection makers and planning in local administrative level.     

谈谈中外文化课中的元典文化教学

本文主要谈的是中外文化教学中对元典文化的再认识。中国儒家文化、犹太文化、古希腊文化是世界的元典文化。这三种文化造就了人类爱的精神、信仰的精神和求知的精神。这是人类社会得以健康和谐发展的元典精神。     

Study on UAV Path Planning Approach Based on Fuzzy Virtual Force

This article proposes a novel fuzzy virtual force (FVF) method for unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) path planning in complicated environment. An integrated mathematical model of UAV path planning based on virtual force (VF) is constructed and the corresponding optimal solving method under the given indicators is presented. Specifically, a fixed step method is developed to reduce computational cost and the reachable condition of path planning is proved. The Bayesian belief network and fuzzy logic reasoning theories are applied to setting the path planning parameters adaptively, which can reflect the battlefield situation dynamically and precisely. A new way of combining threats is proposed to solve the local minima problem completely. Simulation results prove the feasibility and usefulness of using FVF for UAV path planning. Performance comparisons between the FVF method and the A* search algorithm demonstrate that the proposed approach is fast enough to meet the real-time requirements of the online path planning problems.     

基于形态自适应网络的无人机目标跟踪方法

针对无人机影像目标跟踪过程中常出现的目标方向变化、目标遮挡变化、样本多样性不足等问题,提出了一种基于形态自适应网络的无人机航空影像目标跟踪算法。首先使用基于数据驱动的方法对数据集进行扩增,添加了遮挡样本和多旋转角度样本,提高样本多样性;提出的形态自适应网络模型通过旋转不变约束改进深度置信网络,提取强表征能力的深度特征,使得模型能够自动适应目标形态变化,利用深度特征变换算法获取待检测目标的预定位区域,采用基于Q学习算法的搜索机制对目标进行自适应精准定位,使用深度森林分类器提取跟踪目标的类别信息,得到高精度的目标跟踪结果。在多个数据集上进行了对比实验,实验结果表明该算法能够达到较高的跟踪精度,可以适应目标旋转、目标遮挡等形态变化情况,具有较好的准确性和鲁棒性。     

信念修正与开放逻辑之间的关系

基于全序划分结构给出了信念修正理论中的信念修正操作、信念基修正操作及开放逻辑中的重构操作的统一定义,分析了三者之间的内在联系及本质差别,证明了在原知识库为逻辑封闭语句集且忽视操作结果的逻辑封闭性的情形下,3种运算的操作结果一致。