新形势下航修企业分层分类的成本控制和价格管理模式构建

通过对当前航空装备修理企业成本控制和价格管理中存在问题的深入分析,结合航空装备价格工作后续发展趋势,提出构建航修企业分层分类的成本控制和价格管理模式,并介绍了某航空修理工厂在成本控制和价格管理方面所做的尝试和探索。     

中国航空运输生产函数和成本函数的实证研究

从本质上讲,生产函数反映了生产过程中投入要素的数量与产出量之间的技术关系。定义决定中国航空运输产出量的关键要素为航空运输飞机占用资本、飞行员的飞行驾驶劳动和航空油料消耗,利用C—D生产函数,以中国航空运输总周转量表示产出,以运输飞机数量、正驾驶飞行员人数和航空油料消耗量表示投入,利用1990--2005年中国航空运输生产的相关数据资料,进行模型估计。同时,以生产函数为基础构建航空运输的成本函数,并通过生产函数和成本函数分析中国航空运输生产包括规模经济性在内的一些重要特征。     

武器装备费用确定方法及效费比分析探讨

分析了武器装备的全寿命周期费用的构成及特点,提出用装各经济寿命分析的方法计算出装备的全寿命费用;分析了效能费用的辩证关系,对效费比计算进行了初步的探讨。     

小卫星侦察星座性能评估研究

针对小卫星侦察星座性能评估问题,从覆盖、成本和弹性三方面对小卫星侦察星座的性能指标进行研究,分别构建了考虑存储容量约束的覆盖能力评估模型、成本估计模型以及弹性能力评估模型。在覆盖能力评估模型中,将卫星存储容量作为约束条件,结合卫星覆盖几何模型分析了卫星对地侦察的工作条件,提出考虑存储容量的覆盖指标计算方法;通过小卫星成本模型(small satellite cost model,SSCM)对星座各分系统的成本进行估计;在弹性评估模型中,提出了星座性能损失率指标,并根据星座失效状态概率函数确定了不同失效状态下星座性能损失率的权重。将上述模型应用于SkySat和吉林一号星座的性能评估过程中,结果表明SkySat比吉林一号覆盖能力强、成本低,弹性差。提出的三个模型可用于评价星座优劣,为小卫星侦察星座的建设和性能评估工作提供参考。     

一种复杂系统的预测方法

提出了一种适用于复杂系统的预测方法——多因素关联预测,并以战斗机机体费用预测作为算例。     

浅析检查方法的选择对维修成本的影响

维修工作贯穿于飞机的整个生命周期,产生高额的维修成本,如何降低维修成本是航空公司面临的一个重要课题。本文从检查方法和损伤容限概念的角度出发,详细阐述了在保证飞机安全的前提下,如何降低飞机维修成本。     

The Hidden Costs of Reliability and Failure in Launch Systems

In comparing the costs of different launch vehicles, the possibility of the risk of failure is assumed to be accounted for by the cost of insurance. The satellite may be insured against loss during launch, and the launch services provider may offer a free relaunch. However, actual costs of reliability and failure extend beyond this. Each failure necessitates an investigation and a get well programme by the operating agency, while putting the operations team on hold until services can resume. A commercial operator may also lose customer revenue and actual customers through loss of confidence or unavailability. Such costs tend to be hidden, and not evaluated in assessing the effectiveness of a system, but count towards total costs. Failure investigations help to improve system reliability, but this could equally have been achieved by expenditure in development and qualification. Reusable launch vehicles will have different costs associated with reliability and failure. The relationship between reliability and cost, properly assessed, ought to influence the design of both expendable and reusable launch systems.     

Z1Cr18Ni9Ti不锈钢法兰的铸造工艺研究

本文介绍了一种Z1Cr18Ni9Ti零件的制造方法，即用铸造方法。这种方法可以节省材料，提高效率，降低成本，并在此基础上探讨了有效的熔炼和铸造工艺。     

Cost Engineering – The new paradigm for space launch vehicle design

The paper describes the basic definition and application of 'Cost Engineering' which means to design a vehicle system for minimum development cost and/or for minimum operations cost. This is important now and for the future since space transportation has become primarily a commercial business in contrast to the past where it has been mainly a subject of military power and national prestige. Several examples are presented for minimum-cost space launch vehicle configurations, such as increasing vehicle size and/or the use of less efficient rocket engines in order to reduce development and operations cost. Further a cost comparison is presented on single-stage (SSTO)-vehicles vs. two-stage launchers which shows that SSTOs have lower development and operations cost although they are larger, respectively have a higher lift-off mass than two-stage vehicles with the same performance. The design of a space tourism-dedicated launch vehicle is an extreme challenge for a cost-engineered vehicle design in order to achieve cost per seat not higher than $50,000. Finally an outlook is presented on the different options for manned Earth-to-Moon transportation modes and vehicles – another most important application of 'cost engineering', taking into account the large cost of such a future venture.     

伴飞诱饵支援条件下无人飞行器协同作战效能研究

针对复杂的威胁环境，介绍了伴飞诱饵在体系作战条件下的应用情况；基于排队论的突防概率模型，研究了伴飞诱饵支援条件下，无人飞行器的协同突防概率和效费比：提出了作战体系作战时效性的概念；建立了火力对抗条件下无人飞行器打击防空导弹防御体系的Lanchester方程，利用所建模型分析了伴飞诱饵对作战时效性的贡献。研究表明，排队论和Lanchester方程用于伴飞诱饵条件下的无人飞行器协同作战效能研究是有效的。