基于分段常滑翔角的长航时纵向远程滑翔飞行方程近似解

提出用包含地球旋转效应的n个常滑翔角飞行段近似实际滑翔飞行轨迹的方法。基于该方法推导了长航时纵向远程滑翔飞行轨迹近似解，并给出了各段常滑翔角、滑翔时间的求解方法及整个滑翔轨迹近似计算步骤。文中算例结果表明，该近似求解方法计算得到的滑翔航程和滑翔时间与实际值相差很小，航程误差率约为0．7％，时间误差率约为0．6％，因此该方法在近似小初始滑翔角的长航时远程纵向滑翔飞行时是有效的、可行的，尤其针对航程在地球半圈以上的滑翔飞行轨迹。     

基于分数阶理论的铁路基础设施形变监测数据分析与挖掘

北斗高精度定位系统因噪声等因素会产生一定范围内的随机误差,这导致传统模型难以直接对监测数据进行精准分析,因此提出基于分数阶理论的北斗监测数据分析方法,从数据整体趋势角度挖掘铁路基础设施形变演化规律。首先,给出分数阶分析方法的理论框架,并对基础理论进行详细介绍;其次,提出利用α稳定分布对原始数据进行概率密度拟合,实现数据的非高斯特性估计;再次,通过长程相关特性和多重分形特性挖掘隐藏在监测数据中的深层次趋势特征,从数据分数阶特性维度分析未来变化趋势;最后,所提分析方法应用于国内某重载铁路的基础设施形变监测,实验结果表明所提出的分析方法能够在噪声干扰下实现北斗监测数据的精准分析,能够对各组监测数据的演化规则和铁路基础设施形变程度进行精准判别。     

Advances in the Studies of the Middle and Upper Atmosphere in 2004 - 2006

This paper summarizes the research results obtained by Chinese scientists and/or through international collaborations during 2004 to 2006. Within the context of COSPAR, the progresses in the studies of the middle and upper atmosphere in China in the past two years are introduced with focusing the developments in facilities and instruments, and the advancements in scientific issues, e.g., dynamics related processes, atmospheric constituents, and the coupling with the lower atmosphere.     

利用HRDI/UARS资料分析东亚区域中层大气纬向风气候特征

利用美国高层大气研究卫星(UARS)搭载的高分辨率多普勒测风仪(HRDI)获得的中层大气风场观测资料,对东亚区域中层大气纬向风的垂直分布与变化特征进行了分析研究.多年平均结果显示东亚区域中层大气纬向风具有显著的区域特征,与当前普遍使用的参考大气CIRA-86相比存在显著的不同.在冬季,东亚区域中间层西风急流中心位于25°-35°N之间的75 km高度,与CIRA-86相比,该中心纬度偏南5°,高度偏高10 km;在秋季,东亚区域低热层高度存在一个显著的从赤道到高纬度的东风带,而CIRA-86不存在.分析结果还表明,除了夏季中纬度地区,在东亚区域上空中高层大气各高度上均存在相当显著的区域尺度扰动结构.在热带,低热层高度纬向风无论冬夏,沿纬圈方向都表现出相当显著的不均匀性,夏季这种不均匀性进一步向下扩展到55 km高度.与上述热带扰动特征相比,中纬度地区夏季的纬向风在各个高度沿纬圈相当均匀,但是在冬季,中间层和低热层高度都存在沿纬圈方向显著的纬向风扰动结构.      

战略导弹制导精度分析途径的探讨

本文扼要介绍了制导精度分析的方法及其有关问题和工具误差模型系数分离的意义。为保证制导精度指标,进行制导误差分析和提高制导精度,探讨在我国国情下实现误差系数分离的途径是必要的。     

Numerical modeling of inhomogeneous orographic wave influence on planetary waves in the middle atmosphere

Parameterization of dynamical and thermal effects of stationary orographic gravity waves (OGWs) generated by the Earth’s surface topography is incorporated into a numerical model of general circulation of the middle and upper atmosphere. Responses of atmospheric general circulation and characteristics of planetary waves at altitudes from the troposphere up to the thermosphere to the effects of OGWs propagating from the earth surface are studied. Changes in atmospheric circulation and amplitudes of planetary waves due to variations of OGW generation and propagation in different seasons are considered. It is shown that during solstices the main OGW dynamical and heat effects occur in the middle atmosphere of winter hemispheres, where changes in planetary wave amplitudes due to OGWs may reach up to 50%. During equinoxes OGW effects are distributed more homogeneously between northern and southern hemispheres.     

