火箭发动机性能可靠性的Bayes分析

基于液体火箭发动机性能试验数据服从正态分布的条件 ,假定天地试验环境下分布的标准差不变 ,运用Bayes方法对正态分布天地试验条件下的环境因子进行分析。首先给出环境因子先验分布选择的方法 ;然后由Bayes公式结合少量的空间试验数据 ,得出环境因子的Bayes估计模型 ,最后给出空间试验条件下性能可靠性的分析方法 ,文中用实例说明了该方法的有效性。     

Advanced multiple response surface method of sensitivity analysis for turbine blisk reliability with multi-physics coupling

To reasonably implement the reliability analysis and describe the significance of influencing parameters for the multi-failure modes of turbine blisk, advanced multiple response surface method(AMRSM) was proposed for multi-failure mode sensitivity analysis for reliability. The mathematical model of AMRSM was established and the basic principle of multi-failure mode sensitivity analysis for reliability with AMRSM was given. The important parameters of turbine blisk failures are obtained by the multi-failure mode sensitivity analysis of turbine blisk. Through the reliability sensitivity analyses of multiple failure modes(deformation, stress and strain) with the proposed method considering fluid–thermal–solid interaction, it is shown that the comprehensive reliability of turbine blisk is 0.9931 when the allowable deformation, stress and strain are3.7*10~(-3)m, 1.0023*10~9 Pa and 1.05*10~(-2)m/m, respectively; the main impact factors of turbine blisk failure are gas velocity, gas temperature and rotational speed. As demonstrated in the comparison of methods(Monte Carlo(MC) method, traditional response surface method(RSM), multiple response surface method(MRSM) and AMRSM), the proposed AMRSM improves computational efficiency with acceptable computational accuracy. The efforts of this study provide the AMRSM with high precision and efficiency for multi-failure mode reliability analysis, and offer a useful insight for the reliability optimization design of multi-failure mode structure.     

基于螺纹综合扫描仪的螺纹参数测量方法研究

航空用螺纹的质量和性能直接影响飞机的安全,因此螺纹参数的精确测量至关重要。通过比较几种传统螺纹测量方式的优缺点,确定一种最佳的测量方法——螺纹综合扫描仪测量法。该方法测量精度可靠,参数齐全且效率高。此外,介绍了螺纹综合扫描仪的测量原理,并对其进行了误差分析。利用几种不同的测量方法对同一螺纹进行测量结果的比对,同时做了仪器的重复性和稳定性试验,验证了该测量方法的可靠性。     

Fatigue life research and experimental verification of superalloy thin-walled structures subjected to thermal-acoustic loads

Rapid alternating stress is formed in structure subjected to harsh thermal-acoustic loads, which will affect fatigue performance and reduce fatigue life seriously. First, fatigue experiment of superalloy thin-walled structure was carried out to obtain fatigue damage location and failure time of the experiment specimen, and S-N curves of superalloy thin-walled structure at 723 K were fitted. Then, dynamic response simulation of superalloy thin-walled structure under the same load as experiment was implemented, and fatigue life was estimated based on the fatigue life prediction model which mainly included: improved rain-flow counting method, Morrow average stress model and Miner linear cumulative damage theory. Further, comparisons between simulation solutions and experimental results achieved a consistency, which verified the validity of the Fatigue Life Prediction Model (FLPM). Moreover, taking a rectangle plate as the analysis object, the distributions of Fain-low circulation blocks and damage levels of the structure were discussed respectively. Finally, current research indicates that in pre-buckling the structure is in softened area and fatigue life decreases with the increase of temperature; in post-buckling the structure is in hardened area and fatigue life increases with the increase of temperature within a certain range.     

Performance deterioration modeling and optimal preventive maintenance strategy under scheduled servicing subject to mission time

Servicing is applied periodically in practice with the aim of restoring the system state and prolonging the lifetime. It is generally seen as an imperfect maintenance action which has a chief influence on the maintenance strategy. In order to model the maintenance effect of servicing, this study analyzes the deterioration characteristics of system under scheduled servicing. And then the deterioration model is established from the failure mechanism by compound Poisson process. On the basis of the system damage value and failure mechanism, the failure rate refresh factor is proposed to describe the maintenance effect of servicing. A maintenance strategy is developed which combines the benefits of scheduled servicing and preventive maintenance. Then the optimization model is given to determine the optimal servicing period and preventive maintenance time, with an objective to minimize the system expected life-cycle cost per unit time and a constraint on system survival probability for the duration of mission time. Subject to mission time, it can control the ability of accomplishing the mission at any time so as to ensure the high dependability. An example of water pump rotor relating to scheduled servicing is introduced to illustrate the failure rate refresh factor and the proposed maintenance strategy. Compared with traditional methods, the numerical results show that the failure rate refresh factor can describe the maintenance effect of servicing more intuitively and objectively. It also demonstrates that this maintenance strategy can prolong the lifetime, reduce the total lifetime maintenance cost and guarantee the dependability of system.     

Ahmed 模型的流固耦合数值计算方法探索与实验验证

流固耦合效应会影响汽车行驶安全性,对该效应的数值模拟方法的可信度需要验证。以 Ahmed 模型作为数值仿真和实验验证的对象,数值计算是流体计算与结构计算两部分耦合,配合风洞实验的位移、压力测量技术与流场显示技术（烟流法、丝线法）与之比较,数值模拟与实验所得位移结果之间的差异始终在20％以内。从流场结构角度分析得到流固耦合效应影响气动力的机理主要在于流场中涡的拓扑结构变化。为将来数值研究时变侧风下车辆的流固耦合问题提供实验及理论依据。     

飞机维修技术探析

介绍现代飞机维修理念,分析国内飞机维修工作的基本情况,结合国际上飞机维修理念及其发展趋势,针对自身条件和生产现状,提出目前国内飞机应用的维修策略及方法。     

对高温低周疲劳寿命预测模型的评价

高温低周劳寿命预测方法对于承受变幅载荷的高温构件的设计具有重要意义。本文系统介绍了迄今这方面所取得的研究成果，特别对目前在国内外影响较大的ＳＲＰ等几个ＨＬＦ寿命预测的经典参数模型和近些年发展起来的预测ＨＬＦ寿命的损伤力学方法作了较为详细的评价，并指出存在问题和研究方向。     

ZY4型双电桥校验器的半自动检定系统

主要论述ZY4型双电桥校验器的半自动检定系统的结构、硬件组成、软件设计及应用方法.     

固体火箭发动机可靠性评定的影子理论及应用

首次提出可靠性评定的影子问题,证明了影子定理,并用影子定理对固体火箭发动机的结构可靠性进行了评定,表明其具有应用价值。