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Melinda Nagy Alexandre Lemerle Paul Charbonneau 《Advances in Space Research (includes Cospar's Information Bulletin, Space Research Today)》2019,63(4):1425-1433
The solar dipole moment at activity minimum is a good predictor of the strength of the subsequent solar cycle. Through a systematic analysis using a state-of-the-art D solar dynamo model, we found that bipolar magnetic regions (BMR) with atypical characteristics can modify the strength of the next cycle via their impact on the buildup of the dipole moment as a sunspot cycle unfolds. In addition to summarizing these results, we present further effects of such “rogue” BMRs. These have the ability to generate hemispheric asymmetry in the subsequent sunspot cycle, since they modify the polar cap flux asymmetry of the ongoing cycle. We found strong correlation between the polar cap flux asymmetry of cycle i and the total pseudo sunspot number asymmetry of cycle . Good correlation also appears in the case of the time lag of the hemispheres of cycle . 相似文献
594.
Characterization of GPS-TEC over African equatorial ionization anomaly (EIA) region during 2009–2016
Temitope Seun Oluwadare Chinh Nguyen Thai Andrew Oke-Ovie Akala Stefan Heise Mahdi Alizadeh Harald Schuh 《Advances in Space Research (includes Cospar's Information Bulletin, Space Research Today)》2019,63(1):282-301
This study characterizes total electron content (TEC) measured by Global Positioning System (GPS) over African equatorial ionization anomaly (EIA) region for 2009–2016 period during both quiet geomagnetic conditions (Kp?≤?1) and normal conditions (1?>?Kp?≤?4). GPS-TEC data from four equatorial/low-latitude stations, namely, Addis Ababa (ADIS: 9.04°N, 38.77°E, mag. lat: 0.2°N) [Ethiopia]; Yamoussoukro (YKRO: 6.87°N, 5.24°W, mag. lat: 2.6°S) [Ivory Coast]; Malindi (MAL2; 3.00°S, 40.19°E, mag. lat: 12.4°S) [Kenya] and Libreville (NKLG; 0.35°N, 9.67°W, mag. lat: 13.5°S) [Gabon] were used for this study. Interesting features like noontime TEC bite-out, winter anomaly during the ascending and maximum phases of solar cycle 24, diurnal and seasonal variations with solar activity have been observed and investigated in this study. The day-to-day variations exhibited ionospheric TEC asymmetry on an annual scale. TEC observed at equatorial stations (EIA-trough) and EIA-crest reach maximum values between ~1300–1600 LT and ~1300–1600 LT, respectively. About 76% of the high TEC values were recorded in equinoctial months while the June solstice predominantly exhibited low TEC values. Yearly, the estimated TEC values increases or decreases with solar activity, with 2014 having the highest TEC value. Solar activity dependence of TEC within the EIA zone reveals that both F10.7?cm index and EUV flux (24–36?nm) gives a stronger correlation with TEC than Sunspot Number (SSN). A slightly higher degree of dependence is on EUV flux with the mean highest correlation coefficient (R) value of 0.70, 0.83, 0.82 and 0.88 for quiet geomagnetic conditions (Kp?≤?1) at stations ADIS, MAL2, NKLG, and YKRO, respectively. The correlation results for the entire period consequently reveals that SSN and solar flux F10.7?cm index might not be an ideal index as a proxy for EUV flux as well as to measure the variability of TEC strength within the EIA zone. The estimated TEC along the EIA crest (MAL2 and NKLG) exhibited double-hump maximum, as well as post-sunset peaks (night time enhancement of TEC) between ~2100 and 2300 LT. EIA formation was prominent during evening/post-noon hours. 相似文献
595.
Baolin Tan 《Advances in Space Research (includes Cospar's Information Bulletin, Space Research Today)》2019,63(1):617-625
Is Solar Cycle 24 anomalous? How do we predict the main features of a forthcoming cycle? In order to reply such questions, this work partitions quantitatively each cycle into valley, ascend, peak, and descend phases, statistically investigate the correlations between valley phase and the forthcoming cycle. We find that the preceding valley phase may dominate and can be predictor of the forthcoming cycle: (1) The growth rate in ascend phase strongly negatively correlates to valley length and strongly positively correlates to cycle maximum. (2) The cycle maximum strongly negatively correlates to valley length, and strongly positively correlates to cycle minimum. (3) The cycle period strongly negatively correlates to the valley variation. Based on these correlations, we conclude that the solar cycle 24 is a relatively weak and long cycle which is obviously weaker than Cycle 23. The similarity analysis also presents the similar result. The Cycle 25 is also inferred possibly to be a weak cycle. These results can help us understanding the physical processes of solar cycles. 相似文献
596.
