27-day variations of the galactic cosmic ray intensity and anisotropy in the minimum of the 23rd solar activity cycle

We study the 27-day variations of the solar wind velocity, galactic cosmic ray (GCR) intensity and anisotropy in the last minimum epoch of solar activity (2007–2009, A < 0). The average amplitude of the 27-day variation of the galactic cosmic ray anisotropy (A27A) in the current minimum epoch of solar activity (2007–2009, A < 0) is lesser than in previous positive polarity period as it is expected from the drift theory. So, polarity dependence rule for the 27-day variation of the GCR anisotropy is fully kept. It is a universal principle for the amplitudes of the 27-day variation of the GCR anisotropy. At the same time, the average amplitude of the 27-day variation of the GCR intensity (A27I) remains at the same level as for previous minimum epoch 1995–1997 (A > 0) showing by the same token an violation of its polarity dependence rule established earlier. We assume that this phenomenon could be generally related with the well established 27-day variation of the solar wind velocity being in anti-correlation with the similar changes of the 27-day variation of the GCR intensity. Generally, a character of the heliolongitudinal asymmetry of spatial large-scale structure of the solar wind velocity (SWV) established in the recent minimum epoch, preferentially pronounces in the behavior of the 27-day variation of the GCR intensity than anisotropy. The formation of the 27-day variation of the GCR anisotropy preferentially takes place in a restricted disk like local vicinity in the helioequatorial region, whilst the 27-day variation of the GCR intensity is formed in the global three dimensional vicinity of the heliosphere.     

Predicting indices of the ionosphere response to solar activity for the ascending phase of the 25th solar cycle

The international reference ionosphere, IRI, and its extension to plasmasphere, IRI-Plas, models require reliable prediction of solar and ionospheric proxy indices of solar activity for nowcasting and forecasting of the ionosphere parameters. It is shown that IRI prediction errors could increase for the F2 layer critical frequency foF2 and the peak height hmF2 due to erroneous predictions of the ionospheric global IG index and the international sunspot number SSN1 index on which IRI and IRI-Plas models are built. Regression relation is introduced to produce daily SSN1 proxy index from new time series SSN2 index provided from June 2015, after recalibration of sunspots data. To avoid extra errors of the ionosphere model a new solar activity prediction (SAP) model for the ascending part of the solar cycle SC25 is proposed which expresses analytically the SSN1 proxy index and the 10.7-cm radio flux F10.7 index in terms of the phase of the solar cycle, Φ. SAP model is based on monthly indices observed during the descending part of SC24 complemented with forecast of time and amplitude for SC25 peak. The strength of SC25 is predicted to be less than that of SC24 as shown with their amplitudes for eight types of indices driving IRI-Plas model.     

Essential features of long-term changes of areas and diameters of sunspot groups in solar activity cycles 12–24

We analyze the Greenwich catalog data on areas of sunspot groups of last thirteen solar cycles. Various parameters of sunspots are considered, namely: average monthly smoothed areas, maximum area for each year and equivalent diameters of groups of sunspots. The first parameter shows an exceptional power of the 19th cycle of solar activity, which appears here more contrastively than in the numbers of spots (that is, in Wolf’s numbers). It was found that in the maximum areas of sunspot groups for a year there is a unique phenomenon: a short and high jump in the 18th cycle (in 1946–1947) that has no analogues in other cycles. We also studied the integral distributions for equivalent diameters and found the following: (a) the average value of the index of power-law approximation is 5.4 for the last 13 cycles and (b) there is reliable evidence of Hale's double cycle (about 44?years). Since this indicator reflects the dispersion of sunspot group diameters, the results obtained show that the convective zone of the Sun generates embryos of active regions in different statistical regimes which change with a cycle of about 44?years.     

