Satellite collision probability estimation using polynomial chaos expansions

This paper presents the application of polynomial chaos (PC) to estimating the probability of collision between two spacecraft. Common methods of quantifying this probability for conjunction assessment use either Monte Carlo analyses or include simplifying assumptions to improve tractability. A PC expansion, or PCE, provides a means for approximating the solution to a large set of stochastic ordinary differential equations, which includes orbit propagation. When compared to Monte Carlo methods, non-intrusive, i.e., sampling-based, PCE generation techniques may greatly reduce the number of orbit propagations required to approximate the possibly non-Gaussian, a posteriori probability density function. The presented PC-based method of computing collision probability requires no fundamental simplifying assumptions, and reduces the computation time compared to Monte Carlo. This paper considers two cases where the common conjunction assessment assumptions are no longer valid. The results indeed demonstrate a reduction in computation time when compared to Monte Carlo, and improved accuracy when compared to simplified techniques.     

任意多面体网格上的欧拉方程数值算法

发展并验证了一种新的支持多面体网格的欧拉方程离散算法,采用Fortran 95编写了支持任意网格拓扑及三维复杂外形的通用求解器.在空间离散上,基于径向基函数理论提出了一种新的梯度计算方法,并采用动能通量分裂格式来得到准确并且稳定的二阶精度重构.该方法不依赖于网格几何形状,因此对网格质量不敏感.由于在时间方向采用了点隐松...     

Space Debris Reentry Analysis Methods and Tools

The reentry of uncontrolled spacecraft may be broken into many pieces of debris at an altitude in the range of 75-85 km. The surviving fragments could pose great hazard and risk to ground and people. In recent years, methods and tools for predicting and analyzing debris reentry and ground risk assessment have been studied and developed in National Aeronautics and Space Ad-ministration (NASA), European Space Agency (ESA) and other organizations, including the group of the present authors. This paper reviews the current progress on this topic of debris reentry briefly. We outline the Monte Carlo method for uncertainty analysis, breakup prediction, and parameters affecting survivability of debris. The existing analysis tools can be classified into two categories, i.e. the object-oriented and the spacecraft-oriented methods, the latter being more accurate than the first one. The past object-oriented tools include objects of only simple shapes. For more realistic simulation, here we present an object-oriented tool debris reentry and ablation prediction system (DRAPS) developed by the present authors, which introduces new object shapes to 15 types, as well as 51 predefined motions and relevant aerodynamic and aerothermal models. The aerodynamic and aerothermal models in DRAPS are validated using direct simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC) method.     

活性剂对不锈钢激光-TIG电弧复合焊接的影响

选用氧化物TiO<,2>、Cr<,2>O<,3>、B<,2>O<,3>、SiO<,2>和氟化物CaF<,2>为活性剂,研究了它们对激光-TIG电弧复合焊接不锈钢的影响.结果表明,Cr<,2>O<,3>和B<,2>O<,3>使焊缝更对称,而TiO<,2>、SiO<,2>和CaF<,2>则可消除焊缝的喇叭口收边,Cr<,2...     

A robotic telescope network for space debris identification and tracking

The two TAROT (Télescopes à Action Rapide pour les Objets Transitoires; Rapid Action Telescopes for Transient Objects) installations are fully robotic optical observatories with optimized observation scheduling, data processing and archiving. Zadko is a 1 m telescope in Western Australia. The fully robotisation of the Zadko telescope has just been completed; it is now included in the TAROT network. In this paper we provide an overview of this international network of robotic optical telescopes. We discuss the advantages of using the network to participate in a satellite and space debris tracking program. This network will access almost all geostationary belt objects, and provide the first real-time satellite positioning capability. The inclusion of the 1 m Zadko telescope into the network significantly extends the efficiency and sensitivity of the existing two telescope configuration.     

基于稀疏信号表示的空间碎片成像

地基雷达一直是空间碎片监测的有力工具,研究如何利用它们对尺寸小于距离分辨率的目标进行成像具有重要意义。基于空间碎片通常会围绕它的主轴进行简单的自旋转运动这一事实,通过对目标回波模型的分析,本文提出了一种基于稀疏信号表示的空间碎片成像方法。该方法将成像问题转化为稀疏信号分解问题,首先以各个散射点的散射特性作为元素构建字典,然后通过采用现有的方法对单个距离单元横向回波数据的稀疏信号表示进行求解,最后对求解的结果重新排列以得到目标的二维高分辨图像。仿真实验结果表明了本方法的正确性。     

润滑油金属磨粒的分类参数研究

 针对润滑系统中普遍存在的 8类金属磨粒,通过引入数字图像描述方法和处理技术,分别对磨粒的尺寸、形态、表面纹理以及颜色等参数进行了详细的研究,获取了各类磨粒识别的最佳参数,并提出了磨粒的分层识别策略,最后运用模糊 C-均值聚类方法实现了 8类磨粒的有效聚类。算例表明了本文方法的有效性。     

基于气隙磁场定向的无轴承异步电机非线性解耦控制

无轴承异步电机是一个强耦合的非线性复杂系统，实现了其电磁转矩和径向悬浮力之间的解耦控制是该电机稳定运行的前提。本在研究电机磁悬浮机理的基础上，提出了利用气隙磁场定向控制来实现两之间的动态解耦控制。仿真实验也证明该控制算法不仅能实现电机稳定的悬浮，而且使电机具有良好的调速性能。     

Dust Environment Modelling of Comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko

Dust is an important constituent of cometary emission; its analysis is one of the major objectives of ESA’s Rosetta mission to comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko (C–G). Several instruments aboard Rosetta are dedicated to studying various aspects of dust in the cometary coma, all of which require a certain level of exposure to dust to achieve their goals. At the same time, impacts of dust particles can constitute a hazard to the spacecraft. To conciliate the demands of dust collection instruments and spacecraft safety, it is desirable to assess the dust environment in the coma even before the arrival of Rosetta. We describe the present status of modelling the dust coma of 67P/C–G and predict the speed and flux of dust in the coma, the dust fluence on a spacecraft along sample trajectories, and the radiation environment in the coma. The model will need to be refined when more details of the coma are revealed by observations. An overview of astronomical observations of 67P/C–G is given, because model parameters are derived from this data if possible. For quantities not yet measured for 67P/C–G, we use values obtained for other comets, e.g. concerning the optical and compositional properties of the dust grains. One of the most important and most controversial parameters is the dust mass distribution. We summarise the mass distribution functions derived from the in-situ measurements at comet 1P/Halley in 1986. For 67P/C–G, constraining the mass distribution is currently only possible by the analysis of astronomical images. We find that both the dust mass distribution and the time dependence of the dust production rate of 67P/C–G are those of a fairly typical comet.     

Comparison of magnetic flux tube and cosmic string behavior in Kerr metric

Cosmic strings are topological defects which were generated at a transition phase of the very early Universe and are probably responsible for large-scale structure forming. However, they may pull through all history and exist in the recent epoch. Thus, they can have influence for the recent Universe interacting with different objects. We consider the cosmic string behavior in the vicinity of a spinning black hole by means of a numerical simulation. Here we present preliminary results of this work via a comparison of cosmic string and magnetic flux tube behavior in the Kerr metric. Such an approach follows from the similarity of the equations which describe these objects. Therefore, many aspects of this behavior may be comparable.