Tidal associated temperature disturbances observed at the middle atmosphere (30–65 km) by a Rayleigh lidar at 23°S

A lidar has been operated in São José dos Campos, Brazil (23.2°S, 45.8°W) since 1972, mainly dedicated to the study of mesospheric sodium at the 589 nm resonant line. The molecular Rayleigh scattering can also be used provided we limit the height to ∼75 km where the sodium scattering begins. Nevertheless, the weak signal obtained only permits the determination of density and temperature profiles by accumulating a large number of shots giving only nocturnal average profiles. Temporal variations in density and temperature on the scale of hours can however, be obtained by performing a superposed epoch analysis for a given time interval and covering a period of several days. In this way we obtained hourly mean profiles grouped by months, seasons and overall, with data acquired from 1993 to 2004. The difference between the hourly temperatures and the nocturnal means shows for some months, with enough data coverage, downward propagating structures that apparently have tidal origin. The seasonal averages show a recurrent feature with high temperatures before and low temperatures after midnight above 50 km. Some similarity is found with the GSWM model, but the observed temperature amplitudes are twice of that for the model.     

Comparison of mesopause region meteor radar winds,medium frequency radar winds and low frequency drifts over Germany

During 2004 and 2005 measurements of mesospheric/lower thermospheric (80–100 km) winds have been carried out in Germany using three different ground-based systems, namely a meteor radar (36.2 MHz) at the Collm Observatory (51.3°N, 13°E), a MF radar (3.18 MHz) at Juliusruh (54.6°N, 13.4°E) and the LF D1 measurements using a transmitter (177 kHz) at Zehlendorf near Berlin and receivers at Collm with the reflection point at 52.1°N, 13.2°E. This provides the possibility of comparing the results of different radar systems in nearly the same measuring volume. Meteor radar winds are generally stronger than the winds observed by MF and especially by LF radars. This difference is small near 80 km but increases with height. The difference between meteor radar and medium frequency radar winds is larger during winter than during summer, which might indicate an indirect influence of gravity waves on spaced antenna measurements.     

Height and time variability of planetary wave activity

The height–season and year-to-year regularities of parameters of first and second spatial harmonics determine the structure of the stratosphere and mesosphere circulation and its variability. In the period 1992–2002 at heights 0–55 km, the amplitudes and phases of the first and second spatial harmonics in the field of temperature, geopotential height, zonal and meridional wind were calculated by the method of harmonic decomposition. Dispersion (standard or mean square deviation) of their day-to-day and year-to-year variations was calculated by their wavelength constants. Height and season patterns of variability have been estimated. The difference in height–longitude variability for wave numbers m = 1 and 2 has been discovered. At the same time, the intensity of wave disturbances for m = 1 is less than for m = 2 excluding the polar areas, where a significant variability appears at the heights 0–55 km. There is also a tendency for the intensity of year-to-year variations to decrease in comparison with day-to-day variations. In cold and warm periods the amplitude of perturbation waves with m = 2 both for day-to-day and year-to-year variations is greater than for waves with m = 1. Transient height areas in the interval of 20–30 km are more distinct for day-to-day variations of polar area.     

Simulating planetary wave propagation to the upper atmosphere during stratospheric warming events at different mountain wave scenarios

Parameterization schemes of atmospheric normal modes (NMs) and orographic gravity waves (OGWs) have been implemented into the mechanistic Middle and Upper Atmosphere Model (MUAM) simulating atmospheric general circulation. Based on the 12-members ensemble of runs with the MUAM, a composite of the stratospheric warming (SW) has been constructed using the UK Met Office data as the lower boundary conditions. The simulation results show that OGW amplitudes increase at altitudes above 30 km in the Northern Hemisphere after the SW event. At altitudes of about 50 km, OGWs have largest amplitudes over North American and European mountain systems before and during the composite SW, and over Himalayas after the SW. Simulations demonstrate substantial (up to 50–70%) variations of amplitudes of stationary planetary waves (PWs) during and after the SW in the mesosphere-lower thermosphere of the Northern Hemisphere. Westward travelling NMs have amplitude maxima not only in the Northern, but also in the Southern Hemisphere, where these modes have waveguides in the middle and upper atmosphere. Simulated variations of PW and NM amplitudes correspond to changes in the mean zonal wind, EP-fluxes and wave refractive index at different phases of the composite SW events. Inclusion of the parameterization of OGW effects leads to decreases in amplitudes (up to 15%) of almost all SPWs before and after the SW event and their increase (up to 40–60%) after the SW in the stratosphere and mesosphere at middle and high northern latitudes. It is suggested that observed changes in NM amplitudes in the Southern Hemisphere during SW could be caused by divergence of increased southward EP-flux. This EP-flux increases due to OGW drag before SW and extends into the Southern Hemisphere.