RBCC发动机初步设计CAD系统研究

研究了一种用于火箭基组合循环发动机(RBCC)初步设计与方案分析的CAD系统。分析并解决了发动机几何特征参数提取、性能分析模型、设计计算集成、三维图形造型与显示等关键技术。基于AC IS几何造型内核软件,搭建了火箭基组合循环发动机初步设计的CAD平台,并利用该平台进行了算例分析。结果表明,该CAD平台能有效地进行火箭基组合循环发动机的设计与分析,实现了设计、计算一体化,为此类发动机实验器的设计提供了技术支持。     

火箭/冲压组合发动机工作特性分析

为分析火箭/冲压组合发动机在不同工作模态下的工作特性,对其在没有二次补燃情况下的内流场进行了数值模拟和分析,结果表明:(1)在火箭引射模态,火箭发动机应尽可能工作在其设计状态;(2)为有利于掺混燃烧,在较低的高度、较高的速度下由引射模态转换到亚燃冲压模态可能比较好;(3)在亚燃冲压模态,火箭发动机以某种低工况工作对冲压发动机的点火和火焰稳定是极为有利的;(4)在纯火箭模态,进气道关闭与否对组合发动机的整体性能几乎没有影响;为了获得较高的性能,二次喷管应采用扩张通道。     

Theoretical investigation on water/metal fuel ramjet motor-thermodynamic cycle and thermodynamic calculation

For achieving high-speed requirement of underwater vehicle,a conceptual engine,which utilizes the hydroreactive characteristic of several metals under supercavitation environment,has been put forward. Especially,in order to obtain specific impulse as great as possible,a dual water injection system is taken into account. Then thermodynamic cycle model,which lead the improvement of power plant and energy system,is introduced in detail,and thermal efficiency is also analyzed. Furthermore,for investigating the performance of this kind of engine system,detailed thermodynamic calculation and analysis are achieved. Especially,regarding hydroreactive metal fuel Mg/AP/HTPB as our target fuel-rich propellant,considering its obvious deficient oxygen property and the energy property of magnesium/water reaction,theoretical calculation method is established by integrating chemical non-equilibrium with chemical equilibrium. Accordingly,low limit of primary water/fuel ratio is determined. In addition,the qualitative and quantitative relationship of performance parameters,such as theoretical specific impulse,nozzle exit temperature,characteristic velocity,etc.,versus water/fuel ratio is investigated respectively.      

装备全寿命期风险评估方法综述

文章针对装备全寿命周期风险的特点,对装备全寿命周期风险识别与评估的方法进行了归纳,并具体到装备全寿命周期各阶段,对风险识别方法进行了总结,对装备全寿命周期风险评估的主要方法进行了简单介绍和适用性比较,指出未来风险评估方法的发展趋势,认为综合集成的评估方法可以成为装备全寿命周期风险评估方法研究的一个方向。     

RBCC发动机燃料喷注位置变化对混合燃烧模式燃烧的影响

为了研究混合燃烧模式下燃料喷注位置对燃烧的影响,通过数值模拟的方法,研究了喷注位置变化时,流道组分质量分数分布、高温放热区域及流道压强分布的变化规律.结果表明,混合燃烧模式中,喷注位置变化对燃烧流场影响很大.在燃烧室中,燃料喷注位置靠前能给燃烧带来帮助,提高燃料与二次来流的掺混能力,并且由于燃料与一次火箭高温羽流相互掺混等影响提前,加快燃料的雾化蒸发,促进燃烧流场的火焰传播,减少煤油点火延迟时间,提高了燃烧效率.因此为了提高混合燃烧模式下的燃烧性能,应尽可能选择燃烧室前端位置进行燃料喷注.      

航天器AIT过程职业健康安全管理体系建设初探

职业健康安全管理体系以其先进、高效的管理方式,科学、系统的管理理念广泛用于各类行业。文章从职业健康安全管理体系的一些基本知识和特点入手,对在航天器总装-测试-试验（AIT）过程中如何建立与实施该体系做了初步研究。     

考虑耦合损伤的燃气轮机叶片材料高低周复合疲劳寿命研究

燃气轮机叶片在实际工作过程中,受到高低周载荷共同作用而易发生疲劳失效.针对高低周复合疲劳损伤演化和寿命预测比较复杂这一问题,考虑高低周载荷叠加形成的耦合损伤,建立了一种新的高低周复合疲劳寿命预测模型,在此基础之上,引入弱化函数描述某些低幅高周载荷对复合损伤的弱化作用,建立了具有低载强化寿命效应的高低周复合疲劳寿命预测模...