RBCC-RKT两级入轨飞行器飞行轨迹优化方法 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
针对火箭基组合循环(RBCC)发动机比冲和推进剂质量流量随飞行条件改变而不断变化的特点,提出了通过增广拉格朗日遗传算法优化飞行器飞行轨迹的方法,在飞行器气动参数和发动机比冲已知、最大飞行动压给定等条件下,进行了火箭基组合循环发动机-液体火箭(RKT)发动机推进的水平起飞两级入轨(TSTO)飞行器飞行轨迹优化计算。研究结果表明:在飞行俯仰角和发动机推进剂质量流量变化范围已知的情况下,利用该方法能够在较好满足给定约束条件的情况下,优化得到飞行俯仰角和发动机流量随时间的变化关系,为飞行轨迹初步设计提供参考。 相似文献
597.
L.Z. Biktash 《Advances in Space Research (includes Cospar's Information Bulletin, Space Research Today)》2014
We have studied conditions in interplanetary space, which can have an influence on galactic cosmic ray (CR) and climate change. In this connection the solar wind and interplanetary magnetic field parameters and cosmic ray variations have been compared with geomagnetic activity represented by the equatorial Dst index from the beginning 1965 to the end of 2012. Dst index is commonly used as the solar wind–magnetosphere–ionosphere interaction characteristic. The important drivers in interplanetary medium which have effect on cosmic rays as CMEs (coronal mass ejections) and CIRs (corotating interaction regions) undergo very strong changes during their propagation to the Earth. Because of this CMEs, coronal holes and the solar spot numbers (SSN) do not adequately reflect peculiarities concerned with the solar wind arrival to 1 AU. Therefore, the geomagnetic indices have some inestimable advantage as continuous series other the irregular solar wind measurements. We have compared the yearly average variations of Dst index and the solar wind parameters with cosmic ray data from Moscow, Climax, and Haleakala neutron monitors during the solar cycles 20–23. The descending phases of these solar cycles (CSs) had the long-lasting solar wind high speed streams occurred frequently and were the primary contributors to the recurrent Dst variations. They also had effects on cosmic rays variations. We show that long-term Dst variations in these solar cycles were correlated with the cosmic ray count rate and can be used for study of CR variations. Global temperature variations in connection with evolution of Dst index and CR variations is discussed. 相似文献
598.
补燃循环发动机推力调节过程建模与仿真研究 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
以补燃循环液氧煤油发动机为研究对象,对其推力调节特性进行了研究.建立了描述补燃循环发动机瞬变过程的数学模型,提出了求解供应系统管路内液体瞬变流控制方程的Chebyshev伪谱方法,应用该模型对补燃循环液氧煤油发动机的推力调节特性进行了仿真计算,并将计算结果与试验数据进行了对比分析,验证了模型和算法的合理性.研究结果表明:对于所研究的补燃循环发动机系统而言,通过调节发生器中较少组元的流量,改变涡轮泵的功率,可很好地实现调节推力的目的,且该推力调节系统具有良好的动态调节品质和很强的抗干扰性. 相似文献
599.
带集中非线性的机翼气动弹性问题研究进展 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
带集中非线性环节的机翼非线性气动弹性问题是飞行器气动弹性研究领域的热点和难点。经过近几十年来的不断发展,这类机翼非线性气动弹性问题的研究已经取得了长足的进步,同时也面临着新的挑战。鉴于此,综述了近年来带集中非线性环节的机翼非线性气动弹性问题的研究进展,阐述了带集中非线性的机翼气动弹性分析的建模方法、分析方法及非线性气动弹性稳定性和响应行为的规律,并讨论和总结了相关的研究成果,对今后机翼非线性气动弹性问题的分析方法和研究内容提出了展望。 相似文献
600.
串联式TBCC进气道模态转换模拟器设计及其特性分析 总被引:2,自引:2,他引:0
为了实现涡轮基组合循环(TBCC)推进系统平稳模态转换过程的模拟,在前期风洞试验研究的基础上对串联式TBCC进气道模态转换模拟器进行重新设计。采用线性化及非对称的思路对该模拟器进行设计并对其特性展开数值仿真研究。结果表明:该模拟器不仅需要模拟发动机工况改变引起的背压变化,而且能通过流通截面面积线性变化,实现两个通道的流量分配。该装置的特点是能保证模态转换过程中每一点的涡轮/冲压通道的总堵塞比不变,使本文所研究的进气道在总堵塞比保持为65%时进行模态转换,结尾激波基本维持在喉道等直段内且进气道出口马赫数基本维持在0.30,流量系数基本为0.45,涡轮/冲压通道流量呈线性变化,与预期目标一致。 相似文献