管理效率、技术进步与生产率增长——基于中美航空公司的比较

运用Malmquist生产率指数方法，对中美15个航空公司2000～2006年期间的全要素生产率的变化作了测算与对比。分析结果显示，2000—2006年这些公司的生产效率总体上都有所提高，中国航空公司的全要素生产率的平均增长率为4.3％，美国的平均增长率为6．1％；综合效率改善与技术进步对中美两国航空公司生产率的影响程度并不相同，美国航空公司的主要驱动因素为技术变革与创新，中国航空公司的发展动力主要为对已有技术的运用以及组织管理效率的提升。中国航空公司全要素生产率水平的提高，除继续强调综合效率的重要性之外，也要进一步加强对技术进步的重视。     

基于神经网络的雷达抗干扰效能评估方法

雷达抗干扰效能是衡量雷达设备性能的重要指标,如何准确、客观、快捷地评估雷达抗干扰效能,对雷达、干扰双方均具有重要的现实意义。文章通过对雷达传统的抗干扰效能加权评估方法的分析,提出了基于神经网络的雷达抗干扰效能综合评估方法,并将该评估方法应用于雷达接收机抗干扰的技术等级评判实例中。实例结果表明,该评估方法能客观、定量地评估雷达抗干扰效能,具有一定的实用性。     

时滞系统内模控制器参数整定方法研究

针对内模原理对时滞系统控制的局限性,利用一阶泰勒级数逼近模型的时 滞部分, 推导了工业上常见的一阶时滞和二阶时滞模型的内模控制参数表达式, 结合 ITAE 指标和系统鲁棒性设计了新的目标函数, 通过对目标函数的寻优实现了内模控制 器参数的整定。仿真结果表明,该方法具有较好的动态跟踪性能、较强的抗干扰性和鲁 棒性,具有一定的工程应用价值。     

Design-to-Cost Applied Within an Integrated System Model

In an environment of declining financial budgets for space projects, new approaches - such as Design-To-Cost - are being implemented to improve today's satellite design processes. Using an example of a current mission (the power subsystem of the Solar Probe spacecraft) under study at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory, the main part of the paper discusses an Integrated System Model (structured into a performance model, a cost model, and an effectiveness model) that is part of a model-based design process used to perform cost-effectiveness trades. A simulation tool is used during the first step to size the components of the power subsystem, and then simulate its performance during operation. The determined dimensions are transferred into an EXCEL^TM-spreadsheet and linked to the components' costs. With a cost accounting tool that combines cost estimating relationships with the Work Breakdown Structure of the power subsystem, the life-cycle cost of each alternative design concept is computed. To determine the cost-risk of the different design alternatives for each component, cost probability distributions are introduced. By performing Monte-Carlo simulations, cost sensitivities are revealed. In the next step of the trade study process, the effectiveness of the alternatives is analyzed. Having determined cost and effectiveness, estimates can be made for where the different alternatives lie in the design space. The last part of the paper identifies the main drivers for the spacecraft's performance and cost. Finally it is shown how the mission design benefited from the Integrated System Model and from the application of Design-To-Cost.     

天基信息支援对导弹攻防作战的效用分析

分析了空天一体作战天基装备系统——军事卫星,对导弹攻防作战重要的信息支援效用。建立并阐述了天基军事卫星信息系统信息支援下导弹攻防作战过程模型和影响图模型,对模型进行了详细的分析讨论。     

混合动力学中一种综合控制指标

本文从环境流体力学角度，结合混合动力学机理，导出了一种新混合综合控制指标。     

当代创新的五个社会特征

本文以当代世界科技创新活动为背景，分析了当代创新的社会性、效用性、时效性、持续性和系统性。     

电动式磁悬浮动量球电磁场耦合分析

本文针对电动式磁悬浮动量球(Electrodynamic suspension reaction sphere, EDSRS)的电磁场耦合进行分析，采用定子绕组的感应电动势评判耦合强度，提出了耦合强度评判指标，作为EDSRS的结构设计约束，以降低电磁场耦合的影响。首先，结合EDSRS的具体结构特点，对多定子之间的电磁场耦合问题进行分析，采用定子电磁场在另一个定子绕组中产生的感应电动势评判耦合强度。然后，对感应电动势产生规律进行分析，提出了耦合强度评判指标，并基于所提评判指标，建立了耦合约束验证流程，作为EDSRS的结构设计约束，最后，通过有限元仿真和实验验证了上述电磁场耦合分析。     

失效概率矩独立全局灵敏度分析的高效算法

失效概率矩独立全局灵敏度分析对指导可靠性优化至关重要，本文从乘法降维及Edgeworth级数展开的角度提出一种失效概率矩独立全局灵敏度指标分析的高效算法。所提算法通过Edgeworth级数展开将失效概率矩独立全局灵敏度指标的求解转化为输出无条件及条件前四阶整数矩的求解。对于输出的无条件及条件四阶矩的计算，基于乘法降维的思想，本文推导了重复利用计算输出的无条件矩的输入输出样本来计算条件矩以及外层关于输入变量一维积分的计算公式，使得仅需重复利用输出无条件前四阶矩求解产生的积分网格内的数据即可同时求得输出的前四阶条件矩以及外层关于输入变量的一维积分。所提算法大大提高了失效概率矩独立全局灵敏度的分析效率。航空发动机涡轮盘以及汽车前轴的分析结果验证了所提算法的高效性及准确性。     

L-band nighttime scintillations at the northern edge of the EIA along 95°E during the ascending half of the solar cycle 24

The characteristics of nighttime ionospheric scintillations measured at the L-band frequency of 1.575 GHz over Dibrugarh (27.5°N, 95°E, MLAT ～ 17°N, 43° dip) during the ascending half of the solar cycle 24 from 2010 to 2014 have been investigated and the results are presented in this paper. The measurement location is within or outside the zone of influence of the equatorial ionization anomaly depending on solar and geomagnetic activity. Maximum scintillation is observed in the equinoxes irrespective of solar activity with clear asymmetry between March and September. The occurrence frequency in the solstices shifts from minimum in the June solstice in low solar activity to a minimum in the December solstice in high solar activity years. A significant positive correlation of occurrence of scintillations in the June solstice with solar activity has been observed. However, earlier reports from the Indian zone (～75°E) indicate negative or no correlation of scintillation in June solstice with solar activity. Scintillations activity/occurrence in solstices indicates a clear positive correlation with Es recorded simultaneously by a collocated Ionosonde. In equinoxes, maximum scintillations occur in the pre-midnight hours while in solstices the occurrence frequency peaks just after sunset. The incidence of strong scintillations (S₄ ≥ 0.4) increases with increase in solar activity. Strong (S₄ ≥ 0.4) ionospheric scintillations accompanied by TEC depletions in the pre-midnight period is attributed to equatorial irregularities whereas the dusk period scintillations are related to the sporadic-E activity. Present results thus indicate that the current location at the northern edge of the EIA behaves as low as well as mid-latitude location.