结构系统可靠性初步评估方法

提出了基于系统可靠性理论的广义结构余度概念，探讨了单元初步损伤程度、载荷设置水平、单元强度差异系数等因素对系统综合失效概率相对及绝对界宽的影响，用实例计算说明在大型结构系统的方案设计阶段，以主模失效概率初步评估系统综合失效概率的可行性和有效性。     

基于强度和刚度可靠度的结构优化设计

以结构系统的可靠性作为结构的优化控制参数。用改进的分枝限界法判认主要失效模式。用PNET法计算结构系统的可靠度。导出了强度、刚度可靠度的灵敏度分析表达式。提出最佳矢量型法的迭代公式，有效地求解了结构在系统可靠度约束下的最小重量设计问题，算例的结果说明了方法的有效性。     

论航天器的热试验

论述了各种类型热试验(热平衡试验、热真空试验、热循环试验)在航天器研制中的重要性及它们的试验要点。针对当前试验实践中出现的问题,强调了组件级,尤其是电子电工产品热试验(热真空试验及热循环试验)和整星级发射星热真空试验对提高航天器可靠性所起的重要作用,并提出了相应的建议。     

基于灰色系统理论的刷式密封磨损量的预测方法

运用灰色预测理论,根据已有试验测得的刷丝磨损量数据,建立刷式密封刷丝磨损量的灰色预测模型,估算刷式密封件的使用寿命,并进行了试验验证。试验结果表明：灰色模型预测具有可行性且具有良好的预测精度及,3种试验工况下工作500 min时的刷式密封磨损量进行预测对比,最大相对残差为1.57%,最大绝对残差为0.16 mm³,对后续刷式密封装置的稳定运行、修理和更换具有一定的参考意义。     

Large constellations assessment and optimization in LEO space debris environment

Recent plans for large constellations in Low-Earth Orbit have opened the debate on both their vulnerability and their influence on the already hazardous space debris environment. In fact, given that large constellations normally employ satellites of small size, there might be situations in which cm-size debris could have enough energy to cause fragmentation of a significant part of these spacecraft upon impact, while smaller debris could affect the functionalities of critical subsystems, even compromising the success of disposal operations planned at end-of-life. In this context, this paper investigates: (1) collisions with large objects that could initiate the fragmentation of a significant part of the satellite, and (2) impacts with small debris that might perforate the spacecraft hull thus causing relevant performance/functionality degradation. These two points are merged in a simple statistical tool for risk assessment, which analyses the effects of the main parameters of the constellations on its vulnerability (i.e. operational life, number of satellites, spacecraft cross section, satellites reliability). In more details, the tool relates impact probability (for both small and large debris) to the ballistic response of spacecraft structures and protections, defining the critical configurations that might compromise the expected disposal operations. This method requires a limited knowledge of the spacecraft internal layout, as it is based on a statistical analysis of impact damage instead of a complete evaluation of the vulnerability of each subsystem. In parallel, non-debris related failures are also investigated and statistic models of spacecraft reliability characteristic are proposed. Among the results, it is shown that reducing the lifetime of individual satellites in a constellation might improve the success rate of post-mission disposal, thanks to the reduction of the spacecraft exposure to the space environment with the consequential degradation of its performance. On the other hand, reducing the lifetime would seriously affect the debris environment: the increase in traffic in the most crowded altitudes would be not counterbalanced by the higher post mission disposal success rate, causing an overall increase of the total number of uncontrolled resident objects.     

A type of 2D magnetic equivalent circuit framework of permanent magnet for magnetic system in AEMR

Modeling of permanent magnet(PM) is very important in the process of electromagnetic system calculation of aerospace electromagnetic relay(AEMR). In traditional analytical calculation, PM is often equivalent to a lumped parameter model of one magnetic resistance and one magnetic potential, but great error is often caused for the inner differences of PM; based on the conception of flux tube, a type of 2D magnetic equivalent circuit framework of permanent magnet model(2D MECF) is established; the element is defined, the relationship between elements is deduced, and solution procedure as well as verification condition of this model is given; by a case study of the electromagnetic system of a certain type of AEMR, the electromagnetic system calculation model is established based on 2D MECF and the attractive force at different rotation angles is calculated; the proposed method is compared with the traditional lumped parameter model and finite element method(FEM); for some types of electromagnetic systems with symmetrical structure, 2D MECF proves to be of acceptable accuracy and high calculation speed which fit the requirement of robust design for AEMR.     

基于BDD的航天测控系统任务可靠性分析

针对航天测控系统任务可靠性分析问题,提出了基于二值决策图（BDD）的航天测控系统任务可靠性分析模型和算法。将航天测控系统视为一个多阶段任务系统,采用任务剖面描述任务时序逻辑关系。根据各阶段的可靠性逻辑结构建立了单阶段的BDD,依次对各阶段的BDD进行运算得到系统的BDD,据此计算系统的可靠度。最后给出了一个算例,验证了算法的有效性。     

Real-time and reliability analysis of time-triggered CAN-bus

Real-time performance and reliability are two most important issues in applications of time-triggered controller area network (CAN) bus systems at present. A scheduling matrix of time-triggered CAN-bus system is established using average-loading algorithm. Periodic messages are guaranteed to transmit without delay by distributing independent transmission windows within the system matrix. Considering the traditional CAN-bus transmission mechanism and the time-triggered feature, an algorithm is improved to calculate the worst-case delay of event-triggered messages in time-triggered CAN-bus systems. The failure probability is calculated for event-triggered messages whose worst-case delay exceeds their deadlines. Different levels of redundant structures of CAN-bus circuits are analyzed and the maintenance management is proposed to improve the system reliability. Finally, the reliabilities of different structures are calculated and the influences of maintenance on the system reliability are analyzed.     

可靠性增长试验的计划曲线及其参数研究

在用杜安（Ｄｕａｎｅ）增长模型制定可靠性增长试验的计划曲线时，确定总试验时间经常会遇到缺乏数据、经验和经费不足等困难。本文利用杜安增长模型导出了总试验时间的计算公式，并对影响总试验时间的诸参数进行了分析，提出了选取这些参数的原则和方法，对制定具体的计划曲线有一定的指导意义。     

计算机软硬件系统应用于工业控制

电子计算机自问世以来，发展非常迅速，与之相应软件系统的应用也步入了一个新的阶段。软硬件相结合使计算机在工业控制中成为一个强有力的工具。本文针对研华工业控制计算机及其配置的数据采集与控制卡等硬件．利用标准Turbo C语言编制数据采集代码。准确实时地实现工业生产、试验等现场控制。